就業數據疲軟、聯準會降息後比特幣飆升

週二美國非農業就業報告發布後，比特幣的價值攀升至 62,000 美元以上。該報告引發了人們對利率下降的預期，從而增加了對比特幣等風險資產的需求。儘管失業率略超預期，但整體報告顯示市場疲軟，可能支持聯準會降息。

Bitcoin Surges Amidst Labor Market Weakness, Fed Interest Rate Outlook

比特幣在勞動市場疲軟和聯準會利率前景中飆升

Washington, D.C. - Bitcoin's value experienced a notable surge towards $62,000 following the release of the U.S. government's Nonfarm Payrolls report. The report, published earlier today, revealed an unemployment rate of 3.9% for April, marginally higher than the anticipated 3.8%. This deviation suggests the potential for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, a move that often enhances the allure of risk-oriented assets like Bitcoin.

華盛頓特區 - 在美國政府非農業就業報告發布後，比特幣的價值顯著飆升至 62,000 美元。今天稍早發布的報告顯示，4 月失業率為 3.9%，略高於預期的 3.8%。這種偏差表明聯準會有可能降低利率，此舉通常會增強比特幣等風險導向資產的吸引力。

Bitcoin's Resurgence After a Volatile Week

比特幣在經歷了一周的波動後復甦

The U.S. nonfarm payrolls data for April fell short of expectations, highlighting the labor market's persistent challenges. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged this weakness during a press conference on May 1, stating that the Federal Reserve is "prepared to respond to an unexpected weakening in the labor market."

美國4月非農就業數據不如預期，凸顯勞動市場持續面臨的挑戰。聯準會主席鮑威爾在 5 月 1 日的新聞發布會上承認了這一弱點，並表示聯準會「已準備好應對勞動力市場的意外疲軟」。

This disappointing nonfarm payroll report stands in contrast to other recent economic data that had previously bolstered investor optimism.

這份令人失望的非農就業報告與此前提振投資人樂觀情緒的其他近期經濟數據形成鮮明對比。

Fed Interest Rate Outlook and Market Projections

聯準會利率展望與市場預測

Based on the latest projections from the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate cut at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in June is approximately 15%. For the July meeting, the odds of a modest 0.25% reduction stand at 33%.

根據芝商所FedWatch工具的最新預測，6月聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC)會議降息的可能性約為15%。對於 7 月的會議，小幅降息 0.25% 的可能性為 33%。

Factors Driving Bitcoin's Upswing

推動比特幣上漲的因素

Bitcoin's recent upswing was triggered by a combination of factors, including Block's announcement regarding its Bitcoin acquisition strategy. In its latest earnings report, Block outlined its intention to allocate 10% of its gross profit from Bitcoin products towards monthly Bitcoin purchases. This move may have further fueled the current buying momentum.

比特幣最近的上漲是由多種因素引發的，其中包括 Block 宣布其比特幣收購策略。 Block 在最新的收益報告中概述了其計劃將比特幣產品毛利的 10% 用於每月購買比特幣。此舉可能進一步推動了當前的購買勢頭。

Analysts had previously highlighted the $62K level as a crucial resistance point for Bitcoin. Ki Young Ju, founder of on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant, observed that the area below $60,000 had been a popular zone for "buying the dip." Ju noted that Bitcoin whales had accumulated approximately $BTC 47K over the preceding 24 hours.

分析師先前曾強調 6.2 萬美元水準是比特幣的關鍵阻力位。鏈上分析公司 CryptoQuant 的創始人 Ki Young Ju 觀察到，60,000 美元以下的區域一直是「逢低買進」的熱門區域。 Ju 指出，比特幣鯨魚在過去 24 小時內累積了約 4.7 萬美元的 BTC。

Technical Analysis and Future Outlook

技術分析及未來展望

Bitcoin's price has been on a recovery trajectory since buyers successfully defended the $56k support line. In recent hours, BTC price experienced a surge in buying pressure, breaking above the $60k level. However, it encountered some resistance around $62k. As of this writing, BTC price is trading at $61,783, marking a 4.6% increase over the past 24 hours.

自從買家成功守住 5.6 萬美元支撐線以來，比特幣價格一直處於復甦軌道。最近幾個小時，BTC 價格經歷了購買壓力的激增，突破了 6 萬美元的水平。然而，它在 62,000 美元附近遇到了一些阻力。截至撰寫本文時，BTC 價格交易價格為 61,783 美元，在過去 24 小時內上漲了 4.6%。

Currently, BTC price is attempting to break above its 200-day EMA trend line, indicating the dominance of bullish sentiment over bearish sentiment. While buyers aim to reclaim ground above $65,000, bears may have contrasting intentions. A retreat from this level could signal a shift towards bearish resistance, potentially leading to a decline towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $60K.

目前，BTC 價格正試圖突破 200 日均線趨勢線，顯示看漲情緒占主導地位。雖然買家的目標是收復 65,000 美元以上的地盤，但空頭可能有相反的意圖。從該水平回落可能標誌著轉向看跌阻力位，可能導致跌向 60,000 美元的 61.8% 斐波那契回檔位。

However, this bearish outlook could potentially shift if the price manages to hold above $65k, triggering a rally towards $67k. As the RSI level maintains a position above the midline, buying demand may continue to intensify in the coming hours.

然而，如果價格設法保持在 65,000 美元之上，這種看跌前景可能會發生轉變，從而引發漲向 67,000 美元的反彈。由於RSI水準維持在中線上方，未來幾個小時內購買需求可能會持續增強。