比特幣漲勢在減半前遭遇挫折，預計將出現修正

Is Bitcoin's Rally Losing Steam Ahead of the Halving?

比特幣的漲勢是否會在減半前失去動力？

As the countdown to the highly anticipated 2024 Bitcoin halving continues, the cryptocurrency has been locked in a fierce battle to hold above the $63,000 mark. Analysts are predicting a potential "correction," with some forecasting a pullback in crypto prices.

隨著備受期待的 2024 年比特幣減半倒數計時的繼續，該加密貨幣已經陷入了一場激烈的戰鬥，以維持在 63,000 美元大關之上。分析師預測可能會出現“修正”，其中一些預測加密貨幣價格將出現回調。

Van de Poppe: Pre-Halving Peaking or More Upside?

Van de Poppe：減半前的峰值還是更多的上漲空間？

Cryptocurrency analyst Michael van de Poppe has weighed in with his economic insights, suggesting that the current market conditions may be a case of "peaking pre-halving." However, he remains optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects, believing that a new all-time high could still be in the cards.

加密貨幣分析師 Michael van de Poppe 發表了他的經濟見解，表明當前的市場狀況可能是「減半前達到高峰」的情況。不過，他仍然對比特幣的長期前景持樂觀態度，認為仍有可能創下新的歷史高點。

Bitcoin's Recent Price Movements

比特幣近期的價格走勢

Bitcoin has seen a price drop of around 2.6% over the past week and a 4% decline over the last fortnight. Van de Poppe speculates that the upcoming halving event may be behind this recent price retreat.

比特幣價格在過去一周下跌了約 2.6%，過去兩週下跌了 4%。 Van de Poppe 推測，即將到來的減半事件可能是最近價格回落的原因。

The Halving Phenomenon

減半現象

The halving event, a built-in feature of Bitcoin's monetary policy, automatically reduces the rewards earned by miners by half every two years. This event occurs every four years, triggered by the mining of 210,000 blocks. Market participants are eagerly anticipating the next halving event, which is expected to take place in April 2024.

減半事件是比特幣貨幣政策的內建功能，每兩年自動將礦工獲得的獎勵減少一半。該事件每四年發生一次，由 21 萬個區塊的開採觸發。市場參與者熱切期待下一次減半事件，預計 2024 年 4 月發生。

Historical Parallels and Cyclical Patterns

歷史相似之處和週期性模式

Van de Poppe draws parallels between Bitcoin's current price movements and the 2016-2017 cycle, suggesting a potential cyclical recurrence that could lead to a significant upward trend for the cryptocurrency.

Van de Poppe 將比特幣當前的價格走勢與 2016-2017 年周期進行了比較，表明潛在的周期性復發可能會導致加密貨幣的顯著上漲趨勢。

Rekt Capital's Pre-Halving Correction Theory

Rekt Capital的減半前修正理論

Pseudonymous analyst Rekt Capital has put forward an intriguing theory, suggesting that the pre-halving correction for this year may already be underway. Historically, pre-halving corrections have typically occurred 14-28 days before the halving event.

化名分析師 Rekt Capital 提出了一個有趣的理論，顯示今年的減半前修正可能已經開始。從歷史上看，減半前的修正通常發生在減半事件前 14-28 天。

Could This Correction Be Different?

這次修正會有所不同嗎？

Rekt Capital points out similarities between this year's price dip and the pre-halving corrections witnessed in 2020 and 2016. However, they speculate that this correction could be milder than previous ones, with a potential duration of around 77 days.

Rekt Capital 指出，今年的價格下跌與 2020 年和 2016 年的減半前調整有相似之處。不過，他們推測這次調整可能比之前的調整溫和，可能持續 77 天左右。

Buying Opportunity or Market Reversal?

買入機會還是市場逆轉？

The current price decline presents a potential buying opportunity for investors looking to acquire Bitcoin before the upcoming halving event. Historically, bullish trends have followed previous halving events, suggesting that a similar pattern could play out this time around.

目前的價格下跌為希望在即將到來的減半事件之前購買比特幣的投資者提供了潛在的買入機會。從歷史上看，先前的減半事件之後都出現了看漲趨勢，這表明這次可能會出現類似的模式。