比特币涨势在减半前遭遇挫折，预计将出现修正

Is Bitcoin's Rally Losing Steam Ahead of the Halving?

比特币的涨势是否会在减半之前失去动力？

As the countdown to the highly anticipated 2024 Bitcoin halving continues, the cryptocurrency has been locked in a fierce battle to hold above the $63,000 mark. Analysts are predicting a potential "correction," with some forecasting a pullback in crypto prices.

随着备受期待的 2024 年比特币减半倒计时的继续，该加密货币已经陷入了一场激烈的战斗，以维持在 63,000 美元大关之上。分析师预测可能会出现“修正”，其中一些人预测加密货币价格将出现回调。

Van de Poppe: Pre-Halving Peaking or More Upside?

Van de Poppe：减半前的峰值还是更多的上涨空间？

Cryptocurrency analyst Michael van de Poppe has weighed in with his economic insights, suggesting that the current market conditions may be a case of "peaking pre-halving." However, he remains optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects, believing that a new all-time high could still be in the cards.

加密货币分析师 Michael van de Poppe 发表了他的经济见解，表明当前的市场状况可能是“减半前达到峰值”的情况。不过，他仍然对比特币的长期前景持乐观态度，认为仍有可能创下新的历史高点。

Bitcoin's Recent Price Movements

比特币近期的价格走势

Bitcoin has seen a price drop of around 2.6% over the past week and a 4% decline over the last fortnight. Van de Poppe speculates that the upcoming halving event may be behind this recent price retreat.

比特币价格在过去一周下跌了约 2.6%，在过去两周下跌了 4%。 Van de Poppe 推测，即将到来的减半事件可能是最近价格回落的原因。

The Halving Phenomenon

减半现象

The halving event, a built-in feature of Bitcoin's monetary policy, automatically reduces the rewards earned by miners by half every two years. This event occurs every four years, triggered by the mining of 210,000 blocks. Market participants are eagerly anticipating the next halving event, which is expected to take place in April 2024.

减半事件是比特币货币政策的一个内置功能，每两年自动将矿工获得的奖励减少一半。该事件每四年发生一次，由 210,000 个区块的开采触发。市场参与者热切期待下一次减半事件，预计将于 2024 年 4 月发生。

Historical Parallels and Cyclical Patterns

历史相似之处和周期性模式

Van de Poppe draws parallels between Bitcoin's current price movements and the 2016-2017 cycle, suggesting a potential cyclical recurrence that could lead to a significant upward trend for the cryptocurrency.

Van de Poppe 将比特币当前的价格走势与 2016-2017 年周期进行了比较，表明潜在的周期性复发可能会导致加密货币的显着上涨趋势。

Rekt Capital's Pre-Halving Correction Theory

Rekt Capital的减半前修正理论

Pseudonymous analyst Rekt Capital has put forward an intriguing theory, suggesting that the pre-halving correction for this year may already be underway. Historically, pre-halving corrections have typically occurred 14-28 days before the halving event.

化名分析师 Rekt Capital 提出了一个有趣的理论，表明今年的减半前修正可能已经开始。从历史上看，减半前的修正通常发生在减半事件前 14-28 天。

Could This Correction Be Different?

这次修正会有所不同吗？

Rekt Capital points out similarities between this year's price dip and the pre-halving corrections witnessed in 2020 and 2016. However, they speculate that this correction could be milder than previous ones, with a potential duration of around 77 days.

Rekt Capital 指出，今年的价格下跌与 2020 年和 2016 年的减半前调整有相似之处。不过，他们推测这次调整可能比之前的调整温和，可能持续 77 天左右。

Buying Opportunity or Market Reversal?

买入机会还是市场逆转？

The current price decline presents a potential buying opportunity for investors looking to acquire Bitcoin before the upcoming halving event. Historically, bullish trends have followed previous halving events, suggesting that a similar pattern could play out this time around.

当前的价格下跌为希望在即将到来的减半事件之前购买比特币的投资者提供了潜在的买入机会。从历史上看，之前的减半事件之后都出现了看涨趋势，这表明这次可能会出现类似的模式。