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隨著地緣政治緊張局勢的緩解,比特幣已突破 66,000 美元大關,反映出全球市場的更廣泛復甦。分析師認為,比特幣減半後的復甦尚未完全實現,因為事件引起的供應短缺預計將隨著時間的推移而累積。
Bitcoin's Post-Halving Recovery Gains Momentum Amidst Easing Geopolitical Tensions
地緣政治緊張局勢緩解,比特幣減半後復甦勢頭增強
New York, April 22, 2024 (6:34 AM EDT) - Bitcoin has surged above $66,000 in early trading on Monday, reversing a recent downtrend triggered by heightened geopolitical uncertainties. The digital asset's resurgence mirrors a broader recovery in global equities.
紐約,2024 年 4 月 22 日(美國東部時間上午 6:34)——週一早盤交易中,比特幣已飆升至 66,000 美元以上,扭轉了近期因地緣政治不確定性加劇引發的下跌趨勢。數位資產的復甦反映了全球股市的更廣泛復甦。
Bitcoin's gains follow a period of volatility leading up to its highly anticipated halving event, where the reward for mining a block is reduced by half. The halving, which occurred on Friday, is expected to have a significant impact on Bitcoin's supply and demand dynamics, potentially boosting its long-term value.
比特幣的上漲是在一段波動期之後發生的,導致其備受期待的減半事件,開採一個區塊的獎勵減少了一半。週五發生的減半預計將對比特幣的供需動態產生重大影響,可能會提升其長期價值。
According to André Dragosch, Head of Research at ETC Group, Bitcoin has rebounded from losses sparked by last week's geopolitical tensions. "The crypto market has shown resilience in the face of these headwinds, indicating that the recent sell-off was primarily driven by temporary risk aversion rather than fundamental concerns," Dragosch said.
ETC 集團研究主管 André Dragosch 表示,比特幣已從上週地緣政治緊張局勢引發的損失中反彈。 Dragosch 表示:“面對這些逆風,加密貨幣市場表現出了韌性,這表明最近的拋售主要是由暫時的避險情緒驅動,而不是基本面擔憂。”
Dragosch analyzed data from ETC Group's in-house "cryptoasset sentiment index," which showed a recovery from a year-to-date low induced by last week's geopolitical tensions. He noted that any positive performance effect linked to the halving has yet to be priced into the market, but he anticipates that such an effect may manifest approximately 100 days after the event.
Dragosch 分析了 ETC 集團內部「加密資產情緒指數」的數據,該指數顯示,上週地緣政治緊張局勢引發的年初至今低點已開始復甦。他指出,與減半相關的任何積極的業績影響尚未反映在市場中,但他預計這種影響可能會在事件發生後約 100 天顯現。
Dragosch's analysis aligns with the observations of several other industry experts. Head of Digital Assets at Fidelity Investments, Chris Tyrer, believes that Bitcoin's fundamentals remain strong, supported by its growing adoption as a store of value and its potential utility as a medium of exchange.
Dragosch 的分析與其他幾位業界專家的觀察結果一致。富達投資數位資產主管 Chris Tyrer 認為,比特幣的基本面依然強勁,這得益於其作為價值儲存手段的日益普及以及作為交換媒介的潛在效用。
"While the halving itself may not trigger an immediate price spike, it reinforces Bitcoin's long-term deflationary characteristics and represents a significant event for the network and its community," Tyrer said.
泰雷爾表示:“雖然減半本身可能不會立即引發價格飆升,但它強化了比特幣的長期通貨緊縮特徵,並且對網絡及其社區來說是一個重大事件。”
The recovery in Bitcoin's price is also supported by a broader positive sentiment in global equity markets. On Monday, the European STOXX 600 was up by 0.25%, while in the U.S., pre-market S&P 500 futures showed a 0.36% increase. London's commodities-heavy FTSE 100 rose around 1%, the biggest gainer among large European benchmarks.
比特幣價格的復甦也受到全球股市更廣泛的正面情緒的支持。週一,歐洲斯托克 600 指數上漲 0.25%,美國標普 500 指數盤前上漲 0.36%。以大宗商品為主的倫敦富時 100 指數上漲約 1%,是歐洲大型基準指數中漲幅最大的。
The combined impact of easing geopolitical tensions, a positive market sentiment, and the underlying fundamentals of Bitcoin suggest that the digital asset is well-positioned for continued growth in the coming months. Investors are advised to closely monitor market developments and consider the potential implications of the halving as Bitcoin embarks on its journey towards long-term value appreciation.
地緣政治緊張局勢緩和、積極的市場情緒以及比特幣的基本面的綜合影響表明,該數位資產處於未來幾個月持續增長的有利位置。建議投資人密切關注市場發展,並在比特幣踏上長期價值升值之路時考慮減半的潛在影響。
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