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随着地缘政治紧张局势的缓解,比特币已突破 66,000 美元大关,反映出全球市场的更广泛复苏。分析师认为,比特币减半后的复苏尚未完全实现,因为该事件引起的供应短缺预计将随着时间的推移而积累。
Bitcoin's Post-Halving Recovery Gains Momentum Amidst Easing Geopolitical Tensions
地缘政治紧张局势缓解,比特币减半后复苏势头增强
New York, April 22, 2024 (6:34 AM EDT) - Bitcoin has surged above $66,000 in early trading on Monday, reversing a recent downtrend triggered by heightened geopolitical uncertainties. The digital asset's resurgence mirrors a broader recovery in global equities.
纽约,2024 年 4 月 22 日(美国东部时间上午 6:34)——周一早盘交易中,比特币已飙升至 66,000 美元以上,扭转了近期因地缘政治不确定性加剧引发的下跌趋势。数字资产的复苏反映了全球股市的更广泛复苏。
Bitcoin's gains follow a period of volatility leading up to its highly anticipated halving event, where the reward for mining a block is reduced by half. The halving, which occurred on Friday, is expected to have a significant impact on Bitcoin's supply and demand dynamics, potentially boosting its long-term value.
比特币的上涨是在一段波动期之后发生的,导致其备受期待的减半事件,开采一个区块的奖励减少了一半。周五发生的减半预计将对比特币的供需动态产生重大影响,可能会提升其长期价值。
According to André Dragosch, Head of Research at ETC Group, Bitcoin has rebounded from losses sparked by last week's geopolitical tensions. "The crypto market has shown resilience in the face of these headwinds, indicating that the recent sell-off was primarily driven by temporary risk aversion rather than fundamental concerns," Dragosch said.
ETC 集团研究主管 André Dragosch 表示,比特币已从上周地缘政治紧张局势引发的损失中反弹。 Dragosch 表示:“面对这些逆风,加密货币市场表现出了韧性,这表明最近的抛售主要是由暂时的避险情绪驱动,而不是基本面担忧。”
Dragosch analyzed data from ETC Group's in-house "cryptoasset sentiment index," which showed a recovery from a year-to-date low induced by last week's geopolitical tensions. He noted that any positive performance effect linked to the halving has yet to be priced into the market, but he anticipates that such an effect may manifest approximately 100 days after the event.
Dragosch 分析了 ETC 集团内部“加密资产情绪指数”的数据,该指数显示,上周地缘政治紧张局势引发的年初至今低点已开始复苏。他指出,与减半相关的任何积极的业绩影响尚未反映在市场中,但他预计这种影响可能会在事件发生后约 100 天显现。
Dragosch's analysis aligns with the observations of several other industry experts. Head of Digital Assets at Fidelity Investments, Chris Tyrer, believes that Bitcoin's fundamentals remain strong, supported by its growing adoption as a store of value and its potential utility as a medium of exchange.
Dragosch 的分析与其他几位行业专家的观察结果一致。富达投资数字资产主管 Chris Tyrer 认为,比特币的基本面依然强劲,这得益于其作为价值储存手段的日益普及以及作为交换媒介的潜在效用。
"While the halving itself may not trigger an immediate price spike, it reinforces Bitcoin's long-term deflationary characteristics and represents a significant event for the network and its community," Tyrer said.
泰雷尔表示:“虽然减半本身可能不会立即引发价格飙升,但它强化了比特币的长期通货紧缩特征,并且对网络及其社区来说是一个重大事件。”
The recovery in Bitcoin's price is also supported by a broader positive sentiment in global equity markets. On Monday, the European STOXX 600 was up by 0.25%, while in the U.S., pre-market S&P 500 futures showed a 0.36% increase. London's commodities-heavy FTSE 100 rose around 1%, the biggest gainer among large European benchmarks.
比特币价格的复苏也受到全球股市更广泛的积极情绪的支持。周一,欧洲斯托克 600 指数上涨 0.25%,美国标普 500 指数盘前上涨 0.36%。以大宗商品为主的伦敦富时 100 指数上涨约 1%,是欧洲大型基准指数中涨幅最大的。
The combined impact of easing geopolitical tensions, a positive market sentiment, and the underlying fundamentals of Bitcoin suggest that the digital asset is well-positioned for continued growth in the coming months. Investors are advised to closely monitor market developments and consider the potential implications of the halving as Bitcoin embarks on its journey towards long-term value appreciation.
地缘政治紧张局势缓和、积极的市场情绪以及比特币的基本面的综合影响表明,该数字资产处于未来几个月持续增长的有利位置。建议投资者密切关注市场发展,并在比特币踏上长期价值升值之路时考虑减半的潜在影响。
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