VanEck 建議如果採用比特幣作為儲備資產，美國將削減 36% 的國債

在這些討論中，價值數十億美元的資產管理公司 VanEck 分享了一個模板，顯示了比特幣的採用對國家債務的影響

Asset manager VanEck suggests that the United States will cut its national debt by a staggering 36% if the country adopts Bitcoin as a reserve asset.

資產經理 VanEck 表示，如果美國採用比特幣作為儲備資產，美國的國債將大幅削減 36%。

The US President-elect, Donald Trump, has described Bitcoin as the cryptocurrency of the future. Notably, he has often teased using Bitcoin to pay for the growing national debt.

美國當選總統川普將比特幣描述為未來的加密貨幣。值得注意的是，他經常嘲笑使用比特幣來支付不斷增長的國家債務。

Other Bitcoin advocates in the United States also share a similar sentiment. For context, Senator Cynthia Lummis has argued that the premier crypto asset would facilitate a debt-free America, providing a better economic environment for future generations.

美國的其他比特幣倡議者也有類似的觀點。作為背景，參議員辛西婭·盧米斯 (Cynthia Lummis) 認為，首要的加密資產將促進美國無債務，為子孫後代提供更好的經濟環境。

Amid these discussions, multi-billion asset manager VanEck has shared a template showing the impact of Bitcoin adoption on the national debt. According to a recent report, the US could use Bitcoin to reduce up to 36% of its deficit in the next 26 years.

在這些討論中，價值數十億美元的資產管理公司 VanEck 分享了一個模板，顯示了比特幣的採用對國家債務的影響。根據最近的一份報告，美國可以在未來 26 年內使用比特幣減少高達 36% 的赤字。

VanEck’s analysis hinges on Senator Lummis’s Bitcoin Act bill, which proposes buying 1 million bitcoins over five years. The asset manager noted that the US could finance the purchases through executive action while the legislative deliberation is underway.

VanEck 的分析取決於參議員 Lummis 的比特幣法案法案，該法案建議在五年內購買 100 萬枚比特幣。該資產管理公司指出，在立法審議正在進行期間，美國可以透過行政行動為購買提供資金。

The leading asset manager also stressed that the US could hold the first 200,000 tokens through confiscated bitcoins. The purchase of the remaining 800,000 tokens could come from reevaluating the country’s $693 billion gold stash and possibly unlocking capital through its sales. Further, the purchase could also come from the $49.7 billion Exchange Stabilization Fund (ESF) signed off by the Treasury Secretary.

這位領先的資產管理公司也強調，美國可以透過沒收的比特幣持有首批20萬枚代幣。剩餘 80 萬個代幣的購買可能來自於重新評估該國 6,930 億美元的黃金儲備，並可能透過其銷售釋放資本。此外，此次購買還可能來自財政部長簽署的 497 億美元外匯穩定基金 (ESF)。

Meanwhile, VanEck noted that if Bitcoin appreciates 25% annually from its $200,000 base price in 2025 and the US acquires 200,000 BTC yearly, its stash would be worth $42.4 trillion by 2049. Also, if the US debt grows by 5% from $37 trillion next year, it will reach $119.3 trillion in the next 26 years.

同時，VanEck 指出，如果比特幣在2025 年從20 萬美元的基礎價格每年升值25%，並且美國每年購買20 萬BTC，那麼到2049 年其儲備價值將達到42.4 兆美元。接下來從37 兆美元成長5%預計未來26年將達到119.3兆美元。

Hence, accruing 1 million BTC over the next five years would slash the US debt by an impressive 36%. Furthermore, if the world’s wealth appreciated by 7% from its current $900 billion valuation, Bitcoin will capture 18% of the global financial market with a 25% yearly growth rate.

因此，在未來五年內累積 100 萬個比特幣將使美國債務大幅削減 36%。此外，如果全球財富從目前的 9,000 億美元估值升值 7%，比特幣將以 25% 的年增長率佔據全球金融市場 18% 的份額。

Several analysts have shown support for the Bitcoin reserve ploy. For instance, Matthew Sigel, the head of asset research at VanEck, revealed that the asset manager fully backs the idea of a strategic Bitcoin reserve in the United States.

一些分析師對比特幣儲備策略表示支持。例如，VanEck 資產研究主管 Matthew Sigel 透露，該資產管理公司完全支持在美國建立比特幣戰略儲備的想法。

Additionally, SkyBridge managing partner Anthony Scaramucci also supported the creation of the Bitcoin reserve. The pro-crypto businessman noted that the stockpile would become a reality, insisting that Bitcoin’s current price is meager compared to its expected upsurge when the reserve effects.

此外，SkyBridge 管理合夥人 Anthony Scaramucci 也支持創建比特幣儲備。這位支持加密貨幣的商人指出，庫存將成為現實，並堅稱比特幣當前的價格與儲備生效時預期的飆升相比微不足道。

Interestingly, the Bitcoin Policy Institute has drafted an executive order to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve under the ESF, sparking global FOMO. Following the US involvement, several countries are now considering the innovation.

有趣的是，比特幣政策研究所起草了一項行政命令，在 ESF 下建立比特幣戰略儲備，引發了全球的 FOMO 情緒。繼美國的參與之後，一些國家現在正在考慮這項創新。

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