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比特幣 4 月收盤價自本月初以來下跌了約 15%,標誌著連續 7 個月度蠟燭創紀錄的紀錄結束。 60,000 美元的心理支撐位成為一個關鍵標誌,幣安上圍繞該水平設有大量買入牆。然而,訂單簿內的整體流動性似乎相對較低,由於 ETF 購買壓力減少以及缺乏即將到來的看漲事件,比特幣的情緒正在減弱。
Bitcoin's Monthly Dominance Fades, Marking an End to an Unprecedented Streak
比特幣的月度主導地位逐漸減弱,標誌著前所未有的連續走勢的結束
As the month of April draws to a close, Bitcoin (BTC) is poised to end the month with a notable decline, marking an end to seven consecutive green monthly candles—a historic streak that has propelled Bitcoin's rise to new heights.
隨著4 月接近尾聲,比特幣(BTC) 將以顯著下跌結束這個月,標誌著連續七個綠色月度蠟燭的結束——這一歷史性的連續走勢將比特幣的漲幅推向了新的高度。
At the beginning of April, Bitcoin soared to an all-time high for a monthly candle close, reaching approximately $71,200. This surge surpassed the previous record of $60,500 set in 2021, further solidifying Bitcoin's position as the dominant force in the cryptocurrency market.
4 月初,比特幣飆升至歷史新高,創下月度蠟燭收盤價,約 71,200 美元。這一漲幅超過了 2021 年創下的 60,500 美元的紀錄,進一步鞏固了比特幣作為加密貨幣市場主導力量的地位。
However, the past few weeks have witnessed a shift in sentiment, with buying pressure from Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the US waning and Hong Kong ETFs underperforming expectations. This has contributed to a decline of roughly 15% since the start of the month.
然而,過去幾週市場情緒轉變,美國比特幣交易所交易基金(ETF)的購買壓力減弱,而香港 ETF 的表現不如預期。自本月初以來,這導致了大約 15% 的下降。
Psychological Support and Market Dynamics
心理支持與市場動態
As Bitcoin navigates this period of uncertainty, the psychological support level of $60,000 is expected to play a crucial role in the coming week. This level has historically acted as a significant support for Bitcoin, influencing market sentiment and trading strategies.
隨著比特幣度過這段不確定時期,6 萬美元的心理支撐位預計將在未來一周發揮至關重要的作用。從歷史上看,這個水準一直是比特幣的重要支撐,影響市場情緒和交易策略。
Data from Coinglass reveals that over $300 million in crypto liquidations have occurred in the past 24 hours, with the majority coming from long positions. This indicates that traders are becoming more cautious in their bullish bets.
Coinglass 的數據顯示,過去 24 小時內發生了超過 3 億美元的加密貨幣清算,其中大部分來自多頭部位。這表示交易者在看漲押注中變得更加謹慎。
Binance, the most liquid exchange for Bitcoin trading, exhibits significant buy walls around $60,000. Notably, over 1,000 BTC ($60 million) of buy orders are positioned on the BTC-USDT pair, indicating a willingness to absorb a potential dip to that level. However, the overall liquidity within the order book appears relatively low compared to previous bull runs.
幣安是比特幣交易流動性最強的交易所,其買入牆的規模約為 6 萬美元。值得注意的是,超過 1,000 BTC(6,000 萬美元)的買單位於 BTC-USDT 貨幣對上,顯示願意吸收潛在的跌幅至該水準。然而,與先前的多頭市場相比,訂單簿內的整體流動性似乎相對較低。
Future Outlook and Price Discovery
未來展望與價格發現
With subdued sentiment and a lack of upcoming bullish events on the horizon, Bitcoin's price discovery is likely to be influenced more by the intrinsic value of the Bitcoin network rather than optimism about future events. Major milestones such as US ETF approval, the Halving, and Hong Kong ETF launches have all occurred during Bitcoin's meteoric rise.
由於情緒低迷且缺乏即將到來的看漲事件,比特幣的價格發現可能更多地受到比特幣網路內在價值的影響,而不是對未來事件的樂觀情緒。美國 ETF 獲準、減半、香港 ETF 推出等重大里程碑都發生在比特幣快速上漲期間。
Over 90% of Bitcoin holders are currently in profit, raising questions about whether it is time for profit-taking and a retest of lower bounds. Alternatively, Bitcoin may hold strong at this key historical and psychological monthly support level.
超過 90% 的比特幣持有者目前處於盈利狀態,這引發了人們的疑問:是否到了獲利回吐和重新測試下限的時候了。或者,比特幣可能會在這個關鍵的歷史和心理月度支撐位中保持堅挺。
Market Data
市場數據
As of 5:48 pm UTC on April 30, 2024, Bitcoin is ranked #1 by market capitalization at $1.19 trillion and has a 24-hour trading volume of $32.26 billion. Bitcoin's price has declined by 4% over the past 24 hours.
截至 2024 年 4 月 30 日下午 5:48(世界標準時間),比特幣以 1.19 兆美元的市值排名第一,24 小時交易量為 322.6 億美元。過去 24 小時內,比特幣價格下跌了 4%。
Conclusion
結論
Bitcoin's end to seven consecutive green monthly candles marks a significant shift in market dynamics. As buying pressure wanes and sentiment dampens, the psychological support of $60,000 will be closely watched in the coming week. The intrinsic value of the Bitcoin network and the absence of major bullish events on the horizon will likely play a more significant role in price discovery. Whether Bitcoin holds strong at this key support level or retests lower bounds remains to be seen.
比特幣連續七個綠色月度蠟燭的結束標誌著市場動態的重大轉變。隨著買盤壓力減弱和情緒減弱,未來一週將密切關注60,000美元的心理支撐位。比特幣網路的內在價值以及即將發生的重大看漲事件可能會在價格發現中發揮更重要的作用。比特幣是否在這一關鍵支撐位保持堅挺或重新測試下限仍有待觀察。
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