Bitcoin's Monthly Dominance Slips as Seven-Month Green Streak Ends

Bitcoin closes April down roughly 15% since the start of the month, marking an end to a record-breaking streak of seven consecutive green monthly candles. The psychological support level of $60,000 emerges as a crucial marker, with significant buy walls around that level on Binance. However, overall liquidity within the order book appears relatively low, and Bitcoin's sentiment is waning due to reduced buying pressure from ETFs and the lack of upcoming bullish events.

Bitcoin's Monthly Dominance Fades, Marking an End to an Unprecedented Streak

As the month of April draws to a close, Bitcoin (BTC) is poised to end the month with a notable decline, marking an end to seven consecutive green monthly candles—a historic streak that has propelled Bitcoin's rise to new heights.

At the beginning of April, Bitcoin soared to an all-time high for a monthly candle close, reaching approximately $71,200. This surge surpassed the previous record of $60,500 set in 2021, further solidifying Bitcoin's position as the dominant force in the cryptocurrency market.

However, the past few weeks have witnessed a shift in sentiment, with buying pressure from Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the US waning and Hong Kong ETFs underperforming expectations. This has contributed to a decline of roughly 15% since the start of the month.

Psychological Support and Market Dynamics

As Bitcoin navigates this period of uncertainty, the psychological support level of $60,000 is expected to play a crucial role in the coming week. This level has historically acted as a significant support for Bitcoin, influencing market sentiment and trading strategies.

Data from Coinglass reveals that over $300 million in crypto liquidations have occurred in the past 24 hours, with the majority coming from long positions. This indicates that traders are becoming more cautious in their bullish bets.

Binance, the most liquid exchange for Bitcoin trading, exhibits significant buy walls around $60,000. Notably, over 1,000 BTC ($60 million) of buy orders are positioned on the BTC-USDT pair, indicating a willingness to absorb a potential dip to that level. However, the overall liquidity within the order book appears relatively low compared to previous bull runs.

Future Outlook and Price Discovery

With subdued sentiment and a lack of upcoming bullish events on the horizon, Bitcoin's price discovery is likely to be influenced more by the intrinsic value of the Bitcoin network rather than optimism about future events. Major milestones such as US ETF approval, the Halving, and Hong Kong ETF launches have all occurred during Bitcoin's meteoric rise.

Over 90% of Bitcoin holders are currently in profit, raising questions about whether it is time for profit-taking and a retest of lower bounds. Alternatively, Bitcoin may hold strong at this key historical and psychological monthly support level.

Market Data

As of 5:48 pm UTC on April 30, 2024, Bitcoin is ranked #1 by market capitalization at $1.19 trillion and has a 24-hour trading volume of $32.26 billion. Bitcoin's price has declined by 4% over the past 24 hours.

Conclusion

Bitcoin's end to seven consecutive green monthly candles marks a significant shift in market dynamics. As buying pressure wanes and sentiment dampens, the psychological support of $60,000 will be closely watched in the coming week. The intrinsic value of the Bitcoin network and the absence of major bullish events on the horizon will likely play a more significant role in price discovery. Whether Bitcoin holds strong at this key support level or retests lower bounds remains to be seen.