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比特币 4 月份收盘价自本月初以来下跌了约 15%,标志着连续 7 个月度蜡烛创纪录的纪录结束。 60,000 美元的心理支撑位成为一个关键标志,币安上围绕该水平设有大量买入墙。然而,订单簿内的整体流动性似乎相对较低,并且由于 ETF 购买压力减少以及缺乏即将到来的看涨事件,比特币的情绪正在减弱。
Bitcoin's Monthly Dominance Fades, Marking an End to an Unprecedented Streak
比特币的月度主导地位逐渐减弱,标志着前所未有的连续走势的结束
As the month of April draws to a close, Bitcoin (BTC) is poised to end the month with a notable decline, marking an end to seven consecutive green monthly candles—a historic streak that has propelled Bitcoin's rise to new heights.
随着 4 月接近尾声,比特币 (BTC) 将以显着下跌结束这个月,标志着连续七个绿色月度蜡烛的结束——这一历史性的连续走势将比特币的涨幅推向了新的高度。
At the beginning of April, Bitcoin soared to an all-time high for a monthly candle close, reaching approximately $71,200. This surge surpassed the previous record of $60,500 set in 2021, further solidifying Bitcoin's position as the dominant force in the cryptocurrency market.
4 月初,比特币飙升至历史新高,创下月度蜡烛收盘价,达到约 71,200 美元。这一涨幅超过了 2021 年创下的 60,500 美元的纪录,进一步巩固了比特币作为加密货币市场主导力量的地位。
However, the past few weeks have witnessed a shift in sentiment, with buying pressure from Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the US waning and Hong Kong ETFs underperforming expectations. This has contributed to a decline of roughly 15% since the start of the month.
然而,过去几周市场情绪发生转变,美国比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)的购买压力减弱,而香港 ETF 的表现不及预期。自本月初以来,这导致了大约 15% 的下降。
Psychological Support and Market Dynamics
心理支持与市场动态
As Bitcoin navigates this period of uncertainty, the psychological support level of $60,000 is expected to play a crucial role in the coming week. This level has historically acted as a significant support for Bitcoin, influencing market sentiment and trading strategies.
随着比特币度过这一不确定时期,60,000 美元的心理支撑位预计将在未来一周发挥至关重要的作用。从历史上看,这一水平一直是比特币的重要支撑,影响市场情绪和交易策略。
Data from Coinglass reveals that over $300 million in crypto liquidations have occurred in the past 24 hours, with the majority coming from long positions. This indicates that traders are becoming more cautious in their bullish bets.
Coinglass 的数据显示,过去 24 小时内发生了超过 3 亿美元的加密货币清算,其中大部分来自多头头寸。这表明交易者在看涨押注中变得更加谨慎。
Binance, the most liquid exchange for Bitcoin trading, exhibits significant buy walls around $60,000. Notably, over 1,000 BTC ($60 million) of buy orders are positioned on the BTC-USDT pair, indicating a willingness to absorb a potential dip to that level. However, the overall liquidity within the order book appears relatively low compared to previous bull runs.
币安是比特币交易流动性最强的交易所,其买入墙的规模约为 60,000 美元。值得注意的是,超过 1,000 BTC(6,000 万美元)的买单位于 BTC-USDT 货币对上,表明愿意吸收潜在的跌幅至该水平。然而,与之前的牛市相比,订单簿内的整体流动性似乎相对较低。
Future Outlook and Price Discovery
未来展望和价格发现
With subdued sentiment and a lack of upcoming bullish events on the horizon, Bitcoin's price discovery is likely to be influenced more by the intrinsic value of the Bitcoin network rather than optimism about future events. Major milestones such as US ETF approval, the Halving, and Hong Kong ETF launches have all occurred during Bitcoin's meteoric rise.
由于情绪低迷且缺乏即将到来的看涨事件,比特币的价格发现可能更多地受到比特币网络内在价值的影响,而不是对未来事件的乐观情绪。美国 ETF 获批、减半、香港 ETF 推出等重大里程碑都发生在比特币飞速上涨期间。
Over 90% of Bitcoin holders are currently in profit, raising questions about whether it is time for profit-taking and a retest of lower bounds. Alternatively, Bitcoin may hold strong at this key historical and psychological monthly support level.
超过 90% 的比特币持有者目前处于盈利状态,这引发了人们的疑问:是否到了获利回吐和重新测试下限的时候了。或者,比特币可能会在这个关键的历史和心理月度支撑位保持坚挺。
Market Data
市场数据
As of 5:48 pm UTC on April 30, 2024, Bitcoin is ranked #1 by market capitalization at $1.19 trillion and has a 24-hour trading volume of $32.26 billion. Bitcoin's price has declined by 4% over the past 24 hours.
截至 2024 年 4 月 30 日下午 5:48(世界标准时间),比特币以 1.19 万亿美元的市值排名第一,24 小时交易量为 322.6 亿美元。过去 24 小时内,比特币价格下跌了 4%。
Conclusion
结论
Bitcoin's end to seven consecutive green monthly candles marks a significant shift in market dynamics. As buying pressure wanes and sentiment dampens, the psychological support of $60,000 will be closely watched in the coming week. The intrinsic value of the Bitcoin network and the absence of major bullish events on the horizon will likely play a more significant role in price discovery. Whether Bitcoin holds strong at this key support level or retests lower bounds remains to be seen.
比特币连续七个绿色月度蜡烛的结束标志着市场动态的重大转变。随着买盘压力减弱和情绪减弱,未来一周将密切关注60,000美元的心理支撑位。比特币网络的内在价值以及即将发生的重大看涨事件可能会在价格发现中发挥更重要的作用。比特币是否在这一关键支撑位保持坚挺或重新测试下限仍有待观察。
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