比特幣 (BTC) 價格今日暴跌，抹去了聖誕漲勢的漲幅

在最近的比特幣上漲期間，社群媒體用戶過於興奮。聖誕節那天，比特幣一度接近觸及 10 萬美元大關，但在過去的一天裡

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) took a hit on Monday, erasing gains from the Christmas rally. Here’s how social media sentiment might have foreshadowed the recent price drop.

比特幣（CRYPTO：BTC）週一遭受重創，抹去了聖誕節上漲的漲幅。以下是社群媒體情緒可能預示著近期價格下跌的情況。

What Happened: On Christmas Day, Bitcoin came close to touching the $100,000 mark. However, over the past day, the coin has seen a sharp reversal of trend as its price crashed toward the $95,000 level.

發生了什麼事：聖誕節那天，比特幣接近觸及 10 萬美元大關。然而，在過去的一天裡，隨著其價格暴跌至 95,000 美元的水平，代幣的趨勢急劇逆轉。

As with any other price plunge, several factors are bound to be contributing to the trend. One of these could potentially be the sentiment shared by traders on social media.

與其他價格暴跌一樣，有幾個因素必然會導致這一趨勢。其中之一可能是交易者在社群媒體上分享的情緒。

When BTC had rallied on Sunday, analytics firm Santiment shared a chart that revealed how social media had been reacting to the run. The indicator cited by the analytics firm was the “Social Dominance.”

當比特幣週日上漲時，分析公司 Santiment 分享了一張圖表，顯示社群媒體對比特幣上漲的反應。該分析公司引用的指標是「社會主導地位」。

The Social Dominance keeps track of the percentage of the total social media discussions related to the top 100 cryptocurrencies that a given term or topic occupies.

Social Dominance 追蹤特定術語或主題在與前 100 名加密貨幣相關的社群媒體討論總數中所佔的百分比。

Santiment has used this metric for gauging sentiment on the major social media platforms by applying Bitcoin and price-target-related terms to it. The price targets in question are $90,000, $100,000, and $110,000.

Santiment 透過應用比特幣和價格目標相關術語，使用此指標來衡量主要社群媒體平台上的情緒。所討論的目標價為 90,000 美元、100,000 美元和 110,000 美元。

In the context of the recent rally, investors posting about the $90,000 target would naturally be bearish on BTC. Similarly, the posts containing $100,000 would reflect a neutral sentiment, and those with $110,000 would correspond to bullish optimism.

在近期反彈的背景下，投資人將目標定在 9 萬美元左右，自然會看空 BTC。同樣，包含 100,000 美元的帖子將反映中性情緒，而包含 110,000 美元的帖子將對應看漲樂觀情緒。

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Social Dominance for these terms over the last month:

現在，下面的圖表顯示了上個月這些術語的比特幣社會主導地位的趨勢：

As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin Social Dominance for the $110,000 target spiked during the latest rally, implying the social media users were quite bullish about the run and expected it to continue until a new all-time high (ATH).

從上圖中可以看出，比特幣的社交優勢在最近的反彈中達到了110,000 美元的目標，這意味著社交媒體用戶對這次上漲非常樂觀，並預計它將持續到新的歷史高點( ATH)。

Historically, the cryptocurrency’s price has tended to move in a manner opposite to the expectations of the crowd. This probability of a contrary move taking place has also only gone up the more sure the traders have become about a direction.

從歷史上看，加密貨幣的價格走勢往往與大眾的預期相反。交易者對方向更確定時，相反走勢的可能性只會增加。

As such, while some optimism may not prove to be bad for a rally, an excess of hype can make a reversal more likely to take place. From the chart, it’s apparent that the Social Dominance of the level had also spiked twice earlier in the month and on both occasions, BTC had ended up suffering price declines.

因此，雖然一些樂觀情緒可能不會對反彈不利，但過度炒作可能會使逆轉更有可能發生。從圖表中可以明顯看出，該水平的社會主導度在本月早些時候也飆升了兩次，而兩次比特幣最終都遭受了價格下跌。

Given the past precedence, it’s not surprising to see that the latest price rally also ended up in failure after the traders on social media got overly excited about where the run could lead to.

考慮到過去的先例，在社群媒體上的交易員對這次上漲可能導致的結果過於興奮之後，最新的價格上漲也以失敗告終也就不足為奇了。

BTC Price Action: At press time, Bitcoin was trading down 3.83% at $96,113.33 over 24 hours and had gained 0.23% over the past seven days.

比特幣價格走勢：截至發稿時，比特幣在 24 小時內下跌 3.83%，至 96,113.33 美元，過去 7 天上漲了 0.23%。