比特币 (BTC) 价格今日暴跌，抹去了圣诞涨势的涨幅

在最近的比特币上涨期间，社交媒体用户过于兴奋。圣诞节那天，比特币一度接近触及 10 万美元大关，但在过去的一天里

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) took a hit on Monday, erasing gains from the Christmas rally. Here’s how social media sentiment might have foreshadowed the recent price drop.

比特币（CRYPTO：BTC）周一遭受重创，抹去了圣诞节上涨的涨幅。以下是社交媒体情绪可能预示着近期价格下跌的情况。

What Happened: On Christmas Day, Bitcoin came close to touching the $100,000 mark. However, over the past day, the coin has seen a sharp reversal of trend as its price crashed toward the $95,000 level.

发生了什么：圣诞节那天，比特币接近触及 10 万美元大关。然而，在过去的一天里，随着其价格暴跌至 95,000 美元的水平，代币的趋势急剧逆转。

As with any other price plunge, several factors are bound to be contributing to the trend. One of these could potentially be the sentiment shared by traders on social media.

与任何其他价格暴跌一样，有几个因素必然会导致这一趋势。其中之一可能是交易者在社交媒体上分享的情绪。

When BTC had rallied on Sunday, analytics firm Santiment shared a chart that revealed how social media had been reacting to the run. The indicator cited by the analytics firm was the “Social Dominance.”

当比特币周日上涨时，分析公司 Santiment 分享了一张图表，显示了社交媒体对比特币上涨的反应。该分析公司引用的指标是“社会主导地位”。

The Social Dominance keeps track of the percentage of the total social media discussions related to the top 100 cryptocurrencies that a given term or topic occupies.

Social Dominance 跟踪特定术语或主题在与前 100 名加密货币相关的社交媒体讨论总数中所占的百分比。

Santiment has used this metric for gauging sentiment on the major social media platforms by applying Bitcoin and price-target-related terms to it. The price targets in question are $90,000, $100,000, and $110,000.

Santiment 通过应用比特币和价格目标相关术语，使用这一指标来衡量主要社交媒体平台上的情绪。所讨论的目标价格为 90,000 美元、100,000 美元和 110,000 美元。

In the context of the recent rally, investors posting about the $90,000 target would naturally be bearish on BTC. Similarly, the posts containing $100,000 would reflect a neutral sentiment, and those with $110,000 would correspond to bullish optimism.

在近期反弹的背景下，投资者将目标定在 9 万美元左右，自然会看空 BTC。同样，包含 100,000 美元的帖子将反映中性情绪，而包含 110,000 美元的帖子将对应看涨乐观情绪。

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Social Dominance for these terms over the last month:

现在，下面的图表显示了上个月这些术语的比特币社会主导地位的趋势：

As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin Social Dominance for the $110,000 target spiked during the latest rally, implying the social media users were quite bullish about the run and expected it to continue until a new all-time high (ATH).

从上图中可以看出，比特币的社交优势在最近的反弹中达到了 110,000 美元的目标，这意味着社交媒体用户对这次上涨非常乐观，并预计它将持续到新的历史高点 (ATH)。

Historically, the cryptocurrency’s price has tended to move in a manner opposite to the expectations of the crowd. This probability of a contrary move taking place has also only gone up the more sure the traders have become about a direction.

从历史上看，加密货币的价格走势往往与大众的预期相反。交易者对方向更加确定时，发生相反走势的可能性只会增加。

As such, while some optimism may not prove to be bad for a rally, an excess of hype can make a reversal more likely to take place. From the chart, it’s apparent that the Social Dominance of the level had also spiked twice earlier in the month and on both occasions, BTC had ended up suffering price declines.

因此，虽然一些乐观情绪可能不会对反弹不利，但过度炒作可能会使逆转更有可能发生。从图表中可以明显看出，该水平的社会主导度在本月早些时候也飙升了两次，而两次比特币最终都遭受了价格下跌。

Given the past precedence, it’s not surprising to see that the latest price rally also ended up in failure after the traders on social media got overly excited about where the run could lead to.

考虑到过去的先例，在社交媒体上的交易员对这次上涨可能导致的结果过于兴奋之后，最新的价格上涨也以失败告终也就不足为奇了。

BTC Price Action: At press time, Bitcoin was trading down 3.83% at $96,113.33 over 24 hours and had gained 0.23% over the past seven days.

比特币价格走势：截至发稿时，比特币在 24 小时内下跌 3.83%，至 96,113.33 美元，在过去 7 天里上涨了 0.23%。