XRP (XRP) 价格预测：随着 SEC 之争的激烈进行，XRP 能否触及 25 美元？

随着 SEC 与 Ripple 的斗争继续进行，人们正在讨论 XRP 达到 25 美元的可能性。支持 XRP 的倡导者约翰·迪顿 (John Deaton) 详细介绍了此案以及潜在的结果。

The cryptocurrency market is on a roll and XRP is leading the charge. XRP, the native token of the XRP Ledger, has seen a 5% gain in the last 24 hours. The price is currently at $3.34, up 35% over the last week. XRP’s market capitalization has now reached $192 billion, surpassing USDT's $138 billion and closing in on Goldman Sachs', which is valued at $193.5 billion.

加密货币市场正在蓬勃发展，XRP 处于领先地位。 XRP 是 XRP Ledger 的原生代币，在过去 24 小时内上涨了 5%。目前价格为 3.34 美元，较上周上涨 35%。 XRP 的市值现已达到 1920 亿美元，超过 USDT 的 1380 亿美元，接近高盛的 1935 亿美元。

Several strong tailwinds are contributing to XRP's recent surge. JPMorgan has highlighted the potential impact of a spot ETF on XRP's price, indicating that billions of dollars will flow into XRP when the ETF launches, driving up demand. Additionally, there are rumors that Trump will approve an American Crypto Reserve, which will include Ripple's XRP, to be announced in a Trump Executive Order this week.

一些强劲的推动因素推动了 XRP 最近的飙升。摩根大通强调了现货 ETF 对 XRP 价格的潜在影响，表明当 ETF 推出时，数十亿美元将流入 XRP，从而推高需求。此外，有传言称，特朗普将批准美国加密货币储备，其中包括 Ripple 的 XRP，并将在本周的特朗普行政命令中宣布。

Ripple's CEO Brad Garlinghouse has also stated that it is inevitable that an ETF will be launched, with several companies applying to offer it, including Bitwise and WisdomTree.

Ripple首席执行官布拉德·加林豪斯(Brad Garlinghouse)也表示，推出ETF是不可避免的，已有多家公司申请推出ETF，其中包括Bitwise和WisdomTree。

Today, Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart shared a list of the current digital asset ETF filings on his X terminal, notably highlighting the multiple separate filings for XRP ETFs by Bitwise, Canary, and others.

今天，彭博社分析师 James Seyffart 在他的 X 终端上分享了当前数字资产 ETF 备案的列表，特别强调了 Bitwise、Canary 等公司针对 XRP ETF 的多个单独备案。

With the SEC now showing support for crypto, multiple applications have been filed for crypto ETFs. Source: X

随着美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 现在表示对加密货币的支持，已经提交了多个加密 ETF 申请。来源：X

In other news, the U.S. SEC is reportedly revamping its crypto regulation strategy following the departure of Chairman Gary Gensler. Acting Chair Mark Uyeda has announced a new crypto task force to create a clear regulatory framework for crypto assets.

在其他消息中，据报道，美国证券交易委员会在主席加里·詹斯勒（Gary Gensler）离职后正在修改其加密货币监管策略。代理主席 Mark Uyeda 宣布成立新的加密货币工作组，为加密资产创建明确的监管框架。

The task force, to be led by Commissioner Hester Peirce, a crypto advocate, will work with industry stakeholders, Congress, and the CFTC to resolve jurisdictional conflicts and regulatory ambiguities. The SEC aims to move away from its enforcement-heavy approach, which has caused confusion and stifled innovation. Peirce emphasized the need for broad collaboration to protect investors, support innovation, and foster market integrity.

该工作组由加密货币倡导者、专员 Hester Peirce 领导，将与行业利益相关者、国会和 CFTC 合作解决管辖权冲突和监管模糊性。美国证券交易委员会的目标是摆脱其强制执行的做法，这种做法造成了混乱并扼杀了创新。皮尔斯强调需要进行广泛合作，以保护投资者、支持创新和促进市场诚信。

This bodes well for the approval of XRP ETFs by the SEC.

这对于 SEC 批准 XRP ETF 来说是个好兆头。

Trump's pro-crypto policies have also pushed XRP futures to record highs. Open interest (OI)—a measure of market sentiment—reached an all-time high of $7.6 billion on Jan. 18 before settling at $7.1 billion.

特朗普的支持加密货币的政策也推动 XRP 期货创下历史新高。未平仓合约 (OI)（衡量市场情绪的指标）于 1 月 18 日达到 76 亿美元的历史新高，随后稳定在 71 亿美元。

OI has increased by 90% since Jan. 9, during which time XRP has risen by 47%. High OI indicates strong market momentum and traders' bullish outlook. It's reminiscent of the OI levels during the bull run of November-December 2024, which preceded a 170% rally in XRP.

自 1 月 9 日以来，OI 上涨了 90%，在此期间 XRP 上涨了 47%。高持仓量表明强劲的市场动力和交易者看涨的前景。这让人想起 2024 年 11 月至 12 月牛市期间的 OI 水平，当时 XRP 上涨了 170%。

Moreover, favorable political developments are also boosting XRP's performance. With the new U.S. administration and President-elect Trump's pro-crypto stance, the market is optimistic. The expected appointment of Paul Atkins to head the SEC, given his crypto-friendly views, has raised hopes for regulatory clarity, which is crucial for the XRP ecosystem amid Ripple's ongoing legal battle with the SEC.

此外，有利的政治发展也提振了 XRP 的表现。随着美国新政府和当选总统特朗普的支持加密货币立场，市场感到乐观。鉴于保罗·阿特金斯对加密货币友好的观点，预计将任命保罗·阿特金斯 (Paul Atkins) 担任 SEC 主席，这引发了人们对监管清晰度的希望，这对于 Ripple 与 SEC 正在进行的法律斗争中的 XRP 生态系统至关重要。

Ripple's legal battle with the SEC began in 2020, when the SEC sued Ripple for allegedly conducting unregistered securities offerings through XRP sales. In July 2023, a federal court ruled that XRP is not a security when sold on exchanges, but that institutional sales were unregistered securities. The SEC appealed this ruling in late 2024, and the case is still pending. Ripple's CLO, Stuart Alderoty, has criticized the SEC for the slow pace of the proceedings, which may change under the new administration.

Ripple 与 SEC 的法律战始于 2020 年，当时 SEC 起诉 Ripple 涉嫌通过 XRP 销售进行未经注册的证券发行。 2023 年 7 月，联邦法院裁定 XRP 在交易所出售时不是证券，但机构销售是未经注册的证券。美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 于 2024 年底对此裁决提出上诉，目前该案仍悬而未决。 Ripple 的首席法律官斯图尔特·阿尔德罗蒂 (Stuart Alderoty) 批评 SEC 的诉讼程序进展缓慢，而在新政府的领导下，这一情况可能会发生变化。

Despite the legal challenges, Ripple continues to expand its operations. In 2023, it acquired Swiss crypto custody firm Metaco for $250 million. It also received approval from Singapore's Monetary Authority to offer digital payment token services and is ramping up its presence in the Asia-Pacific region. In October 2024, it launched RLUSD, a U.S. dollar-pegged stablecoin.

尽管面临法律挑战，Ripple 仍继续扩大其业务。 2023年，它以2.5亿美元收购了瑞士加密货币托管公司Metaco。它还获得了新加坡金融管理局的批准，可以提供数字支付代币服务，并正在扩大其在亚太地区的业务。 2024年10月，推出了与美元挂钩的稳定币RLUSD。

XRP Eyes $4.0 Milestone Amid Bullish Market Signals

在看涨的市场信号中，XRP 瞄准 4.0 美元里程碑

XRP is grabbing headlines as it eyes a breakout above the $4.0 price level. A technical analysis of the XRP/USD daily chart reveals several bullish indicators. The 10-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is positioned at $3.22, while the 100-day SMA is at $3.21, both indicating a stable market. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 60.11, suggesting that XRP is not yet considered overbought, which could indicate further upside potential.

XRP 正在成为头条新闻，因为它有望突破 4.0 美元的价格水平。 XRP/USD 日线图的技术分析揭示了几个看涨指标。 10 日简单移动平均线 (SMA) 位于 3.22 美元，100 日简单移动平均线 (SMA) 位于 3.21 美元，两者均表明市场稳定。相对强度指数 (RSI) 为 60.11，表明 XRP 尚未被视为超买，这可能表明进一步的上涨潜力。

XRP/USD daily chart. Source: Trading View

XRP/美元日线图。来源：交易观点

Over the past few months, XRP has experienced a remarkable rally of 449.19%. According to crypto analyst Jr. Lai Jr., this trend is likely to continue, with XRP poised to climb above the $10 price

在过去的几个月里，XRP 经历了 449.19% 的惊人上涨。加密货币分析师 Jr. Lai Jr. 表示，这种趋势可能会持续下去，XRP 有望升至 10 美元以上