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随着XRP在与美国证券交易委员会(SEC)的持续战斗中,XRP接近关键的法律发展时,Ripple社区正在密切关注。
The Ripple community is closely watching as XRP approaches a key legal development in its ongoing battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
随着XRP与美国证券交易委员会(SEC)的持续战斗,XRP接近关键的法律发展时,Ripple社区正在密切关注。
With a resolution expected within the next 60 days, there are growing hopes that this could pave the way for the approval of an XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF), offering a boost to investor sentiment.
随着未来60天内预计的决议,人们越来越希望这可以为XRP交易所交易基金(ETF)的批准铺平道路,从而增强了投资者的情绪。
However, despite this possible legal turning point, the price performance of XRP tells a different story, as the digital asset has faced declines in early 2025.
但是,尽管有一个法律上的转折点,但XRP的价格性能讲述了一个不同的故事,因为数字资产在2025年初面临下降。
Among the major cryptocurrencies, XRP has been one of the most affected assets, seeing a 35% drop in value starting from the beginning of 2025. This slump persists even with XRP being part of the US strategic reserve, much like other assets such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Cardano, and Solana.
在主要的加密货币中,XRP是受影响最大的资产之一,从2025年初开始的价值下降了35%。即使XRP也是美国战略储备的一部分,这种低迷仍然存在,就像比特币,以太坊,甲card鼠和Solana这样的其他资产。
As the legal case between Ripple and the SEC enters its final stages, there are increasing expectations for an ETF to be approved shortly after the case concludes. An ETF would allow for more accessible investment in XRP, potentially leading to heightened interest and trading volume in the digital asset.
随着Ripple和SEC之间的法律案件进入其最后阶段,在案件结束后不久将批准ETF的期望越来越多。 ETF将允许对XRP进行更容易获得的投资,这有可能导致数字资产的兴趣和交易量的增加。
Betting on XRP’s All-Time High
投注XRP的历史高
According to Polymarket betting data, the chances of XRP reaching a new all-time high before July 2025 have decreased drastically.
根据Polymarket Betting数据,XRP在2025年7月之前达到新历史最高高的机会急剧下降。
Following Donald Trump’s inauguration, there were nearly 90% odds on XRP hitting a new all-time high. However, these odds have drastically dropped to just 4% at present.
唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)就职典礼后,XRP击中了新的历史最高点。但是,目前这些赔率已大幅下降到仅4%。
Current Market Data and Liquidation Trends
当前的市场数据和清算趋势
In terms of the latest market performance, XRP has shown a slight gain of 2.04%, bringing its price to $2.16. However, the 24-hour trading volume has seen a decrease of 4.42%, amounting to $4.13 billion.
就最新市场业绩而言,XRP的略有增长率为2.04%,其价格为2.16美元。但是,24小时的交易量减少了4.42%,总计41.3亿美元。
XRP’s market cap is $125.9 billion, with a circulating supply of 58.2 billion XRP out of a total supply of 99.98 billion. The maximum supply cap is set at 100 billion XRP.
XRP的市值为1.259亿美元,循环供应量为582亿XRP,总供应量为99.8亿美元。最大电源上限设置为1000亿XRP。
The chart on XRP total liquidations showcases the varying levels of the asset’s price and liquidation events. From October 2023 through March 2024, XRP experienced different stages of volatility.
XRP总清算的图表显示了资产价格和清算事件的不同水平。从2023年10月到2024年3月,XRP经历了不同的波动阶段。
During periods of price movement, there were more short and long liquidations. Notably, liquidations increased during surges in late 2023 and early 2024. This pattern highlights the market’s reactivity to price shifts. As of March 2024, XRP’s price appears to be stabilizing around $2.00, with liquidations dropping off after the rapid rise in early March.
在价格上涨期间,有更多短而长的清算。值得注意的是,在2023年底和2024年初的潮流中,清算增加了。这种模式突出了市场对价格变化的反应性。截至2024年3月,XRP的价格似乎稳定在2.00美元左右,3月初快速上升后清算下降。
Technical Indicators Show Bearish Signals
技术指标显示看跌信号
In terms of technical analysis, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 42.74. This level indicates that XRP is nearing oversold conditions but has not yet entered the oversold zone, which is typically defined by an RSI reading below 30.
在技术分析方面,相对强度指数(RSI)为42.74。该级别表明XRP正在接近超售条件,但尚未进入超售区,该区域通常由30以下的RSI读数定义。
The RSI measures the magnitude of recent price changes to assess an asset’s overbought or oversold status. In this case, the RSI approaching oversold levels suggests that the recent price declines have put downward pressure on XRP, and the bears still hold some momentum. However, the fact that it’s not yet oversold leaves room for a potential reversal if bullish trends emerge.
RSI衡量了最近价格变化的幅度,以评估资产过多或超卖状态。在这种情况下,RSI接近超售的水平表明,最近的价格下跌已经对XRP施加了向下压力,而熊队仍然保持一定的势头。但是,如果趋势出现,它尚未超额出售的事实为潜在的逆转提供了空间。
Moreover, there is a bearish Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) formation. At the time of writing, the MACD line is spotted below the signal line, suggesting that more selling pressure is anticipated until the MACD line crosses above the signal line. This crossover would mark the onset of bullish pressure, which could be observed in the MACD histogram.
此外,有看跌的移动平均收敛差异(MACD)形成。在撰写本文时,MACD线被发现在信号线下方,这表明预计会有更多的销售压力,直到MACD线越过信号线上。这种跨界将标志着看涨压力的发作,这可以在MACD直方图中观察到。
The MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator that signals trend reversals. A bearish MACD, like the one detected in the chart, indicates that the 12-period EMA (Exponential Moving Average) is moving slower than the 26-period EMA, and the MACD is decreasing. This suggests a strong downward trend with decreasing momentum.
MACD是一个趋势范围的动量指标,该指标表明趋势逆转。与图表中检测到的那样,看跌的MACD表明,12-周期EMA(指数移动平均值)的移动速度慢于26- period EMA,并且MACD正在减少。这表明随着势头的降低,下降趋势强劲。
The MACD line is lagging behind the signal line, which implies that the bullish momentum is not yet strong enough to sustain a positive trend reversal. Only when the MACD line crosses above the signal line will the bullish pressure become more dominant, and the MACD histogram will begin to rise, indicating increasing momentum in the bullish trend.
MACD线落后于信号线,这意味着看涨的势头还不够强,无法维持积极的趋势逆转。只有当MACD线越过信号线上方时,看涨压力才会变得更加主导,MACD直方图将开始上升,这表明看涨趋势的动量增加。
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