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隨著XRP在與美國證券交易委員會(SEC)的持續戰鬥中,XRP接近關鍵的法律發展時,Ripple社區正在密切關注。
The Ripple community is closely watching as XRP approaches a key legal development in its ongoing battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
隨著XRP與美國證券交易委員會(SEC)的持續戰鬥,XRP接近關鍵的法律發展時,Ripple社區正在密切關注。
With a resolution expected within the next 60 days, there are growing hopes that this could pave the way for the approval of an XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF), offering a boost to investor sentiment.
隨著未來60天內預計的決議,人們越來越希望這可以為XRP交易所交易基金(ETF)的批准鋪平道路,從而增強了投資者的情緒。
However, despite this possible legal turning point, the price performance of XRP tells a different story, as the digital asset has faced declines in early 2025.
但是,儘管有一個法律上的轉折點,但XRP的價格性能講述了一個不同的故事,因為數字資產在2025年初面臨下降。
Among the major cryptocurrencies, XRP has been one of the most affected assets, seeing a 35% drop in value starting from the beginning of 2025. This slump persists even with XRP being part of the US strategic reserve, much like other assets such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Cardano, and Solana.
在主要的加密貨幣中,XRP是受影響最大的資產之一,從2025年初開始的價值下降了35%。即使XRP也是美國戰略儲備的一部分,這種低迷仍然存在,就像比特幣,以太坊,甲card鼠和Solana這樣的其他資產。
As the legal case between Ripple and the SEC enters its final stages, there are increasing expectations for an ETF to be approved shortly after the case concludes. An ETF would allow for more accessible investment in XRP, potentially leading to heightened interest and trading volume in the digital asset.
隨著Ripple和SEC之間的法律案件進入其最後階段,在案件結束後不久將批准ETF的期望越來越多。 ETF將允許對XRP進行更容易獲得的投資,這有可能導致數字資產的興趣和交易量的增加。
Betting on XRP’s All-Time High
投注XRP的歷史高
According to Polymarket betting data, the chances of XRP reaching a new all-time high before July 2025 have decreased drastically.
根據Polymarket Betting數據,XRP在2025年7月之前達到新歷史最高高的機會急劇下降。
Following Donald Trump’s inauguration, there were nearly 90% odds on XRP hitting a new all-time high. However, these odds have drastically dropped to just 4% at present.
唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)就職典禮後,XRP擊中了新的歷史最高點。但是,目前這些賠率已大幅下降到僅4%。
Current Market Data and Liquidation Trends
當前的市場數據和清算趨勢
In terms of the latest market performance, XRP has shown a slight gain of 2.04%, bringing its price to $2.16. However, the 24-hour trading volume has seen a decrease of 4.42%, amounting to $4.13 billion.
就最新市場業績而言,XRP的略有增長率為2.04%,其價格為2.16美元。但是,24小時的交易量減少了4.42%,總計41.3億美元。
XRP’s market cap is $125.9 billion, with a circulating supply of 58.2 billion XRP out of a total supply of 99.98 billion. The maximum supply cap is set at 100 billion XRP.
XRP的市值為1.259億美元,循環供應量為582億XRP,總供應量為99.8億美元。最大電源上限設置為1000億XRP。
The chart on XRP total liquidations showcases the varying levels of the asset’s price and liquidation events. From October 2023 through March 2024, XRP experienced different stages of volatility.
XRP總清算的圖表顯示了資產價格和清算事件的不同水平。從2023年10月到2024年3月,XRP經歷了不同的波動階段。
During periods of price movement, there were more short and long liquidations. Notably, liquidations increased during surges in late 2023 and early 2024. This pattern highlights the market’s reactivity to price shifts. As of March 2024, XRP’s price appears to be stabilizing around $2.00, with liquidations dropping off after the rapid rise in early March.
在價格上漲期間,有更多短而長的清算。值得注意的是,在2023年底和2024年初的潮流中,清算增加了。這種模式突出了市場對價格變化的反應性。截至2024年3月,XRP的價格似乎穩定在2.00美元左右,3月初快速上升後清算下降。
Technical Indicators Show Bearish Signals
技術指標顯示看跌信號
In terms of technical analysis, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 42.74. This level indicates that XRP is nearing oversold conditions but has not yet entered the oversold zone, which is typically defined by an RSI reading below 30.
在技術分析方面,相對強度指數(RSI)為42.74。該級別表明XRP正在接近超售條件,但尚未進入超售區,該區域通常由30以下的RSI讀數定義。
The RSI measures the magnitude of recent price changes to assess an asset’s overbought or oversold status. In this case, the RSI approaching oversold levels suggests that the recent price declines have put downward pressure on XRP, and the bears still hold some momentum. However, the fact that it’s not yet oversold leaves room for a potential reversal if bullish trends emerge.
RSI衡量了最近價格變化的幅度,以評估資產過多或超賣狀態。在這種情況下,RSI接近超售的水平表明,最近的價格下跌已經對XRP施加了向下壓力,而熊隊仍然保持一定的勢頭。但是,如果趨勢出現,它尚未超額出售的事實為潛在的逆轉提供了空間。
Moreover, there is a bearish Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) formation. At the time of writing, the MACD line is spotted below the signal line, suggesting that more selling pressure is anticipated until the MACD line crosses above the signal line. This crossover would mark the onset of bullish pressure, which could be observed in the MACD histogram.
此外,有看跌的移動平均收斂差異(MACD)形成。在撰寫本文時,MACD線被發現在信號線下方,這表明預計會有更多的銷售壓力,直到MACD線越過信號線上。這種跨界將標誌著看漲壓力的發作,這可以在MACD直方圖中觀察到。
The MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator that signals trend reversals. A bearish MACD, like the one detected in the chart, indicates that the 12-period EMA (Exponential Moving Average) is moving slower than the 26-period EMA, and the MACD is decreasing. This suggests a strong downward trend with decreasing momentum.
MACD是一個趨勢範圍的動量指標,該指標表明趨勢逆轉。與圖表中檢測到的那樣,看跌的MACD表明,12-週期EMA(指數移動平均值)的移動速度慢於26- period EMA,並且MACD正在減少。這表明隨著勢頭的降低,下降趨勢強勁。
The MACD line is lagging behind the signal line, which implies that the bullish momentum is not yet strong enough to sustain a positive trend reversal. Only when the MACD line crosses above the signal line will the bullish pressure become more dominant, and the MACD histogram will begin to rise, indicating increasing momentum in the bullish trend.
MACD線落後於信號線,這意味著看漲的勢頭還不夠強,無法維持積極的趨勢逆轉。只有當MACD線越過信號線上方時,看漲壓力才會變得更加主導,MACD直方圖將開始上升,這表明看漲趨勢的動量增加。
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