特朗普正式宣布“倒数”关税

今天，在解放日，唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）总统正式实施了他期待已久的关税，这标志着美国经济政策的重要时刻。

President Donald Trump's administration is planning to impose a minimum 10% tariff on all countries and is setting the specific rates for several major trading partners, kicking off a day of major economic announcements.

唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）总统的政府计划对所有国家征收至少10％的关税，并为几个主要的贸易伙伴设定具体利率，从而开始了一天的主要经济公告。

The new tariffs, which will take effect immediately, are part of a broader effort by the Trump administration to renegotiate trade deals and reduce the U.S. trade deficit. The administration says that the tariffs are necessary to protect American jobs and industries from unfair foreign competition.

新的关税将立即生效，是特朗普政府为重新谈判贸易交易和减少美国贸易赤字的更广泛努力的一部分。政府说，关税是保护美国就业和行业免受不公平外国竞争的必要条件。

The administration is also planning to adopt a reciprocal tariff policy, matching the rates that other countries charge on American goods. For example, Canada will face a 300% tariff on dairy products, while Mexico will face a 100% tariff on apples.

政府还计划采用互惠关税政策，以与其他国家对美国商品收取的利率相匹配。例如，加拿大将面临300％的乳制品关税，而墨西哥将面临100％的苹果关税。

The U.S. also subsidizes Canada by $200 billion a year and Mexico by $300 billion, and Trump asked rhetorically why the U.S. has allowed this to continue. According to Trump, these policies have led to the country’s debt and deficit, but he declared that this era of what he called "economic looting" is over. He even jokingly stated that the tariff implementation is a "50% discount" based on how other countries charge the U.S.

美国还每年补贴加拿大2亿加元，墨西哥增加了3000亿加元，特朗普对美国为何允许这一继续努力。根据特朗普的说法，这些政策导致了该国的债务和赤字，但他宣布，他所谓的“经济掠夺”的时代已经结束。他甚至开玩笑地说，根据其他国家的向美国收费，关税的实施是“ 50％的折扣”

"We're not planning any new tariffs. We're not planning to raise tariffs. We're not planning to lower tariffs. We're planning to have reciprocal tariffs with every country, and we're starting today," Trump said during the event.

特朗普在活动期间说：“我们没有计划任何新的关税。我们不打算提高关税。我们不打算降低关税。我们计划与每个国家 /地区征收互惠关税，而我们今天开始。”

The new tariffs are expected to have a significant impact on the U.S. economy. Economists predict that the broad application of tariffs could hinder U.S. economic growth, with some forecasting a recession if retaliatory measures follow.

预计新的关税将对美国经济产生重大影响。经济学家预测，关税的广泛应用可能会阻碍美国的经济增长，如果采取报复措施，一些预测会衰退。

As import costs rise, consumer prices could possibly increase as well, impacting purchasing power and potentially reducing investment in speculative assets, including crypto. Uncertainty may drive investors towards traditional safe havens, weakening crypto’s recent momentum, some experts warn.

随着进口成本的上升，消费价格也可能会上涨，从而影响购买力，并有可能降低包括加密在内的投机资产的投资。一些专家警告说，不确定性可能会驱使投资者进入传统的避风港，削弱加密货币最近的势头。

However, heightened concerns over fiat currency stability might also boost interest in decentralized financial systems. While some traders might see the turbulence as an opportunity, the overall sentiment leans towards caution. Despite this, while most people expect turbulence, some history has shown us on more than one occassion that markets tend to go against people’s beliefs, meaning a surge in prices is also in the cards. Trump announced major developments and investments from top U.S. companies, which could mean that we can expect a bullish move from the stock market.

但是，人们对法定货币稳定性的担忧也可能增加对分散金融系统的利益。尽管一些交易者可能将动荡视为机会，但总体情绪却谨慎行事。尽管如此，尽管大多数人期望动荡，但一些历史向我们展示了市场往往会违背人们的信念，这意味着价格上涨。特朗普宣布了美国顶级公司的重大发展和投资，这可能意味着我们可以预期看涨股票市场。

While Trump’s tariffs aim to protect American jobs and industries, the broader economic consequences could ripple through the financial landscape, including the digital asset space.

尽管特朗普的关税旨在保护美国就业和行业，但更广泛的经济后果可能会在包括数字资产空间在内的金融景观中蔓延。

Economists and political scientists often cite a calculus in which engaging in risky economic moves depends on the internal political climate. With the upcoming election and a turbulent economic backdrop, engaging in this maneuver could indicate an urgency to showcase immediate wins and shift the narrative away from pressing issues like the looming recession and inflation.

经济学家和政治科学家经常引用一个微积分，其中从事风险的经济举动取决于内部政治气候。随着即将举行的选举和动荡的经济背景，参与这一动作可能表明，紧迫地展示了立即胜利并将叙事转移到迫在眉睫的问题上，例如迫在眉睫的衰退和通货膨胀。

In the short term, the calculus seems to favor engaging in this risky economic move despite the potential for backlash and escalation. However, the long-term consequences of this decision remain to be seen and will likely depend on how the global economic landscape reacts in the coming months.

在短期内，尽管有潜力进行反弹和升级，但微积分似乎有利于参与这一风险的经济举动。但是，这一决定的长期后果仍有待观察，可能取决于未来几个月全球经济格局的反应。