Solana（Sol）导航一个关键的决策点，可以确定其下一个重大举动

本文深入了解了Solana当前的价格行动，分析了关键支持和阻力水平，潜在的突破场景以及交易者应该观看的内容。

Solana (SOL) has been trading in a corrective phase after completing a five-wave impulse in a time frame. As the market structure consolidates, price action is compressing between key Fibonacci levels and structural support.

Solana（Sol）在时间范围内完成了五波冲动后，一直在纠正阶段进行交易。随着市场结构的巩固，价格行动正在压缩斐波那契水平和结构支持之间。

With both bullish and bearish scenarios still in play, SOL appears to be at a pivotal decision point that could determine its next major move. This analysis will take a closer look at the current market structure, critical resistance and support levels, and potential breakout scenarios.

随着看跌和看跌的情况仍在起作用，SOL似乎处于一个关键的决策点，可以决定其下一个重大行动。该分析将仔细研究当前的市场结构，关键的阻力和支持水平以及潜在的突破场景。

Solana’s Broad Structure: 4-Hour Time Frame

Solana的广泛结构：4小时的时间范围

The 4-hour chart of Solana showcases the conclusion of a long impulsive rally, reaching an all-time high of $294. This peak completed Wave 5 of a macro Elliott Wave structure.

Solana的4小时图表展示了长时间冲动集会的结论，达到了294美元的历史最高点。该峰完成了宏观埃利奥特波结构的波5。

After this rally, SOL entered a corrective phase, forming a descending channel with the most recent low at $118.34 on March 11. This low coincided with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the impulsive wave, acting as a strong support level. From this low, we saw a recovery, but its sustainability is still in question.

集会后，SOL进入了一个纠正阶段，形成了一个降低的通道，最新的低点为3月11日的降低，为118.34美元。这与脉冲波的0.618 Fibonacci回缩水平相吻合，充当强大的支撑水平。从这个低点，我们看到了恢复，但它的可持续性仍然存在疑问。

Solana Breakout from Descending Channel

降低频道的Solana突破

Recently, SOL broke out from the descending channel, which could suggest a possible bullish reversal. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at this time frame has shifted from oversold to neutral, indicating that selling pressure is decreasing. However, bullish momentum is still relatively weak.

最近，索尔（Sol）从下降频道爆发，这可能表明可能是看涨的逆转。此时的相对强度指数（RSI）已从超卖变为中性，表明销售压力正在降低。但是，看涨的势头仍然相对较弱。

After the breakout, SOL managed to reclaim the $131–$140 support band but encountered resistance below the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at $147, failing to confirm a strong bullish continuation. This suggests that bears are still present and could exert more pressure if buyers fail to defend the key levels.

突破之后，索尔设法收回了131美元至140美元的支持乐队，但遇到了低于0.5斐波那契回收级的阻力，以147美元的价格遇到了阻力，未能确认强大的看涨持续性。这表明熊仍然存在，如果买家无法捍卫关键水平，则可能施加更大的压力。

Solana: Key Technical Levels and Indicators

索拉纳：关键技术水平和指标

* Immediate Resistance Levels: $147 (0.5 Fib retracement), $151.96 (previous swing high), $159.86

*即时电阻级别：$ 147（0.5 FIB回撤），$ 151.96（先前的秋千），$ 159.86

* Support Levels to Watch: $130, $131–$140 support band, $118.34 (0.618 Fib)

*支持水平要观看：$ 130，$ 131– $ 140支持乐队，$ 118.34（0.618 FIB）

* Short-Term Targets for Wave (iii): $185–$190

*波（iii）的短期目标：$ 185– $ 190

Solana: Bullish vs. Bearish Scenarios

索拉纳：看涨与看跌的情况

* Bullish Scenario: For bulls to regain control, SOL must defend the $130 support zone and form a higher low. This would indicate that buyers are stepping in, potentially setting up a Wave (iii) move toward the $185–$190 range. A sustained move above $151.96 and then $185.57 would confirm this bullish continuation.

*看涨情景：要使公牛重新获得控制权，Sol必须捍卫130美元的支持区并形成更高的低点。这表明买家正在介入，有可能将波浪（iii）转向185-190美元的范围。持续的转移超过$ 151.96，然后$ 185.57将确认这种看涨的延续。

Additionally, the RSI is currently leaning toward oversold on the 1-hour chart, which could suggest the possibility of a bounce. However, a stronger confirmation is required, likely with a reclaim of $140 and a follow-through move above $147.

此外，RSI目前正倾向于超过1小时的图表，这可能表明有可能反弹。但是，需要更强有力的确认，可能是收回140美元，然后搬到147美元以上的后续行动。

* Bearish Scenario: If SOL fails to hold the $130 support level, then we could see a continuation of the corrective structure, potentially leading to another leg lower. A break below this level would invalidate the bullish outlook and confirm a deeper correction, possibly extending toward $70.48 if selling pressure intensifies.

*看跌场景：如果SOL无法保持130美元的支持水平，那么我们可以看到矫正结构的延续，有可能导致另一只腿较低。低于此水平的休息将使看涨的前景无效，并确认更深层的更正，如果卖压力加剧，可能会延伸至70.48美元。

Solana: Market Sentiment & Broader Crypto Trends

Solana：市场情绪和更广泛的加密趋势

Solana’s price movement is also influenced by broader market trends, including Bitcoin’s performance and overall investor sentiment in the crypto space.

Solana的价格变动还受到更广泛的市场趋势的影响，包括比特币的绩效和加密货币领域的整体投资者情绪。

If Bitcoin experiences a strong rally, it could generate broader bullish sentiment, which might benefit SOL and other altcoins with a correlated move higher. Conversely, a Bitcoin sell-off could add more pressure to SOL’s already fragile structure, setting it up for further declines.

如果比特币经历了强烈的集会，它可能会产生更广泛的看涨情绪，这可能使SOL和其他具有相关性更高的Altcoins受益。相反，比特币抛售可能会增加Sol本来已经脆弱的结构的压力，从而使其进一步下降。

Moreover, factors such as institutional interest in Solana, network developments, and macroeconomic conditions will play a role in shaping the coin’s trajectory in the coming weeks.

此外，诸如对Solana，网络发展和宏观经济状况的机构兴趣等因素将在未来几周内塑造硬币的轨迹中发挥作用。

Solana: A Critical Decision Point

索拉纳：关键决策点

To summarize, Solana is approaching a pivotal decision point. A bounce from current levels could ignite a fresh impulsive wave, while failure to defend the $130 support could invite another bearish leg, completing a triple correction.

总而言之，Solana正在接近一个关键的决策点。当前水平的反弹可能会引起新的冲动浪潮，而未能捍卫130美元的支撑可能会邀请另一只看跌腿，完成三重校正。

Traders should keep a close eye on key levels, particularly the $140–$147 resistance zone and the $130 support. A breakout above $151.96 could open the door for a rally toward $185–$190, setting the stage for further bullish moves. Conversely, a breakdown below $118.34 would suggest a continuation of the bearish trend.

交易者应密切关注关键水平，尤其是140-147美元的电阻区和130美元的支持。超过$ 151.96的突破可能会打开涨势至185-190美元的大门，为进一步看涨的举动奠定了基础。相反，低于$ 118.34的故障将表明看跌趋势的延续。

With market conditions still presenting both opportunities and risks, Solana remains a relatively high-risk, high-reward asset at this stage. The crucial question is whether bulls can manage to push prices higher from here or whether bears will ultimately regain control to drive prices lower. This will be decided in the coming days and

由于市场状况仍然存在机会和风险，在此阶段，索拉纳仍然是相对较高的高风险，高回报的资产。关键的问题是，公牛是否可以设法从这里提高价格，或者熊最终会重新获得控制以推动价格降低。这将在未来几天决定