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比特币下跌,这一消息可能会进一步提高美联储在 11 月下一次政策会议上暂停的可能性。
The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% in September, exceeding economist forecasts of 0.1% and the 0.2% increase observed in August.
9 月份美国消费者价格指数 (CPI) 上涨 0.2%,超过经济学家预测的 0.1% 和 8 月份观察到的 0.2% 的涨幅。
However, the rate of inflation slowed down compared to the past few months, largely driven by a decrease in energy costs.
然而,与过去几个月相比,通货膨胀率有所放缓,这主要是由于能源成本下降所致。
Economists had anticipated a 0.1% rise in the headline CPI, excluding food and energy costs, known as core CPI. Instead, the core CPI increased by 0.3%, following the 0.3% rise in August.
经济学家此前预计,不包括食品和能源成本的总体 CPI(即核心 CPI)将上涨 0.1%。相反,核心 CPI 继 8 月份上涨 0.3%之后,又上涨了 0.3%。
The year-over-year CPI was higher by 2.4%, lower than the 2.5% increase observed in August and below economists' forecasts of 2.3%.
CPI同比上涨2.4%,低于8月份2.5%的涨幅,也低于经济学家预测的2.3%。
The core CPI was higher year-over-year by 3.3%, exceeding expectations of 3.2% and the 3.2% increase observed in August.
核心CPI同比上涨3.3%,超出预期的3.2%和8月份的3.2%涨幅。
Bitcoin (BTC) fell further after the report, last trading at $60,800, down nearly 2% from 24 hours prior.
比特币(BTC)在报告发布后进一步下跌,最新交易价格为 60,800 美元,较 24 小时前下跌近 2%。
The price of bitcoin had come under pressure in recent days as the prospect of a U.S. Federal Reserve pause in interest rate cuts at its next meeting in early November appeared to be increasing.
最近几天,随着美联储在 11 月初的下次会议上暂停降息的可能性似乎越来越大,比特币价格承受了压力。
The Fed surprised many in September by beginning its rate-cutting cycle with a larger 50 basis point rate cut instead of the assumed 25 basis point move.
美联储在 9 月份以 50 个基点的降息幅度开始其降息周期,而不是假设的 25 个基点,这令许多人感到惊讶。
The action sparked a sizable rally in crypto prices as investors factored in not just that rate cut but expectations of an equally large move at the Fed's next policy meeting in early November.
这一行动引发了加密货币价格的大幅上涨,因为投资者不仅考虑到降息,还考虑到美联储在 11 月初的下一次政策会议上将采取同样大幅举措的预期。
But thanks to hawkish comments from Fed Chair Jay Powell (and other central bank officials) and a far stronger than expected employment report last Friday, those expectations have undergone a major reversal over the past ten days, perhaps contributing to the big pullback in crypto prices over that time frame.
但由于美联储主席杰伊·鲍威尔(和其他央行官员)的鹰派言论以及上周五远强于预期的就业报告,这些预期在过去十天内发生了重大逆转,这或许导致了加密货币价格的大幅回调在那个时间范围内。
According to CME FedWatch – which does the service of converting pricing in short-term interest rate markets into odds on what the Fed will do at each of its policy meetings – the chances for a 50 basis point rate cut in November have gone to zero.
根据 CME FedWatch(该机构将短期利率市场定价转换为美联储每次政策会议行动可能性的服务),11 月份降息 50 个基点的可能性已为零。
In fact, rate markets prior to this morning's inflation data had priced in a 26% chance the Fed doesn't trim rates at all – up from 0% one week ago.
事实上,在今天上午公布通胀数据之前,利率市场已将美联储完全不降息的可能性从一周前的 0% 预测为 26%。
Today's inflation numbers are likely to reinforce the idea that the Fed may pause any rate cuts in November, but offsetting the disappointing CPI might be some weak employment data.
今天的通胀数据可能会强化美联储可能暂停 11 月份降息的观点,但一些疲软的就业数据可能会抵消令人失望的 CPI。
Initial jobless claims – which had pretty much flatlined at very low levels for many weeks – shot higher to 258,000 last week from 225,000 previously and versus forecasts for 230,000. It's unclear, though, how much the aftermath of Hurricane Helene might have affected the data.
上周首次申请失业救济人数从之前的 225,000 人猛增至 258,000 人,而预期为 230,000 人。但目前尚不清楚飓风海伦的后果可能对数据产生多大影响。
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