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比特幣下跌,這項消息可能會進一步提高聯準會在 11 月下一次政策會議上暫停的可能性。
The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% in September, exceeding economist forecasts of 0.1% and the 0.2% increase observed in August.
9 月美國消費者物價指數 (CPI) 上漲 0.2%,超過經濟學家預測的 0.1% 和 8 月觀察到的 0.2% 的漲幅。
However, the rate of inflation slowed down compared to the past few months, largely driven by a decrease in energy costs.
然而,與過去幾個月相比,通貨膨脹率有所放緩,這主要是由於能源成本下降所致。
Economists had anticipated a 0.1% rise in the headline CPI, excluding food and energy costs, known as core CPI. Instead, the core CPI increased by 0.3%, following the 0.3% rise in August.
經濟學家先前預計,不包括食品和能源成本的整體 CPI(即核心 CPI)將上漲 0.1%。相反,核心 CPI 繼 8 月上漲 0.3%之後,又上漲了 0.3%。
The year-over-year CPI was higher by 2.4%, lower than the 2.5% increase observed in August and below economists' forecasts of 2.3%.
CPI年增2.4%,低於8月2.5%的漲幅,也低於經濟學家預測的2.3%。
The core CPI was higher year-over-year by 3.3%, exceeding expectations of 3.2% and the 3.2% increase observed in August.
核心CPI年增3.3%,超出預期的3.2%和8月的3.2%漲幅。
Bitcoin (BTC) fell further after the report, last trading at $60,800, down nearly 2% from 24 hours prior.
比特幣(BTC)在報告發布後進一步下跌,最新交易價格為 60,800 美元,較 24 小時前下跌近 2%。
The price of bitcoin had come under pressure in recent days as the prospect of a U.S. Federal Reserve pause in interest rate cuts at its next meeting in early November appeared to be increasing.
最近幾天,隨著聯準會在 11 月初的下次會議上暫停降息的可能性似乎越來越大,比特幣價格承受了壓力。
The Fed surprised many in September by beginning its rate-cutting cycle with a larger 50 basis point rate cut instead of the assumed 25 basis point move.
聯準會在 9 月以 50 個基點的降息幅度開始其降息週期,而不是假設的 25 個基點,這令許多人感到驚訝。
The action sparked a sizable rally in crypto prices as investors factored in not just that rate cut but expectations of an equally large move at the Fed's next policy meeting in early November.
這項行動引發了加密貨幣價格的大幅上漲,因為投資者不僅考慮到降息,還考慮到聯準會在 11 月初的下一次政策會議上將採取同樣大幅舉措的預期。
But thanks to hawkish comments from Fed Chair Jay Powell (and other central bank officials) and a far stronger than expected employment report last Friday, those expectations have undergone a major reversal over the past ten days, perhaps contributing to the big pullback in crypto prices over that time frame.
但由於聯準會主席傑伊·鮑威爾(和其他央行官員)的鷹派言論以及上週五遠強於預期的就業報告,這些預期在過去十天內發生了重大逆轉,這或許導致了加密貨幣價格的大幅回調在那個時間範圍內。
According to CME FedWatch – which does the service of converting pricing in short-term interest rate markets into odds on what the Fed will do at each of its policy meetings – the chances for a 50 basis point rate cut in November have gone to zero.
根據 CME FedWatch(該機構將短期利率市場定價轉換為聯準會每次政策會議行動可能性的服務),11 月降息 50 個基點的可能性已為零。
In fact, rate markets prior to this morning's inflation data had priced in a 26% chance the Fed doesn't trim rates at all – up from 0% one week ago.
事實上,在今天早上公佈通膨數據之前,利率市場已將聯準會完全不降息的可能性從一周前的 0% 預測為 26%。
Today's inflation numbers are likely to reinforce the idea that the Fed may pause any rate cuts in November, but offsetting the disappointing CPI might be some weak employment data.
現今的通膨數據可能會強化聯準會可能暫停 11 月降息的觀點,但一些疲軟的就業數據可能會抵消令人失望的 CPI。
Initial jobless claims – which had pretty much flatlined at very low levels for many weeks – shot higher to 258,000 last week from 225,000 previously and versus forecasts for 230,000. It's unclear, though, how much the aftermath of Hurricane Helene might have affected the data.
上週首次申請失業救濟人數從先前的 225,000 人激增至 258,000 人,而預期為 23 萬人。但目前尚不清楚颶風海倫的後果可能對數據產生多大影響。
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