OND（ondo）飙升了近20％

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Let's break down the analysis of Ondo (ONDO) token's recent breakout and what to expect next.

让我们分解对Ondo（Ondo）代币最近的突破以及下一步期望的分析。

Recently, Ondo (ONDO) experienced a nearly 20% surge on Wednesday, breaking out of a prolonged downtrend and catching the attention of crypto investors.

最近，Ondo（Ondo）周三经历了近20％的繁荣，爆发了延长的下降趋势并引起了加密投资者的注意。

After spending the past two months trapped in a descending channel, the sharp upward move brought new momentum to a token that had been struggling to find direction. However, while the rally was certainly eye-catching, analysts caution that it may be too soon to call it a full bullish reversal — especially with a key resistance level still looming overhead.

在过去的两个月中度过了降落的频道之后，急剧的向上移动为一个努力寻找方向的代币带来了新的势头。但是，尽管集会肯定是引人注目的，但分析师警告说，现在称其为完全看涨的逆转可能还为时过早，尤其是在关键的阻力水平上仍然隐约可见的开销。

ONDO’s breakout was significant not only because of the price movement but also due to the surge in trading volume, which typically accompanies a strong breakout. The spike in volume indicates renewed interest from buyers and hints at increasing market confidence.

Ondo的突破不仅是由于价格上涨，而且还因为交易量的激增，这通常伴随着强烈的突破。数量的峰值表明，买家的新兴趣和提示，增强了市场信心。

Several weeks ago, the token had been trading lower inside a tight range, with little activity to suggest a turnaround was imminent. Wednesday’s move changed that narrative—at least for now.

几周前，代币在紧密的范围内的交易较低，几乎没有活动表明即将发生周转。星期三的举动改变了这种叙述 - 至少目前。

Most importantly, on the daily chart, the most important level to watch is $0.915, which corresponds to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level from the previous rally. This price point acts as strong resistance and represents the lower high that must be breached to flip the market structure to bullish.

最重要的是，在每日图表上，要观看的最重要的水平是0.915美元，这对应于上一次拉力赛的78.6％斐波那契回溯水平。这个价格点具有强烈的抵抗力，代表了必须违反的较低的高高，以使市场结构翻转以看涨。

Until this level is cleared decisively, breakout could lose steam.

在果断地清除此水平之前，突破可能会失去动力。

Further supporting a cautious stance, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator has yet to make a new higher high compared to late March. OBV tracks cumulative volume flow and helps identify whether buying pressure is strengthening or weakening.

与3月下旬相比，进一步支持谨慎的立场，平衡量（OVER）指标尚未使新的高高更高。 Obv跟踪累积体积流量，并有助于确定购买压力是在加强还是减弱。

The lack of a clear OBV breakout suggests that while the price jumped, the underlying demand may not be strong enough to sustain long-term gains—at least not yet. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sitting at a neutral level of 50, showing no clear momentum in either direction.

缺乏明显的明显突破表明，尽管价格上涨，但潜在的需求可能不足以维持长期增长，至少还没有。另外，相对强度指数（RSI）位于中性水平50，在任一方向上没有明显的动量。

On the flip side, on-chain metrics are signaling early signs of accumulation, which could support future bullish price action. According to data from IntoTheBlock, ONDO has nearby support levels at $0.815 and $0.791—both of which are now above the previously resistant upper boundary of the descending channel. A retest of these zones could provide a solid base for the next upward move if the broader market cooperates.

另一方面，链上的指标表明了积累的早期迹象，这可以支持未来的看涨价格行动。根据来自Intotheblock的数据，Ondo附近的支持水平为$ 0.815和0.791美元，其中两者现在都高于降级通道的先前抵抗的上边界。如果更广泛的市场合作，对这些区域的重新测试可能会为下一个向上移动提供坚实的基础。

Further supporting a bullish outlook, data from Santiment shows that daily active addresses—which had dropped sharply in mid-March—are starting to rise again. This increase in network activity suggests renewed interest and potential growth in user engagement.

Santiment的数据进一步支持看涨的前景，表明每天的活动地址在3月中旬急剧下降 - 开始再次上升。网络活动的这种增加表明，用户参与的兴趣和潜在增长。

Meanwhile, the 90-day Mean Coin Age (MCA) has been steadily trending upward since January, indicating that holders are increasingly keeping their tokens rather than moving or selling them. This is a classic sign of accumulation.

同时，自1月以来，90天平均硬币年龄（MCA）一直在稳步上升，这表明持有人越来越多地保持其令牌，而不是搬家或出售它们。这是积累的经典迹象。

Another important metric, the 90-day MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio, remains in negative territory. This means most short- to mid-term holders are currently at a loss. While that may sound bearish, it often signals a price bottom, as holders are less likely to sell at a loss, creating a favorable setup for a rebound.

另一个重要的指标，即90天的MVRV（市场价值与已实现的价值），仍然处于负面状态。这意味着大多数短期至中期持有人目前都亏本。虽然这听起来很看跌，但它通常标志着价格最低点，因为持有者损失的可能性较小，从而为反弹创造了有利的设置。

In conclusion, while ONDO’s recent surge and improving on-chain signals are promising, traders and investors should keep a close eye on how the price behaves near the $0.915 resistance. A clean breakout and sustained move above this level would likely confirm a trend reversal.

总之，尽管Ondo最近的激增和改善链上信号是有希望的，但交易者和投资者应密切关注价格的行为接近0.915美元的电阻。干净的突破和持续的移动超过此水平可能会证实趋势逆转。

However, if the token is rejected again, it could re-enter a consolidation phase or pull back toward support.

但是，如果令牌再次被拒绝，它可能会重新进入合并阶段或向后倾斜。