OND（ondo）飆升了近20％

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Let's break down the analysis of Ondo (ONDO) token's recent breakout and what to expect next.

讓我們分解對Ondo（Ondo）代幣最近的突破以及下一步期望的分析。

Recently, Ondo (ONDO) experienced a nearly 20% surge on Wednesday, breaking out of a prolonged downtrend and catching the attention of crypto investors.

最近，Ondo（Ondo）週三經歷了近20％的繁榮，爆發了延長的下降趨勢並引起了加密投資者的注意。

After spending the past two months trapped in a descending channel, the sharp upward move brought new momentum to a token that had been struggling to find direction. However, while the rally was certainly eye-catching, analysts caution that it may be too soon to call it a full bullish reversal — especially with a key resistance level still looming overhead.

在過去的兩個月中度過了降落的頻道之後，急劇的向上移動為一個努力尋找方向的代幣帶來了新的勢頭。但是，儘管集會肯定是引人注目的，但分析師警告說，現在稱其為完全看漲的逆轉可能還為時過早，尤其是在關鍵的阻力水平上仍然隱約可見的開銷。

ONDO’s breakout was significant not only because of the price movement but also due to the surge in trading volume, which typically accompanies a strong breakout. The spike in volume indicates renewed interest from buyers and hints at increasing market confidence.

Ondo的突破不僅是由於價格上漲，而且還因為交易量的激增，這通常伴隨著強烈的突破。數量的峰值表明，買家的新興趣和提示，增強了市場信心。

Several weeks ago, the token had been trading lower inside a tight range, with little activity to suggest a turnaround was imminent. Wednesday’s move changed that narrative—at least for now.

幾週前，代幣在緊密的範圍內的交易較低，幾乎沒有活動表明即將發生周轉。星期三的舉動改變了這種敘述 - 至少目前。

Most importantly, on the daily chart, the most important level to watch is $0.915, which corresponds to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level from the previous rally. This price point acts as strong resistance and represents the lower high that must be breached to flip the market structure to bullish.

最重要的是，在每日圖表上，要觀看的最重要的水平是0.915美元，這對應於上一次拉力賽的78.6％斐波那契回溯水平。這個價格點具有強烈的抵抗力，代表了必須違反的較低的高高，以使市場結構翻轉以看漲。

Until this level is cleared decisively, breakout could lose steam.

在果斷地清除此水平之前，突破可能會失去動力。

Further supporting a cautious stance, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator has yet to make a new higher high compared to late March. OBV tracks cumulative volume flow and helps identify whether buying pressure is strengthening or weakening.

與3月下旬相比，進一步支持謹慎的立場，平衡量（OVER）指標尚未使新的高高更高。 Obv跟踪累積體積流量，並有助於確定購買壓力是在加強還是減弱。

The lack of a clear OBV breakout suggests that while the price jumped, the underlying demand may not be strong enough to sustain long-term gains—at least not yet. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sitting at a neutral level of 50, showing no clear momentum in either direction.

缺乏明顯的明顯突破表明，儘管價格上漲，但潛在的需求可能不足以維持長期增長，至少還沒有。另外，相對強度指數（RSI）位於中性水平50，在任一方向上沒有明顯的動量。

On the flip side, on-chain metrics are signaling early signs of accumulation, which could support future bullish price action. According to data from IntoTheBlock, ONDO has nearby support levels at $0.815 and $0.791—both of which are now above the previously resistant upper boundary of the descending channel. A retest of these zones could provide a solid base for the next upward move if the broader market cooperates.

另一方面，鏈上的指標表明了積累的早期跡象，這可以支持未來的看漲價格行動。根據來自Intotheblock的數據，Ondo附近的支持水平為$ 0.815和0.791美元，其中兩者現在都高於降級通道的先前抵抗的上邊界。如果更廣泛的市場合作，對這些區域的重新測試可能會為下一個向上移動提供堅實的基礎。

Further supporting a bullish outlook, data from Santiment shows that daily active addresses—which had dropped sharply in mid-March—are starting to rise again. This increase in network activity suggests renewed interest and potential growth in user engagement.

Santiment的數據進一步支持看漲的前景，表明每天的活動地址在3月中旬急劇下降 - 開始再次上升。網絡活動的這種增加表明，用戶參與的興趣和潛在增長。

Meanwhile, the 90-day Mean Coin Age (MCA) has been steadily trending upward since January, indicating that holders are increasingly keeping their tokens rather than moving or selling them. This is a classic sign of accumulation.

同時，自1月以來，90天平均硬幣年齡（MCA）一直在穩步上升，這表明持有人越來越多地保持其令牌，而不是搬家或出售它們。這是積累的經典跡象。

Another important metric, the 90-day MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio, remains in negative territory. This means most short- to mid-term holders are currently at a loss. While that may sound bearish, it often signals a price bottom, as holders are less likely to sell at a loss, creating a favorable setup for a rebound.

另一個重要的指標，即90天的MVRV（市場價值與已實現的價值），仍然處於負面狀態。這意味著大多數短期至中期持有人目前都虧本。雖然這聽起來很看跌，但它通常標誌著價格最低點，因為持有者損失的可能性較小，從而為反彈創造了有利的設置。

In conclusion, while ONDO’s recent surge and improving on-chain signals are promising, traders and investors should keep a close eye on how the price behaves near the $0.915 resistance. A clean breakout and sustained move above this level would likely confirm a trend reversal.

總之，儘管Ondo最近的激增和改善鏈上信號是有希望的，但交易者和投資者應密切關注價格的行為接近0.915美元的電阻。乾淨的突破和持續的移動超過此水平可能會證實趨勢逆轉。

However, if the token is rejected again, it could re-enter a consolidation phase or pull back toward support.

但是，如果令牌再次被拒絕，它可能會重新進入合併階段或向後傾斜。