马克·卡尼（Mark Carney）最近获得了自由党的领导竞赛，以取代贾斯汀·特鲁多（Justin Trudeau）担任加拿大第24位总理

Polymarket报道说，卡尼赢得定于2025年10月20日举行的下一次联邦大选的几率增加了23％，达到49％

Mark Carney, the new leader of the Liberal Party, has seen his odds of winning the next federal election rise in the past month, while Pierre Poilievre’s chances have decreased, according to Polymarket bettors.

据Polymarket Bettors称，自由党的新领导人马克·卡尼（Mark Carney）看到了他在过去一个月赢得下一次联邦大选冠军的几率，而皮埃尔·波利夫（Pierre Poilievre）的机会减少了。

The candidates vying to become Canada’s next prime minister are a hot topic among bettors, with odds shifting frequently based on various factors, such as party leadership changes, economic performance, and public opinion polls.

争夺加拿大下一任总理的候选人是投注者的热门话题，基于各种因素，例如政党领导层的变化，经济绩效和公众舆论民意测验，赔率经常转移。

As of Wednesday, bettors on the prediction market platform gave Carney a 49% chance of winning the next federal election, which is scheduled for October 20, 2025. This represents a 23% increase from last month, when his odds stood at 26%.

截至周三，预测市场平台上的投注者为卡尼提供了49％的机会赢得下次联邦大选的机会，该选举定于2025年10月20日举行。这比上个月增长了23％，当时他的赔率为26％。

Meanwhile, Poilievre’s odds have decreased by 21%, dropping from 72% in February to 51%.

同时，Poilievre的赔率下降了21％，从2月的72％下降到51％。

On the other hand, the odds of the leader of the New Democratic Party, Jagmeet Singh, winning the election have remained relatively stable at 16%, showing a slight decrease of 3% from last month.

另一方面，新民主党领袖贾格梅特·辛格（Jagmeet Singh）赢得选举的几率相对稳定，为16％，显示出比上个月略有3％。

Carney’s expertise in business could help him navigate economic challenges

卡尼在业务方面的专业知识可以帮助他应对经济挑战

Carney recently faced the task of rallying the Liberal Party to choose a new leader after Justin Trudeau announced he would be stepping down. The party selected Carney, known for his role as a former central banker and his expertise in business, to guide the Liberals through the historical tension with the U.S. and the growing fears of a trade war during Trump’s administration.

在贾斯汀·特鲁多（Justin Trudeau）宣布他将辞职后，卡尼（Carney）最近面临着集会自由党选择新领导人的任务。该党选择了卡尼（Carney）以前中央银行家的角色及其在商业方面的专业知识而闻名，他们通过与美国的历史紧张关系以及对特朗普政府期间对贸易战的日益担心的恐惧。

This will be Carney’s first time delving into Canadian politics at the highest level as a federal election approaches. On Sunday, after securing 85.9% of the vote on the first ballot, he expressed his commitment to serving the Canadian people.

这将是卡尼第一次在联邦选举中探讨最高级别的加拿大政治。周日，在对第一次投票获得85.9％的投票后，他表示承诺为加拿大人民服务。

“I will work day and night with one purpose, which is to build a stronger Canada for everyone,” he stated.

他说：“我将白天和黑夜有一个目的，那就是为每个人建立一个更强大的加拿大。”

President Donald Trump's decision to impose tariffs on Canada's imports could potentially spark a trade war with Canada. In response to Ontario placing a 25% tariff on ‘electricity’ coming into the United States, Trump instructed his Secretary of Commerce to add an additional 25% tariff, to 50%, on all steel and aluminium coming into the United States from Canada, one of the highest tariffing nations anywhere in the world.

唐纳德·特朗普总统决定对加拿大进口征收关税的决定可能会引发与加拿大的贸易战。为了回应安大略省对进入美国的“电力” 25％的关税，特朗普指示他的商务部长增加了25％的关税，50％，所有钢铁和铝从加拿大进入美国，这是世界上任何地方的关税国家之一。

Ontario premier Doug Ford threatened to shut off the US electricity supply entirely.

安大略省总理道格·福特（Doug Ford）扬言要完全关闭美国的电力供应。

Mark Carney said he would continue to pressure America in response to Trump’s tariff actions.

马克·卡尼（Mark Carney）说，他将继续向美国施加压力，以应对特朗普的关税行动。

“My government will keep our tariffs on until the Americans show us respect and make credible, reliable commitments to free and fair trade,” he said in a post on X.

他在X上发表的一篇文章中说：“我的政府将保持关税，直到美国人向我们表示尊重，并对自由和公平贸易做出可靠，可靠的承诺。”

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said on Tuesday that Trump has yet to speak with Carney but that “his phone is always open to leaders who wish to speak with him.”

白宫新闻秘书卡罗琳·莱维特（Karoline Leavitt）周二表示，特朗普尚未与卡尼交谈，但“他的电话总是向希望与他交谈的领导人开放。”

Following these developments, Canadians preferred Carney over Poilievre due to his business expertise and being a former central banker. Poilievre’s support for Bitcoin and ownership of a Canadian-issued Bitcoin ETF had not been a major focus of the Canadian campaign.

在这些事态发展之后，由于他的业务专业知识和前中央银行家，加拿大人更喜欢卡尼而不是Poilievre。 Poilievre对比特币的支持和加拿大发行的比特币ETF的所有权并不是加拿大运动的重点。

Canadian federal election scheduled for October 20, 2025, could be called sooner

定于2025年10月20日举行的加拿大联邦大选可以更早地称为

The next federal election is scheduled for 20 October 2025. However, it might occur earlier due to certain circumstances, including when the government general accepts the prime minister’s resignation after the government is defeated in a confidence vote in parliament or when it accepts his advice to dissolve the government.

下次联邦大选定于2025年10月20日举行。但是，由于某些情况，包括政府将军接受总理在议会的信任投票或接受解散政府的建议后，政府将接受总理的辞职。

Pierre Poilievre and the leader of the New Democratic Party, Jagmeet Singh, have already declared they will call for a vote of no confidence after parliament resumes.

皮埃尔·波利夫（Pierre Poilievre）和新民主党的领导人贾格梅特·辛格（Jagmeet Singh）已经宣布，在议会恢复后，他们将呼吁不信任投票。

With Carney’s record still fresh and tensions with the U.S. rising, the next election—whenever it happens—will be a test of whether his economic acumen and aspirations for Canada can earn him a long-term mandate.

随着卡尼（Carney）的记录仍然新鲜，与美国的紧张关系越来越紧张，下次选举（何时发生）将考验他的经济敏锐度和对加拿大的愿望是否可以赢得他的长期任务。

At the same time, Poilievre and Singh’s pressure for an early election indicates the opposition believes it has a window of opportunity to challenge Carney before he settles into the role.Cryptopolitan Academy: Want to grow your money in 2025? Learn how to do it with DeFi in our upcoming webclass. Save Your Spot

同时，Poilievre和Singh的早期选举压力表明，反对派认为Carney在扮演角色之前有机会挑战他的机会。CryptopolitanAcademy：想在2025年养活您的钱吗？在即将到来的WebClass中学习如何使用Defi进行操作。保存您的位置