馬克·卡尼（Mark Carney）最近獲得了自由黨的領導競賽，以取代賈斯汀·特魯多（Justin Trudeau）擔任加拿大第24位總理

Polymarket報導說，卡尼贏得定於2025年10月20日舉行的下一次聯邦大選的機率增加了23％，達到49％

Mark Carney, the new leader of the Liberal Party, has seen his odds of winning the next federal election rise in the past month, while Pierre Poilievre’s chances have decreased, according to Polymarket bettors.

據Polymarket Bettors稱，自由黨的新領導人馬克·卡尼（Mark Carney）看到了他在過去一個月贏得下一次聯邦大選冠軍的機率，而皮埃爾·波利夫（Pierre Poilievre）的機會減少了。

The candidates vying to become Canada’s next prime minister are a hot topic among bettors, with odds shifting frequently based on various factors, such as party leadership changes, economic performance, and public opinion polls.

爭奪加拿大下一任總理的候選人是投注者的熱門話題，基於各種因素，例如政黨領導層的變化，經濟績效和公眾輿論民意測驗，賠率經常轉移。

As of Wednesday, bettors on the prediction market platform gave Carney a 49% chance of winning the next federal election, which is scheduled for October 20, 2025. This represents a 23% increase from last month, when his odds stood at 26%.

截至週三，預測市場平台上的投注者為卡尼提供了49％的機會贏得下次聯邦大選的機會，該選舉定於2025年10月20日舉行。這比上個月增長了23％，當時他的賠率為26％。

Meanwhile, Poilievre’s odds have decreased by 21%, dropping from 72% in February to 51%.

同時，Poilievre的賠率下降了21％，從2月的72％下降到51％。

On the other hand, the odds of the leader of the New Democratic Party, Jagmeet Singh, winning the election have remained relatively stable at 16%, showing a slight decrease of 3% from last month.

另一方面，新民主黨領袖賈格梅特·辛格（Jagmeet Singh）贏得選舉的機率相對穩定，為16％，顯示出比上個月略有3％。

Carney’s expertise in business could help him navigate economic challenges

卡尼在業務方面的專業知識可以幫助他應對經濟挑戰

Carney recently faced the task of rallying the Liberal Party to choose a new leader after Justin Trudeau announced he would be stepping down. The party selected Carney, known for his role as a former central banker and his expertise in business, to guide the Liberals through the historical tension with the U.S. and the growing fears of a trade war during Trump’s administration.

在賈斯汀·特魯多（Justin Trudeau）宣布他將辭職後，卡尼（Carney）最近面臨著集會自由黨選擇新領導人的任務。該黨選擇了卡尼（Carney）以前中央銀行家的角色及其在商業方面的專業知識而聞名，他們通過與美國的歷史緊張關係以及對特朗普政府期間對貿易戰的日益擔心的恐懼。

This will be Carney’s first time delving into Canadian politics at the highest level as a federal election approaches. On Sunday, after securing 85.9% of the vote on the first ballot, he expressed his commitment to serving the Canadian people.

這將是卡尼第一次在聯邦選舉中探討最高級別的加拿大政治。週日，在對第一次投票獲得85.9％的投票後，他表示承諾為加拿大人民服務。

“I will work day and night with one purpose, which is to build a stronger Canada for everyone,” he stated.

他說：“我將白天和黑夜有一個目的，那就是為每個人建立一個更強大的加拿大。”

President Donald Trump's decision to impose tariffs on Canada's imports could potentially spark a trade war with Canada. In response to Ontario placing a 25% tariff on ‘electricity’ coming into the United States, Trump instructed his Secretary of Commerce to add an additional 25% tariff, to 50%, on all steel and aluminium coming into the United States from Canada, one of the highest tariffing nations anywhere in the world.

唐納德·特朗普總統決定對加拿大進口徵收關稅的決定可能會引發與加拿大的貿易戰。為了回應安大略省對進入美國的“電力” 25％的關稅，特朗普指示他的商務部長增加了25％的關稅，50％，所有鋼鐵和鋁從加拿大進入美國，這是世界上任何地方的關稅國家之一。

Ontario premier Doug Ford threatened to shut off the US electricity supply entirely.

安大略省總理道格·福特（Doug Ford）揚言要完全關閉美國的電力供應。

Mark Carney said he would continue to pressure America in response to Trump’s tariff actions.

馬克·卡尼（Mark Carney）說，他將繼續向美國施加壓力，以應對特朗普的關稅行動。

“My government will keep our tariffs on until the Americans show us respect and make credible, reliable commitments to free and fair trade,” he said in a post on X.

他在X上發表的一篇文章中說：“我的政府將保持關稅，直到美國人向我們表示尊重，並對自由和公平貿易做出可靠，可靠的承諾。”

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said on Tuesday that Trump has yet to speak with Carney but that “his phone is always open to leaders who wish to speak with him.”

白宮新聞秘書卡羅琳·萊維特（Karoline Leavitt）週二表示，特朗普尚未與卡尼交談，但“他的電話總是向希望與他交談的領導人開放。”

Following these developments, Canadians preferred Carney over Poilievre due to his business expertise and being a former central banker. Poilievre’s support for Bitcoin and ownership of a Canadian-issued Bitcoin ETF had not been a major focus of the Canadian campaign.

在這些事態發展之後，由於他的業務專業知識和前中央銀行家，加拿大人更喜歡卡尼而不是Poilievre。 Poilievre對比特幣的支持和加拿大發行的比特幣ETF的所有權並不是加拿大運動的重點。

Canadian federal election scheduled for October 20, 2025, could be called sooner

定於2025年10月20日舉行的加拿大聯邦大選可以更早地稱為

The next federal election is scheduled for 20 October 2025. However, it might occur earlier due to certain circumstances, including when the government general accepts the prime minister’s resignation after the government is defeated in a confidence vote in parliament or when it accepts his advice to dissolve the government.

下次聯邦大選定於2025年10月20日舉行。但是，由於某些情況，包括政府將軍接受總理在議會的信任投票或接受解散政府的建議後，政府將接受總理的辭職。

Pierre Poilievre and the leader of the New Democratic Party, Jagmeet Singh, have already declared they will call for a vote of no confidence after parliament resumes.

皮埃爾·波利夫（Pierre Poilievre）和新民主黨的領導人賈格梅特·辛格（Jagmeet Singh）已經宣布，在議會恢復後，他們將呼籲不信任投票。

With Carney’s record still fresh and tensions with the U.S. rising, the next election—whenever it happens—will be a test of whether his economic acumen and aspirations for Canada can earn him a long-term mandate.

隨著卡尼（Carney）的記錄仍然新鮮，與美國的緊張關係越來越緊張，下次選舉（何時發生）將考驗他的經濟敏銳度和對加拿大的願望是否可以贏得他的長期任務。

At the same time, Poilievre and Singh’s pressure for an early election indicates the opposition believes it has a window of opportunity to challenge Carney before he settles into the role.Cryptopolitan Academy: Want to grow your money in 2025? Learn how to do it with DeFi in our upcoming webclass. Save Your Spot

同時，Poilievre和Singh的早期選舉壓力表明，反對派認為Carney在扮演角色之前有機會挑戰他的機會。CryptopolitanAcademy：想在2025年養活您的錢嗎？在即將到來的WebClass中學習如何使用Defi進行操作。保存您的位置