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特朗普一直呼吁鲍威尔降低利率,这对加密货币市场来说是积极的。但是,鲍威尔一直拒绝听。
Traders on Polymarket are betting against Donald Trump removing Jerome Powell this year despite reports that the US president has been discussing the move for months.
尽管有报道称美国总统已经讨论了几个月的举动,但Polymarket上的交易者今年押注唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)撤职。
According to the latest data from the prediction platform, there is only a 19% chance of Donald Trump firing Jerome Powell by December 2024. This probability has decreased by 4% in the last 24 hours.
根据预测平台的最新数据,到2024年12月,唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)开除杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)的机会只有19%。在过去的24小时内,这种概率下降了4%。
However, a recent report by the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) claims that Trump has been discussing the possibility of firing Powell for months, including in meetings with his potential replacement, Kevin Warsh, earlier this year.
但是,《华尔街日报》(WSJ)最近的一份报告称,特朗普一直在讨论几个月来解雇鲍威尔的可能性,包括在今年早些时候与他的潜在替代者凯文·沃什(Kevin Warsh)会议上。
As previously reported by CoinGape, Donald Trump slammed Jerome Powell again on Wednesday, stating that the Fed Chair is “always too late and wrong.”
正如Coingape先前报道的那样,唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)周三再次抨击杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell),并指出美联储主席“总是太晚和错”。
The US president added that Powell’s termination “cannot come fast enough,” as the European Union (EU) is about to cut interest rates for the seventh time. However, Powell and the Fed are still holding tight on slashing monetary policies despite the pressing need, according to Trump.
美国总统补充说,鲍威尔的终止“不能足够快”,因为欧盟(欧盟)将第七次降低利率。但是,据特朗普说,尽管有紧迫的需求,但鲍威尔和美联储仍在削减货币政策。
After meeting with Italy’s Prime Minister, Giorgia Meloni, Trump made some comments about Powell again, sparking discussions on whether the US president would remove him soon.
在与意大利总理乔治·梅洛尼(Giorgia Meloni)会面后,特朗普再次对鲍威尔(Powell)发表了一些评论,引发了有关美国总统是否会尽快将他罢免的讨论。
During a joint press conference with Meloni, Trump stated that he is not happy with Powell and that the Fed Chair would leave if he asked him to.
在与梅洛尼(Meloni)的联合新闻发布会上,特朗普表示,他对鲍威尔(Powell)不满意,如果他要他去,美联储主席将离开。
The US president, who has openly criticized Powell on multiple occasions, expressed his displeasure once again, adding that he does not believe Powell is doing his job.
美国总统多次公开批评鲍威尔,再次表示不满,并补充说,他不相信鲍威尔正在做自己的工作。
Moreover, the White House confirmed that Trump is studying whether he has the power to remove Powell. However, Powell himself has previously asserted that the US president has no legal authority to terminate him.
此外,白宫证实,特朗普正在研究他是否有权去除鲍威尔。但是,鲍威尔本人此前曾断言,美国总统没有法律权力来终止他。
What Does This Mean For Crypto?
这对加密意味着什么?
This development could have implications for the crypto market, as Bitcoin price and other altcoins have shown a greater sensitivity to monetary policies compared to other macroeconomic fundamentals.
与其他宏观经济基本面相比,比特币价格和其他山寨币对货币政策的敏感性更高,因此这种发展可能对加密市场产生影响。
Therefore, Donald Trump firing Jerome Powell or the Fed Chair resigning could be viewed as a positive factor for the market. This is because Powell has indicated that he has no immediate intention to lower rates.
因此,唐纳德·特朗普解雇杰罗姆·鲍威尔或美联储辞职的辞职可能被视为市场的积极因素。这是因为鲍威尔表明他没有立即降低利率的意图。
In his recent speech at the Economic Club of New York on Monday, Powell highlighted that the Federal Reserve would likely keep interest rates in their present range for now. He also noted the administration’s focus on tariffs to mitigate inflation, contrasting it with the European Central Bank’s (ECB) seventh rate cut this year.
鲍威尔(Powell)在最近在纽约经济俱乐部的演讲中强调,美联储目前可能会将利率保持在目前的范围内。他还指出,政府对减轻通货膨胀的关注关注,与今年欧洲中央银行(ECB)的第七次降低对比。
Furthermore, traders will be following any updates on Kevin Warsh, who appears to be more crypto-friendly. However, Warsh once spoke in favor of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) and expressed an opinion against private stablecoins. This stance contradicts Trump’s policies, as the US president has already signed an executive order prohibiting the creation of a CBDC.
此外,交易者将遵循有关凯文·沃什(Kevin Warsh)的任何更新,他们似乎对加密货币更友好。但是,Warsh曾经对中央银行数字货币(CBDC)发表讲话,并对私人稳定币发表意见。这一立场与特朗普的政策相矛盾,因为美国总统已经签署了一项禁止创建CBDC的行政命令。
Instead, Trump seems more supportive of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. Back in June, Trump stated that he is not a fan of Bitcoin and prefers the US dollar.
取而代之的是,特朗普似乎更支持像比特币这样的加密货币。早在6月,特朗普表示,他不喜欢比特币,并且更喜欢美元。
At present, all attention will be directed towards the Fed’s next move and whether they will cut interest rates. Despite Powell’s stance, Bank of America predicts four Fed rate cuts this year, with the first anticipated at the May FOMC meeting.
目前,所有注意力都将针对美联储的下一步行动以及他们是否会降低利率。尽管鲍威尔(Powell)的立场,美国银行(Bank of America)预计今年将降低四项美联储率,并在5月FOMC会议上进行了首次预期。
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