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欧洲中央银行(ECB)的经济学家对比特币(BTC)价格上涨的潜在社会影响发出了警告。
Economists at the European Central Bank (ECB) have raised concerns about the potential societal impact of Bitcoin’s rising price. They argue that the cryptocurrency has shifted from Satoshi Nakamoto’s vision of a global payment system to an investment asset.
欧洲中央银行(ECB)的经济学家对比特币价格上涨的潜在社会影响表示担忧。他们认为,加密货币已经从中本聪的全球支付系统愿景转变为投资资产。
In a recent paper, ECB economists Ulrich Bindseil and Jürgen Schaaf express concerns that Bitcoin’s increasing value primarily benefits early adopters. This trend could leave later investors and those who do not hold Bitcoin facing significant economic challenges.
在最近的一篇论文中,欧洲央行经济学家 Ulrich Bindseil 和 Jürgen Schaaf 表达了对比特币价值不断增长主要有利于早期采用者的担忧。这种趋势可能会让后来的投资者和那些不持有比特币的人面临重大的经济挑战。
ECB Calls For Action Against Bitcoin’s Investment Perception
欧洲央行呼吁采取行动反对比特币的投资观念
The authors highlight how thought leaders and celebrities have contributed to Bitcoin’s image as an investment with limitless growth potential. Figures like Larry Fink regard Bitcoin primarily as a financial asset, disconnecting it from Nakamoto’s original narrative of a currency for transactions.
作者强调了思想领袖和名人如何为比特币作为一种具有无限增长潜力的投资形象做出了贡献。像拉里·芬克这样的人物主要将比特币视为一种金融资产,这与中本聪最初关于交易货币的叙述脱节。
However, instead of positioning BTC as a means of payment, these advocates liken it to gold—a finite resource viewed as a long-term investment. This perspective raises questions about society’s motivation to choose Bitcoin as an investment vehicle. Despite its volatility, proponents expect Bitcoin’s value to trend upward over time, while offering little societal utility.
然而,这些倡导者并没有将比特币定位为一种支付手段,而是将其比作黄金——一种被视为长期投资的有限资源。这种观点引发了人们对社会选择比特币作为投资工具的动机的质疑。尽管存在波动性,支持者预计比特币的价值将随着时间的推移呈上升趋势,同时几乎没有提供社会效用。
“In absolute terms, early adopters exactly increase their real wealth and consumption at the expense of the real wealth and consumption of those who do not hold Bitcoin or who invest in it only at a later stage,” they wrote.
他们写道:“从绝对值来看,早期采用者确实增加了他们的实际财富和消费,而牺牲了那些不持有比特币或仅在后期投资比特币的人的实际财富和消费。”
Read more: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030
了解更多:比特币 (BTC) 价格预测 2024/2025/2030
Moreover, the paper warns that early adopters might liquidate their Bitcoin holdings to purchase luxury items, leaving latecomers at a disadvantage. This dynamic could lead to wealth redistribution from newer investors to those who entered the market first, exacerbating poverty among non-holders.
此外,该论文警告说,早期采用者可能会清算其持有的比特币来购买奢侈品,从而使后来者处于不利地位。这种动态可能导致财富从新投资者重新分配给先进入市场的人,从而加剧非持有者的贫困。
“The consequences of the Bitcoin-as-an-investment vision with perpetually increasing Bitcoin prices imply a corresponding impoverishment of the rest of society, endangering cohesion, stability and ultimately democracy,” the economists argued.
经济学家们认为,“比特币作为一种投资愿景的后果是,比特币价格不断上涨,意味着社会其他部分相应陷入贫困,危及凝聚力、稳定并最终危及民主。”
To counteract these risks, Bindseil and Schaaf advocated for strict price controls on BTC. They argued that this would prevent exploitation and potential civil unrest resulting from such inequitable wealth distribution.
为了应对这些风险,Bindseil 和 Schaaf 主张对 BTC 进行严格的价格控制。他们认为,这将防止由于这种不公平的财富分配而造成的剥削和潜在的内乱。
They also urged current non-holders to recognize the need to oppose Bitcoin. Additionally, non-holders were advised to support legislation aimed at curbing its price increase or eliminating it altogether.
他们还敦促当前的非持有者认识到反对比特币的必要性。此外,建议非持有者支持旨在遏制其价格上涨或完全消除其价格上涨的立法。
“Latecomers and non-holders and their political representatives should emphasize that the idea of Bitcoin as an investment relies on redistribution at their expense. Failing to do so could skew election results in favour of politicians who advocate pro-Bitcoin policies, implying wealth redistribution and fuelling the division of society,” they concluded.
“后来者和非持有者及其政治代表应该强调,比特币作为一种投资的理念依赖于以他们为代价的再分配。如果不这样做,选举结果可能会偏向支持比特币政策的政客,这意味着财富重新分配并加剧社会分裂。”他们总结道。
Crypto Community Slams ECB
加密货币社区猛烈抨击欧洲央行
Meanwhile, the ECB’s paper has drawn sharp criticism from industry experts. Market analyst Tuur Demeester warns that the document may empower governments to impose stringent taxes and restrictions on cryptocurrency. He noted that the central bank economists view Bitcoin as an existential threat that must be countered.
与此同时,欧洲央行的文件也引起了行业专家的尖锐批评。市场分析师 Tuur Demeester 警告称,该文件可能授权政府对加密货币征收严格的税收和限制。他指出,央行经济学家将比特币视为必须应对的生存威胁。
“Many of us have warned that this was coming: bitcoin as a major political fault line both in national and international elections. Well here it is. It means that us HODLers must take action to insure that governments respect our basic right to hold property,” Demeester warned.
“我们许多人都警告说,这种情况即将到来:比特币将成为国家和国际选举中的主要政治断层线。好吧,就在这里。这意味着我们持有财产的人必须采取行动,确保政府尊重我们持有财产的基本权利,”德米斯特警告说。
Read more: How To Trade a Bitcoin ETF: A Step-by-Step Approach
了解更多:如何交易比特币 ETF:分步方法
Similarly, Marc van der Chijs, co-founder of the publicly traded BTC mining firm Hut 8, expressed concerns about the ECB’s stance. He argues that early adopters should not be blamed for their foresight and willingness to take risks.
同样,上市的 BTC 矿业公司 Hut 8 的联合创始人 Marc van der Chijs 也表达了对欧洲央行立场的担忧。他认为,不应指责早期采用者的远见和冒险意愿。
“If Bitcoin should double or triple in 2025 I would not be surprised to see more politicians turning against BTC and trying to tax it excessively,” Van der Chijs claimed.
Van der Chijs 声称:“如果比特币在 2025 年价格上涨一倍或三倍,看到更多政客反对比特币并试图对其过度征税,我不会感到惊讶。”
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