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歐洲中央銀行(ECB)的經濟學家對比特幣(BTC)價格上漲的潛在社會影響發出了警告。
Economists at the European Central Bank (ECB) have raised concerns about the potential societal impact of Bitcoin’s rising price. They argue that the cryptocurrency has shifted from Satoshi Nakamoto’s vision of a global payment system to an investment asset.
歐洲中央銀行(ECB)的經濟學家對比特幣價格上漲的潛在社會影響表示擔憂。他們認為,加密貨幣已從中本聰的全球支付系統願景轉變為投資資產。
In a recent paper, ECB economists Ulrich Bindseil and Jürgen Schaaf express concerns that Bitcoin’s increasing value primarily benefits early adopters. This trend could leave later investors and those who do not hold Bitcoin facing significant economic challenges.
在最近的一篇論文中,歐洲央行經濟學家 Ulrich Bindseil 和 Jürgen Schaaf 表達了對比特幣價值不斷增長主要有利於早期採用者的擔憂。這種趨勢可能會讓後來的投資者和那些不持有比特幣的人面臨重大的經濟挑戰。
ECB Calls For Action Against Bitcoin’s Investment Perception
歐洲央行呼籲採取行動反對比特幣的投資觀念
The authors highlight how thought leaders and celebrities have contributed to Bitcoin’s image as an investment with limitless growth potential. Figures like Larry Fink regard Bitcoin primarily as a financial asset, disconnecting it from Nakamoto’s original narrative of a currency for transactions.
作者強調了思想領袖和名人如何為比特幣作為一種具有無限增長潛力的投資形像做出了貢獻。像拉里·芬克這樣的人物主要將比特幣視為一種金融資產,這與中本聰最初關於交易貨幣的敘述脫節。
However, instead of positioning BTC as a means of payment, these advocates liken it to gold—a finite resource viewed as a long-term investment. This perspective raises questions about society’s motivation to choose Bitcoin as an investment vehicle. Despite its volatility, proponents expect Bitcoin’s value to trend upward over time, while offering little societal utility.
然而,這些倡議者並沒有將比特幣定位為一種支付手段,而是將其比作黃金——一種被視為長期投資的有限資源。這種觀點引發了人們對社會選擇比特幣作為投資工具的動機的質疑。儘管存在波動性,支持者預計比特幣的價值將隨著時間的推移呈上升趨勢,同時幾乎沒有提供社會效用。
“In absolute terms, early adopters exactly increase their real wealth and consumption at the expense of the real wealth and consumption of those who do not hold Bitcoin or who invest in it only at a later stage,” they wrote.
他們寫道:“從絕對值來看,早期採用者確實增加了他們的實際財富和消費,而犧牲了那些不持有比特幣或僅在後期投資比特幣的人的實際財富和消費。”
Read more: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030
了解更多:比特幣 (BTC) 價格預測 2024/2025/2030
Moreover, the paper warns that early adopters might liquidate their Bitcoin holdings to purchase luxury items, leaving latecomers at a disadvantage. This dynamic could lead to wealth redistribution from newer investors to those who entered the market first, exacerbating poverty among non-holders.
此外,該論文警告說,早期採用者可能會清算其持有的比特幣來購買奢侈品,從而使後來者處於不利地位。這種動態可能導致財富從新投資者重新分配給先進入市場的人,加劇非持有者的貧窮。
“The consequences of the Bitcoin-as-an-investment vision with perpetually increasing Bitcoin prices imply a corresponding impoverishment of the rest of society, endangering cohesion, stability and ultimately democracy,” the economists argued.
經濟學家認為,“比特幣作為一種投資願景的後果是,比特幣價格不斷上漲,意味著社會其他部分相應陷入貧困,危及凝聚力、穩定並最終危及民主。”
To counteract these risks, Bindseil and Schaaf advocated for strict price controls on BTC. They argued that this would prevent exploitation and potential civil unrest resulting from such inequitable wealth distribution.
為了應對這些風險,Bindseil 和 Schaaf 主張對 BTC 進行嚴格的價格管制。他們認為,這將防止由於這種不公平的財富分配而造成的剝削和潛在的內亂。
They also urged current non-holders to recognize the need to oppose Bitcoin. Additionally, non-holders were advised to support legislation aimed at curbing its price increase or eliminating it altogether.
他們還敦促當前的非持有者認識到反對比特幣的必要性。此外,建議非持有者支持旨在遏制其價格上漲或完全消除其價格上漲的立法。
“Latecomers and non-holders and their political representatives should emphasize that the idea of Bitcoin as an investment relies on redistribution at their expense. Failing to do so could skew election results in favour of politicians who advocate pro-Bitcoin policies, implying wealth redistribution and fuelling the division of society,” they concluded.
「後來者和非持有者及其政治代表應該強調,比特幣作為一種投資的理念依賴於以他們為代價的再分配。如果不這樣做,選舉結果可能會偏向支持比特幣政策的政客,這意味著財富重新分配並加劇社會分裂。
Crypto Community Slams ECB
加密貨幣社群猛烈抨擊歐洲央行
Meanwhile, the ECB’s paper has drawn sharp criticism from industry experts. Market analyst Tuur Demeester warns that the document may empower governments to impose stringent taxes and restrictions on cryptocurrency. He noted that the central bank economists view Bitcoin as an existential threat that must be countered.
同時,歐洲央行的文件也引起了業界專家的尖銳批評。市場分析師 Tuur Demeester 警告稱,該文件可能授權政府對加密貨幣徵收嚴格的稅收和限制。他指出,央行經濟學家將比特幣視為必須面對的生存威脅。
“Many of us have warned that this was coming: bitcoin as a major political fault line both in national and international elections. Well here it is. It means that us HODLers must take action to insure that governments respect our basic right to hold property,” Demeester warned.
「我們許多人都警告說,這種情況即將到來:比特幣將成為國家和國際選舉中的主要政治斷層線。好吧,就在這裡。這意味著我們持有財產的人必須採取行動,確保政府尊重我們持有財產的基本權利,」德米斯特警告。
Read more: How To Trade a Bitcoin ETF: A Step-by-Step Approach
了解更多:如何交易比特幣 ETF:逐步方法
Similarly, Marc van der Chijs, co-founder of the publicly traded BTC mining firm Hut 8, expressed concerns about the ECB’s stance. He argues that early adopters should not be blamed for their foresight and willingness to take risks.
同樣,上市的 BTC 礦業公司 Hut 8 的聯合創始人 Marc van der Chijs 也表達了對歐洲央行立場的擔憂。他認為,不應指責早期採用者的遠見和冒險意願。
“If Bitcoin should double or triple in 2025 I would not be surprised to see more politicians turning against BTC and trying to tax it excessively,” Van der Chijs claimed.
Van der Chijs 聲稱:“如果比特幣在 2025 年價格上漲一倍或三倍,看到更多政客反對比特幣並試圖對其過度徵稅,我不會感到驚訝。”
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