唐纳德·特朗普对中国征收关税的计划可能对比特币有利

当选总统承诺对中国进口商品征收高额关税，世界第二大经济体正感受到压力。

President-elect Donald Trump’s plan to hit China with tariffs could be great for Bitcoin.

当选总统唐纳德·特朗普对中国征收关税的计划可能对比特币有利。

The president-elect has promised sky-high tariffs on Chinese imports, and the world’s second biggest economy is feeling the pressure.

当选总统承诺对中国进口商品征收高额关税，世界第二大经济体正感受到压力。

The yuan hit a 16-month low on Monday. Experts say the Chinese currency will devalue even more in the coming months. Bitcoin will benefit, says David Brickell, head of international distribution at FRNT Financial.

人民币周一触及 16 个月低点。专家表示，未来几个月人民币将进一步贬值。 FRNT Financial 国际分销主管 David Brickell 表示，比特币将从中受益。

“When China devalued in 2015, Bitcoin promptly traded over three times higher,” he told DL News.

“2015 年中国贬值时，比特币的交易价格立即上涨了三倍多，”他告诉 DL News。

His argument? That the slipping yuan will accelerate capital outflows from China.

他的论点？人民币贬值将加速资本流出中国。

“Bitcoin will be an obvious destination for some of those flows, especially with capital controls in place making it difficult to get capital out of China via traditional channels,” Brickell said.

布里克尔表示：“比特币将成为其中一些资金流的明显目的地，特别是在资本管制到位的情况下，很难通过传统渠道将资本撤出中国。”

The Trump effect

特朗普效应

Other crypto watchers expect Trump’s presidency to be bullish for cryptocurrencies.

其他加密货币观察人士预计特朗普的总统任期将看好加密货币。

Bernstein and Standard Chartered analysts say it will help catapult Bitcoin to $200,000 by the end of 2025. Elsewhere, 10x Research estimates that the leading crypto will surge to $120,000 by Trump’s inauguration on January 20.

Bernstein 和渣打银行分析师表示，到 2025 年底，这将有助于将比特币推升至 200,000 美元。此外，10x Research 估计，到 1 月 20 日特朗普就职典礼时，这一领先的加密货币价格将飙升至 120,000 美元。

They have reason to be optimistic. The president-elect made several pro-crypto pledges during the campaign and has made several pro-crypto nominations for key spots, including Paul Atkins for chair of the Securities and Exchange Commission, and David Sacks as AI and crypto czar.

他们有理由保持乐观。这位当选总统在竞选期间做出了多项支持加密货币的承诺，并为关键职位做出了多项支持加密货币的提名，其中包括担任美国证券交易委员会主席的保罗·阿特金斯 (Paul Atkins) 以及担任人工智能和加密货币沙皇的大卫·萨克斯 (David Sacks)。

China’s woes

中国的困境

The threat of Trump’s tariffs is the latest headache for Beijing.

特朗普的关税威胁是北京最近头疼的问题。

Slow growth and a lasting downturn in the property market have long hobbled the Chinese economy. In September, the government revealed plans to distribute $284 billion to stimulate economic growth in September — it’s the biggest stimulus package since the pandemic.

缓慢的增长和房地产市场的持续低迷长期以来一直困扰着中国经济。 9月，政府公布了计划拨款2840亿美元以刺激9月经济增长——这是自疫情大流行以来最大规模的刺激计划。

This week, Chinese regulators sought to reassure international investors as the renminbi fell to a record low, the Financial Times reported.

据英国《金融时报》报道，本周，随着人民币跌至历史新低，中国监管机构试图安抚国际投资者。

Eric Johanson is DL News’ News Editor. Got a tip? Email at eric@dlnews.com.

埃里克·约翰逊 (Eric Johanson) 是 DL News 的新闻编辑。有小费吗？电子邮件：eric@dlnews.com。