唐納德·川普對中國徵收關稅的計劃可能對比特幣有利

當選總統承諾對中國進口商品徵收高額關稅，世界第二大經濟體正感受到壓力。

President-elect Donald Trump’s plan to hit China with tariffs could be great for Bitcoin.

當選總統唐納德·川普對中國徵收關稅的計劃可能對比特幣有利。

The president-elect has promised sky-high tariffs on Chinese imports, and the world’s second biggest economy is feeling the pressure.

當選總統承諾對中國進口商品徵收高額關稅，世界第二大經濟體正感受到壓力。

The yuan hit a 16-month low on Monday. Experts say the Chinese currency will devalue even more in the coming months. Bitcoin will benefit, says David Brickell, head of international distribution at FRNT Financial.

人民幣週一觸及 16 個月低點。專家表示，未來幾個月人民幣將進一步貶值。 FRNT Financial 國際分銷主管 David Brickell 表示，比特幣將從中受益。

“When China devalued in 2015, Bitcoin promptly traded over three times higher,” he told DL News.

「2015 年中國貶值時，比特幣的交易價格立即上漲了三倍多，」他告訴 DL News。

His argument? That the slipping yuan will accelerate capital outflows from China.

他的論點？人民幣貶值將加速資本流出中國。

“Bitcoin will be an obvious destination for some of those flows, especially with capital controls in place making it difficult to get capital out of China via traditional channels,” Brickell said.

布里克爾表示：“比特幣將成為其中一些資金流的明顯目的地，特別是在資本管製到位的情況下，很難通過傳統渠道將資本撤出中國。”

The Trump effect

川普效應

Other crypto watchers expect Trump’s presidency to be bullish for cryptocurrencies.

其他加密貨幣觀察家預計川普的總統任期將看好加密貨幣。

Bernstein and Standard Chartered analysts say it will help catapult Bitcoin to $200,000 by the end of 2025. Elsewhere, 10x Research estimates that the leading crypto will surge to $120,000 by Trump’s inauguration on January 20.

Bernstein 和渣打銀行分析師表示，到2025 年底，這將有助於將比特幣晉升至20 萬美元。價格將飆升至12 萬美元。

They have reason to be optimistic. The president-elect made several pro-crypto pledges during the campaign and has made several pro-crypto nominations for key spots, including Paul Atkins for chair of the Securities and Exchange Commission, and David Sacks as AI and crypto czar.

他們有理由保持樂觀。這位當選總統在競選期間做出了多項支持加密貨幣的承諾，並為關鍵職位做出了多項支持加密貨幣的提名，其中包括擔任美國證券交易委員會主席的保羅·阿特金斯(Paul Atkins) 以及擔任人工智慧和加密貨幣沙皇的大衛·薩克斯(David Sacks)。

China’s woes

中國的困境

The threat of Trump’s tariffs is the latest headache for Beijing.

川普的關稅威脅是北京最近頭痛的問題。

Slow growth and a lasting downturn in the property market have long hobbled the Chinese economy. In September, the government revealed plans to distribute $284 billion to stimulate economic growth in September — it’s the biggest stimulus package since the pandemic.

緩慢的成長和房地產市場的持續低迷長期以來一直困擾著中國經濟。 9月，政府公佈了計畫撥款2,840億美元以刺激9月經濟成長——這是自疫情大流行以來最大規模的刺激方案。

This week, Chinese regulators sought to reassure international investors as the renminbi fell to a record low, the Financial Times reported.

根據英國《金融時報》報道，本週，隨著人民幣跌至歷史新低，中國監管機構試圖安撫國際投資者。

Eric Johanson is DL News’ News Editor. Got a tip? Email at eric@dlnews.com.

埃里克·約翰遜 (Eric Johanson) 是 DL News 的新聞編輯。有小費嗎？電子郵件：eric@dlnews.com。