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自唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 果断赢得 2024 年总统大选以来的近一周内,加密货币价格飙升。
Crypto prices have surged in the nearly week since Donald Trump decisively won the 2024 presidential election. In the past five days alone, many popular cryptocurrencies have jumped by anywhere from 8% to almost 50%.
自唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 决定性地赢得 2024 年总统大选以来,加密货币价格在近一周内飙升。仅在过去五天里,许多流行的加密货币就上涨了 8% 至近 50%。
Bitcoin (BTC), for example, has been up 8.6% over the past five days as of the time of this writing. It’s now trading at an all-time high of nearly $82,000 per coin. Ethereum (ETH) is up almost 17% in the same time. Solana (SOL) is up nearly 17% as well.
例如,截至撰写本文时,比特币 (BTC) 在过去五天内上涨了 8.6%。目前其交易价格达到每枚近 82,000 美元的历史新高。以太坊 (ETH) 同期上涨近 17%。 Solana (SOL) 也上涨了近 17%。
Meme coins are also rising: Shiba Inu (SHIB) is up nearly 38% in the past five days and Dogecoin (DOGE) is up a staggering 49% in the same period.
Meme 币也在上涨:柴犬 (SHIB) 在过去五天内上涨了近 38%,狗狗币 (DOGE) 同期上涨了 49%。
So why is crypto surging so much after Trump’s win? Here are two likely reasons:
那么,为什么特朗普获胜后加密货币价格飙升如此之多呢?以下是两个可能的原因:
A very crypto-friendly Trump administration
对加密货币非常友好的特朗普政府
Both Democrats and Republicans have traditionally been wary of cryptocurrencies for various reasons, including their ability to facilitate payment for illegal activities and the threat they could pose to the country’s fiat currency and the supremacy of the U.S. dollar.
民主党和共和党传统上都出于各种原因对加密货币保持警惕,包括它们为非法活动提供便利的支付能力以及它们可能对国家法定货币和美元霸权构成的威胁。
But in the past year, Republicans have been changing their tune on crypto—especially those in line with Trump’s worldview. Trump had previously been, if not resistant to crypto, at least noncommittal. But during this presidential campaign, he embraced the digital assets, perhaps in an effort to gain support from both the tech industry and young investors, particularly young males, who are invested in cryptocurrencies.
但在过去的一年里,共和党人一直在改变他们对加密货币的态度——尤其是那些符合特朗普世界观的加密货币。特朗普此前即使不是抵制加密货币,至少也是不置可否。但在这次总统竞选期间,他拥抱了数字资产,或许是为了获得科技行业和年轻投资者的支持,尤其是投资加密货币的年轻男性。
Trump courted these voters by positioning himself as a pro-crypto candidate. As CNBC noted, in August, Trump posted a video to X in which he said, “This afternoon, I’m laying out my plan to ensure that the United States will be the crypto capital of the planet. They want to choke you. They want to choke you out of business. We’re not going to let that happen.”
特朗普通过将自己定位为支持加密货币的候选人来讨好这些选民。正如 CNBC 指出的那样,特朗普在 8 月份向 X 发布了一段视频,其中他说:“今天下午,我正在制定我的计划,以确保美国成为地球上的加密货币之都。他们想掐死你。他们想让你失业。我们不会让这种事发生。”
Who is the “they” that wants to choke crypto investors? That’s anyone’s guess. (Perhaps Trump was talking about Democrats or regulators.) But Trump’s message for crypto investors was clear: He wants to be the crypto president.
谁是想要扼杀加密货币投资者的“他们”?这是任何人的猜测。 (也许特朗普正在谈论民主党或监管机构。)但特朗普向加密货币投资者传达的信息很明确:他想成为加密货币总统。
So it’s no wonder that cryptocurrencies rose after his surprising but decisive victory last week. The Republicans gaining control of the Senate and possibly the House is also likely contributing to the excitement. The party that now positions itself as pro-crypto could control all of Congress and the White House, enabling the passage of favorable crypto legislation quite easily.
因此,在他上周令人惊讶但决定性的胜利之后,加密货币的上涨也就不足为奇了。共和党获得参议院和众议院的控制权也可能会加剧这种兴奋。现在将自己定位为支持加密货币的政党可以控制整个国会和白宫,从而很容易地通过有利的加密立法。
The Elon Musk factor
埃隆·马斯克因素
An incoming Trump administration isn’t the only likely reason for the rise of the crypto markets, however. Another factor, though perhaps one with a lesser influence, is that Elon Musk seems to be in a position to have significant sway with the president-elect, particularly on technology issues.
然而,即将上任的特朗普政府并不是加密货币市场崛起的唯一可能原因。另一个因素,虽然影响力可能较小,但埃隆·马斯克似乎能够对当选总统产生重大影响,特别是在技术问题上。
While no official announcements have been made, it’s likely Musk will play at least an advisory role in the Trump administration. That role could impact policy decisions, including those surrounding cryptocurrency. While Musk himself hasn’t started a coin, he has been a big supporter of cryptocurrencies in the past, including the meme coin Dogecoin.
虽然尚未发布任何官方公告,但马斯克可能至少会在特朗普政府中扮演顾问角色。这一角色可能会影响政策决策,包括有关加密货币的政策决策。虽然马斯克本人还没有创立过加密货币,但他过去一直是加密货币的大力支持者,包括模因币狗狗币。
In other words, the richest man in the world, who is crypto-friendly, has the incoming crypto-friendly president’s ear—and cryptocurrency investors seem to think that only good things can come from that.
换句话说,对加密货币友好的世界首富,得到了即将上任的对加密货币友好的总统的青睐——而加密货币投资者似乎认为,只有这样才能带来好处。
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