Cardano（ADA）价格预测：鲸鱼在Q1 2025恢复浪潮之前倾倒了200m令牌

Cardano的价格在最近几周一直在下降压力，这使投资者和交易者想知道其未来方向。

Cardano’s price has been stuck in a tight range over the past few weeks, leaving investors and traders wondering what the next move will be for ADA. After failing to break above key resistance levels despite showing signs of recovery, the cryptocurrency is currently trading near the $0.65-$0.68 range.

在过去的几周中，Cardano的价格一直处于严格的范围内，这使投资者和交易员想知道ADA下一步将是什么。在未能突破关键阻力水平的情况下，尽管显示出恢复的迹象，因此加密货币目前的交易价格接近0.65- $ 0.68。

Cardano began a recovery wave above the $0.680 zone but couldn’t sustain the momentum. The cryptocurrency formed a high at $0.7090 before correcting most of those gains. There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $0.6720 on the hourly chart. The price is now trading below both $0.680 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.

卡尔达诺（Cardano）在$ 0.680的区域上开始了恢复浪潮，但无法维持势头。在纠正大多数收益之前，加密货币在0.7090美元的高处形成了高度。在每小时图表上，在连接的看涨趋势线下方有一个休息，支持趋势为0.6720美元。现在，价格的交易价格低于0.680美元和100小时的简单移动平均线。

On the upside, ADA might face resistance near the $0.6720 zone. The first major resistance is at $0.6950, and the next key level to watch is $0.70.

从好的方面来说，ADA可能会在0.6720美元的区域附近面临阻力。第一个主要阻力为0.6950美元，下一个关键的关键水平为0.70美元。

If Cardano can close above the $0.70 resistance, it could start a strong rally possibly toward the $0.7420 region. Further gains might push the price toward $0.7650.

如果卡尔达诺（Cardano）可以超过0.70美元的电阻，则可能会向$ 0.7420的地区开始强烈的集会。进一步的收益可能会将价格推向0.7650美元。

However, if ADA drops below the 100-hourly SMA, which is currently near $0.630, it could fall into deeper support. The next key support is at $0.60.

但是，如果ADA跌至100小时的SMA以下（目前接近0.630美元），则可能会陷入更深的支持。下一个主要支持为0.60美元。

One factor that might be putting pressure on ADA is the behavior of large holders. According to analyst Ali Martinez, whale addresses sold almost 200 million ADA (worth around $136.7 million) throughout March.

可能对ADA施加压力的一个因素是大持有人的行为。根据分析师阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）的说法，鲸鱼地址在整个3月份售出了近2亿ADA（价值约1.367亿美元）。

This substantial selloff coincides with Cardano’s more than 20% decline in the first quarter of 2025. The exodus of major holders has raised concerns about whether more downside is ahead for the cryptocurrency.

这种巨大的抛售与卡尔达诺（Cardano）在2025年第一季度下降了20％以上。主要持有人的出埃及引起了人们对加密货币是否有更多缺点的担忧。

Cardano has displayed a pattern of higher highs followed by abrupt short-term corrections since November. After reaching a high of $1.165 on March 2, ADA has been unable to reclaim higher ground, encountering strong resistance around $0.7799.

自11月以来，Cardano展示了更高高点的模式，随后进行了突然的短期校正。在3月2日达到1.165美元的最高点之后，Ada无法收回更高的地面，遇到了强大的抵抗力，约为0.7799美元。

The selling pressure from whales comes at a time when ADA is struggling to maintain upward momentum, with $0.70 emerging as a key resistance level that bulls have failed to overcome.

鲸鱼的销售压力是在ADA努力保持向上势头的时候，$ 0.70的出现是公牛未能克服的关键阻力水平。

Technical Indicators Show Mixed Signals

技术指标显示混合信号

Traders are closely monitoring ADA’s key support and resistance levels. The nearest support level is $0.63, which if broken, could lead to further decline or possibly trigger a trend reversal if the price successfully retests this level.

交易者密切监视ADA的主要支持和阻力水平。最近的支持水平为0.63美元，如果破损，如果价格成功重新测试了这一水平，则可能导致进一步下降或可能触发趋势逆转。

If Cardano drops below this support, the next level to watch would be between $0.60 and $0.61. Any drop below $0.63 appears bearish and opens the possibility of testing these lower supports.

如果Cardano跌至此支持以下，那么要观看的下一个级别将在0.60美元至0.61美元之间。低于$ 0.63的任何下降似乎看跌，并打开了测试这些较低支持的可能性。

For a bullish outlook, Cardano must clear its resistance levels. The daily moving averages at $0.73 (200-day) and $0.75 (50-day) represent important barriers.

对于看涨的前景，Cardano必须清除其阻力水平。每日移动平均值为0.73美元（200天）和0.75美元（50天）代表重要的障碍。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 46.27, just below the neutral level of 50. This indicates that ADA is not yet in a bullish trend, although it could be reclaiming positive momentum as buying pressure increases.

相对强度指数（RSI）目前为46.27，低于50的中性水平。这表明ADA尚未在看涨趋势中，尽管随着购买压力的增加，它可能会恢复积极的势头。

The MACD is showing a bearish outlook as the MACD Line remains below the Signal Line. However, there are signs of weakening bearish momentum, shown by the histogram’s green bars becoming larger.

当MACD线保持在信号线以下时，MACD显示出看跌的前景。但是，有迹象表明，直方图的绿色条显示出更大的看跌式动量。

Additionally, ADA’s price action is forming a Falling Wedge pattern, which typically suggests a bullish reversal despite a death cross threatening a potential 25% price dip.

此外，ADA的价格行动正在形成下降的楔形模式，尽管死亡交叉威胁了潜在的25％的价格下跌，但通常表明看涨逆转。

Long-Term Outlook Remains Optimistic

长期前景仍然乐观

Despite short-term struggles, some analysts maintain a long-term optimistic view for Cardano. According to TradingView analysis, ADA has been following an established ascending channel pattern throughout the years.

尽管短期挣扎，但一些分析师对Cardano保持了长期乐观的看法。根据TradingView Analysis，多年来，ADA一直遵循建立的上升渠道模式。

This pattern has historically led to major price increases when ADA moved between its upper and lower trendlines. In 2021, a similar channel saw ADA rise from $0.20 to over $2.70.

这种模式历史上导致了ADA在其上层和较低趋势线之间移动时的主要价格上涨。在2021年，类似的渠道使ADA从0.20美元上涨至2.70美元以上。

If Cardano continues to follow this pattern, analysts believe it could see a move toward $50.48 by the end of 2025. Such a projection would require continued market optimism and strong demand for ADA.

如果Cardano继续遵循这种模式，分析师认为，到2025年底，它可能会朝50.48美元转移。这样的预测将需要持续的市场乐观和对ADA的强劲需求。

On the other hand, analysts warn that Cardano is at a critical juncture. If ADA fails to maintain the $0.70 to $0.80 support zone, it could experience a deeper correction, possibly testing the lower $0.30s, although this would require a severe breakdown from current levels.

另一方面，分析师警告说，卡尔达诺处于关键时刻。如果ADA无法维持0.70美元至0.80美元的支持区，它可能会更深入校正，可能会测试较低的0.30美元，尽管这将需要从当前水平严重崩溃。

For now, Cardano appears to be consolidating near the $0.65 level as traders await clearer directional signals. The immediate price action will likely be determined by whether bulls can push above $0.70 or if bears will

目前，随着交易员在等待更清晰的方向信号，Cardano似乎正在巩固$ 0.65的水平。立即的价格行动可能会取决于公牛是否可以推高0.70美元或熊是否会推出