Cardano（ADA）價格預測：鯨魚在Q1 2025恢復浪潮之前傾倒了200m令牌

Cardano的價格在最近幾週一直在下降壓力，這使投資者和交易者想知道其未來方向。

Cardano’s price has been stuck in a tight range over the past few weeks, leaving investors and traders wondering what the next move will be for ADA. After failing to break above key resistance levels despite showing signs of recovery, the cryptocurrency is currently trading near the $0.65-$0.68 range.

在過去的幾周中，Cardano的價格一直處於嚴格的範圍內，這使投資者和交易員想知道ADA下一步將是什麼。在未能突破關鍵阻力水平的情況下，儘管顯示出恢復的跡象，因此加密貨幣目前的交易價格接近0.65- $ 0.68。

Cardano began a recovery wave above the $0.680 zone but couldn’t sustain the momentum. The cryptocurrency formed a high at $0.7090 before correcting most of those gains. There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $0.6720 on the hourly chart. The price is now trading below both $0.680 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.

卡爾達諾（Cardano）在$ 0.680的區域上開始了恢復浪潮，但無法維持勢頭。在糾正大多數收益之前，加密貨幣在0.7090美元的高處形成了高度。在每小時圖表上，在連接的看漲趨勢線下方有一個休息，支持趨勢為0.6720美元。現在，價格的交易價格低於0.680美元和100小時的簡單移動平均線。

On the upside, ADA might face resistance near the $0.6720 zone. The first major resistance is at $0.6950, and the next key level to watch is $0.70.

從好的方面來說，ADA可能會在0.6720美元的區域附近面臨阻力。第一個主要阻力為0.6950美元，下一個關鍵的關鍵水平為0.70美元。

If Cardano can close above the $0.70 resistance, it could start a strong rally possibly toward the $0.7420 region. Further gains might push the price toward $0.7650.

如果卡爾達諾（Cardano）可以超過0.70美元的電阻，則可能會向$ 0.7420的地區開始強烈的集會。進一步的收益可能會將價格推向0.7650美元。

However, if ADA drops below the 100-hourly SMA, which is currently near $0.630, it could fall into deeper support. The next key support is at $0.60.

但是，如果ADA跌至100小時的SMA以下（目前接近0.630美元），則可能會陷入更深的支持。下一個主要支持為0.60美元。

One factor that might be putting pressure on ADA is the behavior of large holders. According to analyst Ali Martinez, whale addresses sold almost 200 million ADA (worth around $136.7 million) throughout March.

可能對ADA施加壓力的一個因素是大持有人的行為。根據分析師阿里·馬丁內斯（Ali Martinez）的說法，鯨魚地址在整個3月份售出了近2億ADA（價值約1.367億美元）。

This substantial selloff coincides with Cardano’s more than 20% decline in the first quarter of 2025. The exodus of major holders has raised concerns about whether more downside is ahead for the cryptocurrency.

這種巨大的拋售與卡爾達諾（Cardano）在2025年第一季度下降了20％以上。主要持有人的出埃及引起了人們對加密貨幣是否有更多缺點的擔憂。

Cardano has displayed a pattern of higher highs followed by abrupt short-term corrections since November. After reaching a high of $1.165 on March 2, ADA has been unable to reclaim higher ground, encountering strong resistance around $0.7799.

自11月以來，Cardano展示了更高高點的模式，隨後進行了突然的短期校正。在3月2日達到1.165美元的最高點之後，Ada無法收回更高的地面，遇到了強大的抵抗力，約為0.7799美元。

The selling pressure from whales comes at a time when ADA is struggling to maintain upward momentum, with $0.70 emerging as a key resistance level that bulls have failed to overcome.

鯨魚的銷售壓力是在ADA努力保持向上勢頭的時候，$ 0.70的出現是公牛未能克服的關鍵阻力水平。

Technical Indicators Show Mixed Signals

技術指標顯示混合信號

Traders are closely monitoring ADA’s key support and resistance levels. The nearest support level is $0.63, which if broken, could lead to further decline or possibly trigger a trend reversal if the price successfully retests this level.

交易者密切監視ADA的主要支持和阻力水平。最近的支持水平為0.63美元，如果破損，如果價格成功重新測試了這一水平，則可能導致進一步下降或可能觸發趨勢逆轉。

If Cardano drops below this support, the next level to watch would be between $0.60 and $0.61. Any drop below $0.63 appears bearish and opens the possibility of testing these lower supports.

如果Cardano跌至此支持以下，那麼要觀看的下一個級別將在0.60美元至0.61美元之間。低於$ 0.63的任何下降似乎看跌，並打開了測試這些較低支持的可能性。

For a bullish outlook, Cardano must clear its resistance levels. The daily moving averages at $0.73 (200-day) and $0.75 (50-day) represent important barriers.

對於看漲的前景，Cardano必須清除其阻力水平。每日移動平均值為0.73美元（200天）和0.75美元（50天）代表重要的障礙。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 46.27, just below the neutral level of 50. This indicates that ADA is not yet in a bullish trend, although it could be reclaiming positive momentum as buying pressure increases.

相對強度指數（RSI）目前為46.27，低於50的中性水平。這表明ADA尚未在看漲趨勢中，儘管隨著購買壓力的增加，它可能會恢復積極的勢頭。

The MACD is showing a bearish outlook as the MACD Line remains below the Signal Line. However, there are signs of weakening bearish momentum, shown by the histogram’s green bars becoming larger.

當MACD線保持在信號線以下時，MACD顯示出看跌的前景。但是，有跡象表明，直方圖的綠色條顯示出更大的看跌式動量。

Additionally, ADA’s price action is forming a Falling Wedge pattern, which typically suggests a bullish reversal despite a death cross threatening a potential 25% price dip.

此外，ADA的價格行動正在形成下降的楔形模式，儘管死亡交叉威脅了潛在的25％的價格下跌，但通常表明看漲逆轉。

Long-Term Outlook Remains Optimistic

長期前景仍然樂觀

Despite short-term struggles, some analysts maintain a long-term optimistic view for Cardano. According to TradingView analysis, ADA has been following an established ascending channel pattern throughout the years.

儘管短期掙扎，但一些分析師對Cardano保持了長期樂觀的看法。根據TradingView Analysis，多年來，ADA一直遵循建立的上升渠道模式。

This pattern has historically led to major price increases when ADA moved between its upper and lower trendlines. In 2021, a similar channel saw ADA rise from $0.20 to over $2.70.

這種模式歷史上導致了ADA在其上層和較低趨勢線之間移動時的主要價格上漲。在2021年，類似的渠道使ADA從0.20美元上漲至2.70美元以上。

If Cardano continues to follow this pattern, analysts believe it could see a move toward $50.48 by the end of 2025. Such a projection would require continued market optimism and strong demand for ADA.

如果Cardano繼續遵循這種模式，分析師認為，到2025年底，它可能會朝50.48美元轉移。這樣的預測將需要持續的市場樂觀和對ADA的強勁需求。

On the other hand, analysts warn that Cardano is at a critical juncture. If ADA fails to maintain the $0.70 to $0.80 support zone, it could experience a deeper correction, possibly testing the lower $0.30s, although this would require a severe breakdown from current levels.

另一方面，分析師警告說，卡爾達諾處於關鍵時刻。如果ADA無法維持0.70美元至0.80美元的支持區，它可能會更深入校正，可能會測試較低的0.30美元，儘管這將需要從當前水平嚴重崩潰。

For now, Cardano appears to be consolidating near the $0.65 level as traders await clearer directional signals. The immediate price action will likely be determined by whether bulls can push above $0.70 or if bears will

目前，隨著交易員在等待更清晰的方向信號，Cardano似乎正在鞏固$ 0.65的水平。立即的價格行動可能會取決於公牛是否可以推高0.70美元或熊是否會推出