Cardano (ADA) Price Prediction: Whales Dumped 200M Tokens Ahead of Q1 2025 Recovery Wave

Cardano's price has been experiencing downward pressure in recent weeks, leaving investors and traders wondering about its future direction.

Cardano’s price has been stuck in a tight range over the past few weeks, leaving investors and traders wondering what the next move will be for ADA. After failing to break above key resistance levels despite showing signs of recovery, the cryptocurrency is currently trading near the $0.65-$0.68 range.

Cardano began a recovery wave above the $0.680 zone but couldn’t sustain the momentum. The cryptocurrency formed a high at $0.7090 before correcting most of those gains. There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $0.6720 on the hourly chart. The price is now trading below both $0.680 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.

On the upside, ADA might face resistance near the $0.6720 zone. The first major resistance is at $0.6950, and the next key level to watch is $0.70.

If Cardano can close above the $0.70 resistance, it could start a strong rally possibly toward the $0.7420 region. Further gains might push the price toward $0.7650.

However, if ADA drops below the 100-hourly SMA, which is currently near $0.630, it could fall into deeper support. The next key support is at $0.60.

One factor that might be putting pressure on ADA is the behavior of large holders. According to analyst Ali Martinez, whale addresses sold almost 200 million ADA (worth around $136.7 million) throughout March.

This substantial selloff coincides with Cardano’s more than 20% decline in the first quarter of 2025. The exodus of major holders has raised concerns about whether more downside is ahead for the cryptocurrency.

Cardano has displayed a pattern of higher highs followed by abrupt short-term corrections since November. After reaching a high of $1.165 on March 2, ADA has been unable to reclaim higher ground, encountering strong resistance around $0.7799.

The selling pressure from whales comes at a time when ADA is struggling to maintain upward momentum, with $0.70 emerging as a key resistance level that bulls have failed to overcome.

Technical Indicators Show Mixed Signals

Traders are closely monitoring ADA’s key support and resistance levels. The nearest support level is $0.63, which if broken, could lead to further decline or possibly trigger a trend reversal if the price successfully retests this level.

If Cardano drops below this support, the next level to watch would be between $0.60 and $0.61. Any drop below $0.63 appears bearish and opens the possibility of testing these lower supports.

For a bullish outlook, Cardano must clear its resistance levels. The daily moving averages at $0.73 (200-day) and $0.75 (50-day) represent important barriers.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 46.27, just below the neutral level of 50. This indicates that ADA is not yet in a bullish trend, although it could be reclaiming positive momentum as buying pressure increases.

The MACD is showing a bearish outlook as the MACD Line remains below the Signal Line. However, there are signs of weakening bearish momentum, shown by the histogram’s green bars becoming larger.

Additionally, ADA’s price action is forming a Falling Wedge pattern, which typically suggests a bullish reversal despite a death cross threatening a potential 25% price dip.

Long-Term Outlook Remains Optimistic

Despite short-term struggles, some analysts maintain a long-term optimistic view for Cardano. According to TradingView analysis, ADA has been following an established ascending channel pattern throughout the years.

This pattern has historically led to major price increases when ADA moved between its upper and lower trendlines. In 2021, a similar channel saw ADA rise from $0.20 to over $2.70.

If Cardano continues to follow this pattern, analysts believe it could see a move toward $50.48 by the end of 2025. Such a projection would require continued market optimism and strong demand for ADA.

On the other hand, analysts warn that Cardano is at a critical juncture. If ADA fails to maintain the $0.70 to $0.80 support zone, it could experience a deeper correction, possibly testing the lower $0.30s, although this would require a severe breakdown from current levels.

For now, Cardano appears to be consolidating near the $0.65 level as traders await clearer directional signals. The immediate price action will likely be determined by whether bulls can push above $0.70 or if bears will