BTC价格前景：市场等待催化剂

BTC的价格趋势仍然取决于特朗普的外交政策，美联储利率路径，SBR的发展和美国BTC-SPOT ETF流量。

The US BTC-spot ETF market saw total net inflows of $203.8 million over the week, decreasing from the previous week's $559.5 million. Among US-listed ETFs, the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) had the highest net inflows at $160.8 million, followed by the VanEck Bitcoin Strategy ETF (XBT) at $43 million.

美国BTC SPOT ETF市场在一周内的净流入总额为2.038亿美元，比上周的5.595亿美元下降。在美国上市的ETF中，Proshares比特币战略ETF（BITO）的净流入最高为1.608亿美元，其次是Vaneck Bitcoin Strategy ETF（XBT），为4,300万美元。

Institutional investors continued to show strong interest in US-BTC-spot ETFs, driven by the potential for a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR) and increasing demand for BTC as an inflation hedge.

机构投资者继续对美国-BTC SPOT ETF表现出强烈的兴趣，这是由于美国战略比特币储备（SBR）的潜力以及对BTC作为通货膨胀对冲的需求的增加所驱动的。

In Utah, the House passed a bill to create an SBR, which would be funded by a portion of the state's general fund. The bill now heads to the Senate for further consideration. Several other states, including Wyoming, Texas, and Arizona, have also introduced bills related to SBRs.

在犹他州，众议院通过了一项法案来创建一个SBR，该法案将由该州一部分普通基金资助。该法案现在前往参议院进行进一步考虑。怀俄明州，德克萨斯州和亚利桑那州在内的其他几个州也引入了与SBR相关的法案。

At the federal level, the recently proposed Bitcoin Act, championed by Senator Lummis, would oblige the government to purchase one million BTC over five years and hold them for a minimum of two years. While the bill's passage remains uncertain, it has garnered attention and sparked discussions about a potential large-scale BTC acquisition by the US government.

在联邦一级，最近提议的比特币法案由参议员卢米斯（Lummis）倡导，将迫使政府在五年内购买100万BTC，并将其持有至少两年。尽管该法案的通过仍然不确定，但它引起了人们的关注，并引发了有关美国政府潜在的大规模BTC收购的讨论。

Meanwhile, crypto proponents continue to advocate for the inclusion of BTC in the US government's macroeconomic data analysis. John Deaton, an attorney representing XRP holders in the SEC lawsuit, highlighted the significance of BTC in discussions on inflation and recession.

同时，加密支持者继续主张将BTC纳入美国政府的宏观经济数据分析。代表XRP持有人在SEC诉讼中的律师约翰·迪顿（John Deaton）强调了BTC在通货膨胀和衰退的讨论中的重要性。

In his view, if the government were to factor BTC into its inflation readings, it would reveal a different narrative, and the střong demand for BTC could lead to a price surge if the US were to adopt the Bitcoin Act. Deaton expressed optimism that BTC could reach $1 million in such a scenario.

他认为，如果政府将BTC纳入其通货膨胀率，它将揭示出不同的叙述，如果美国采用《比特币法案》，对BTC的史坦斯对BTC的需求可能会导致价格上涨。 Deaton表示乐观地认为，在这种情况下，BTC可以达到100万美元。

As the dust settles on Trump's visit to East Palestine, Ohio, and amid ongoing discussions on crypto regulation, inflation, and Federal Reserve rate hikes, let's shift our focus to the factors influencing BTC's price movements.

当尘埃落定在特朗普对俄亥俄州东巴勒斯坦的访问以及有关加密监管，通货膨胀和美联储储备率的持续讨论中，让我们将我们的重点转移到影响BTC价格变动的因素上。

Throughout the week, BTC's price experienced a downturn, influenced by the absence of fresh catalysts and the broader market sell-off. However, the price recovered toward the week's end, largely driven by news of the Utah SBR bill.

在整个星期中，BTC的价格经历了低迷，受到新鲜催化剂和更广泛的市场抛售的影响。但是，在本周结束时的价格在很大程度上是由犹他州SBR法案的消息推动的。

From a technical perspective, BTC closed the week below the 50-day EMA but remained above the 200-day EMA. This positioning reflects bearish near-term and bullish longer-term price signals from the EMAs.

从技术角度来看，BTC在50天的EMA以下关闭了一周，但仍高于200天EMA。这种定位反映了EMAS的近期和看涨长期价格信号。

To assess the strength of the upcoming rally, traders could watch for BTC to cross above the 50-day EMA, which might indicate a bullish trend. Conversely, a sustained fall below the 200-day EMA could signal a bearish price movement.

为了评估即将举行的集会的实力，交易者可以注意BTC超过50天的EMA，这可能表明看涨趋势。相反，持续下降以​​下200天EMA可能表明看跌价格转移。

If BTC were to experience another price surge, it could encounter resistance at the $105,000 level. A breakout above this level might open the path toward BTC's all-time high of $109,312.

如果BTC要经历另一种价格上涨，它可能会在105,000美元的水平上遇到阻力。超过此水平的突破可能会为BTC的历史最高高点$ 109,312打开道路。

On the other hand, if BTC were to encounter selling pressure and slip below the $95,000 support, it could lead to a fall toward the $90,742 support level.

另一方面，如果BTC遇到卖出压力并滑倒95,000美元的支持，则可能导致跌至90,742美元的支持水平。

With a mid-range RSI reading of 43.05, BTC has some room to fall before reaching oversold territory (RSI below 30), which might indicate an opportunity for price recovery.

随着RSI的中期读数为43.05，BTC在到达超卖领土之前有一定的空间（RSI低于30的RSI），这可能表明价格恢复的机会。