BTC價格前景：市場等待催化劑

BTC的價格趨勢仍然取決於特朗普的外交政策，美聯儲利率路徑，SBR的發展和美國BTC-SPOT ETF流量。

The US BTC-spot ETF market saw total net inflows of $203.8 million over the week, decreasing from the previous week's $559.5 million. Among US-listed ETFs, the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) had the highest net inflows at $160.8 million, followed by the VanEck Bitcoin Strategy ETF (XBT) at $43 million.

美國BTC SPOT ETF市場在一周內的淨流入總額為2.038億美元，比上週的5.595億美元下降。在美國上市的ETF中，Proshares比特幣戰略ETF（BITO）的淨流入最高為1.608億美元，其次是Vaneck Bitcoin Strategy ETF（XBT），為4,300萬美元。

Institutional investors continued to show strong interest in US-BTC-spot ETFs, driven by the potential for a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR) and increasing demand for BTC as an inflation hedge.

機構投資者繼續對美國-BTC SPOT ETF表現出強烈的興趣，這是由於美國戰略比特幣儲備（SBR）的潛力以及對BTC作為通貨膨脹對沖的需求的增加所驅動的。

In Utah, the House passed a bill to create an SBR, which would be funded by a portion of the state's general fund. The bill now heads to the Senate for further consideration. Several other states, including Wyoming, Texas, and Arizona, have also introduced bills related to SBRs.

在猶他州，眾議院通過了一項法案來創建一個SBR，該法案將由該州一部分普通基金資助。該法案現在前往參議院進行進一步考慮。懷俄明州，德克薩斯州和亞利桑那州在內的其他幾個州也引入了與SBR相關的法案。

At the federal level, the recently proposed Bitcoin Act, championed by Senator Lummis, would oblige the government to purchase one million BTC over five years and hold them for a minimum of two years. While the bill's passage remains uncertain, it has garnered attention and sparked discussions about a potential large-scale BTC acquisition by the US government.

在聯邦一級，最近提議的比特幣法案由參議員盧米斯（Lummis）倡導，將迫使政府在五年內購買100萬BTC，並將其持有至少兩年。儘管該法案的通過仍然不確定，但它引起了人們的關注，並引發了有關美國政府潛在的大規模BTC收購的討論。

Meanwhile, crypto proponents continue to advocate for the inclusion of BTC in the US government's macroeconomic data analysis. John Deaton, an attorney representing XRP holders in the SEC lawsuit, highlighted the significance of BTC in discussions on inflation and recession.

同時，加密支持者繼續主張將BTC納入美國政府的宏觀經濟數據分析。代表XRP持有人在SEC訴訟中的律師約翰·迪頓（John Deaton）強調了BTC在通貨膨脹和衰退的討論中的重要性。

In his view, if the government were to factor BTC into its inflation readings, it would reveal a different narrative, and the střong demand for BTC could lead to a price surge if the US were to adopt the Bitcoin Act. Deaton expressed optimism that BTC could reach $1 million in such a scenario.

他認為，如果政府將BTC納入其通貨膨脹率，它將揭示出不同的敘述，如果美國採用《比特幣法案》，對BTC的史坦斯對BTC的需求可能會導致價格上漲。 Deaton表示樂觀地認為，在這種情況下，BTC可以達到100萬美元。

As the dust settles on Trump's visit to East Palestine, Ohio, and amid ongoing discussions on crypto regulation, inflation, and Federal Reserve rate hikes, let's shift our focus to the factors influencing BTC's price movements.

當塵埃落定在特朗普對俄亥俄州東巴勒斯坦的訪問以及有關加密監管，通貨膨脹和美聯儲儲備率的持續討論中，讓我們將我們的重點轉移到影響BTC價格變動的因素上。

Throughout the week, BTC's price experienced a downturn, influenced by the absence of fresh catalysts and the broader market sell-off. However, the price recovered toward the week's end, largely driven by news of the Utah SBR bill.

在整個星期中，BTC的價格經歷了低迷，受到新鮮催化劑和更廣泛的市場拋售的影響。但是，在本週結束時的價格在很大程度上是由猶他州SBR法案的消息推動的。

From a technical perspective, BTC closed the week below the 50-day EMA but remained above the 200-day EMA. This positioning reflects bearish near-term and bullish longer-term price signals from the EMAs.

從技術角度來看，BTC在50天的EMA以下關閉了一周，但仍高於200天EMA。這種定位反映了EMAS的近期和看漲長期價格信號。

To assess the strength of the upcoming rally, traders could watch for BTC to cross above the 50-day EMA, which might indicate a bullish trend. Conversely, a sustained fall below the 200-day EMA could signal a bearish price movement.

為了評估即將舉行的集會的實力，交易者可以注意BTC超過50天的EMA，這可能表明看漲趨勢。相反，持續下降以​​下200天EMA可能表明看跌價格轉移。

If BTC were to experience another price surge, it could encounter resistance at the $105,000 level. A breakout above this level might open the path toward BTC's all-time high of $109,312.

如果BTC要經歷另一種價格上漲，它可能會在105,000美元的水平上遇到阻力。超過此水平的突破可能會為BTC的歷史最高高點$ 109,312打開道路。

On the other hand, if BTC were to encounter selling pressure and slip below the $95,000 support, it could lead to a fall toward the $90,742 support level.

另一方面，如果BTC遇到賣出壓力並滑倒95,000美元的支持，則可能導致跌至90,742美元的支持水平。

With a mid-range RSI reading of 43.05, BTC has some room to fall before reaching oversold territory (RSI below 30), which might indicate an opportunity for price recovery.

隨著RSI的中期讀數為43.05，BTC在到達超賣領土之前有一定的空間（RSI低於30的RSI），這可能表明價格恢復的機會。