比特币价格预测：特朗普获胜后 BTC 目标为 10 万美元，到 2025 年将达到 20 万美元

就在唐纳德·特朗普在美国总统大选中获胜几天后，比特币进入了价格发现阶段，在 Bitstamp 上创下了 76,990 美元的历史新高。

Bitcoin price hit a record high of $76,990 on Bitstamp on Monday, just days after Donald Trump emerged victorious in the United States presidential election.

周一，就在唐纳德·特朗普在美国总统大选中获胜几天后，比特币价格在 Bitstamp 上创下了 76,990 美元的历史新高。

Several analysts predict further BTC highs as market participants anticipate a more crypto-friendly business environment under Trump’s presidency.

一些分析师预测，随着市场参与者预计特朗普总统任期内将出现更加有利于加密货币的商业环境，比特币将进一步上涨。

Bitcoin price on track to $100K after Trump’s win

特朗普获胜后比特币价格有望升至 10 万美元

Bitcoin’s price will likely breach the $100,000 mark following the election win, according to Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget Research.

Bitget Research 首席分析师 Ryan Lee 表示，选举获胜后，比特币的价格可能会突破 10 万美元大关。

Lee said a high open interest (OI) in futures markets along with the increasing market dominance of stablecoins suggests traders are positioning themselves for high volatility in the price of Bitcoin.

Lee表示，期货市场的高持仓量（OI）以及稳定币市场主导地位的增强表明交易者正在为比特币价格的高波动做好准备。

“Traders usually flock to the futures market when they expect a big move in the underlying asset’s price. High OI usually indicates traders are expecting a continuation of the current trend,” Lee told Cointelegraph.

“当交易者预期标的资产价格出现大幅波动时，他们通常会涌向期货市场。高 OI 通常表明交易者预计当前趋势将持续，”Lee 告诉 Cointelegraph。

“Traders can use futures to hedge against potential losses or to amplify their gains. For example, if a trader expects Bitcoin to continue rising rapidly, they might buy BTC spot and simultaneously sell BTC futures at a higher price point.”

“交易者可以利用期货来对冲潜在损失或扩大收益。例如，如果交易者预计比特币将继续快速上涨，他们可能会买入比特币现货，同时以更高的价格卖出比特币期货。”

Similar predictions were made in a Nov. 6 report by digital asset custodian Copper.co, which said Bitcoin’s upward trajectory may continue into the new year with a $100,000 target.

数字资产托管商 Copper.co 在 11 月 6 日的报告中也做出了类似的预测，该报告称，比特币的上涨轨迹可能会持续到新的一年，目标为 10 万美元。

“Bitcoin’s price action over the past few months has been reflecting the anticipation of Trump’s win, and his policies are expected to drive the market higher, at least in the short term,” the report noted.

报告指出：“过去几个月比特币的价格走势反映了对特朗普获胜的预期，预计他的政策将推动市场走高，至少在短期内如此。”

“The anticipation of Trump’s win has been driving the cryptocurrency market up, and the actual win is expected to drive the market even higher, at least for the next few months.”

“对特朗普获胜的预期一直推动加密货币市场上涨，而实际的胜利预计将推动市场进一步走高，至少在未来几个月是这样。”

Related: Bitcoin can go ‘parabolic’ with BTC price weekly close above $71.5K — Analysis

相关：比特币可能呈“抛物线”走势，BTC 价格每周收盘价高于 7.15 万美元——分析

Trump’s win reflects heightened market optimism and anticipation of potential policy shifts favorable to digital assets, said Fadi Aboualfa, head of research at Copper.co, who added:

Copper.co 研究主管法迪·阿布阿尔法 (Fadi Aboualfa) 表示，特朗普的胜利反映了市场乐观情绪的增强以及对有利于数字资产的潜在政策转变的预期，他补充道：

“Many participants are expecting clearer crypto regulations that favor blockchain innovation, especially given the statements made by several key figures in Trump’s administration.”

“许多参与者期待更明确的加密货币法规有利于区块链创新，特别是考虑到特朗普政府几位关键人物的声明。”

Copper.co’s prediction was based on historical spot Bitcoin ETF (exchange-traded fund) accumulation trends and current market data.

Copper.co 的预测是基于历史现货比特币 ETF（交易所交易基金）积累趋势和当前市场数据。

The firm’s analysis suggests that BTC’s price could hit $100,000 by around December 2023.

该公司的分析表明，到 2023 年 12 月左右，BTC 的价格可能会达到 10 万美元。

Spot Bitcoin accumulation based on historical trends seen in 2024. Source: Copper.co

基于 2024 年历史趋势的现货比特币积累。来源：Copper.co

Trump’s second term is viewed as bullish for the cryptocurrency space, where many participants expect clearer crypto regulations that favor blockchain innovation.

特朗普的第二个任期被认为对加密货币领域有利，许多参与者期望有更明确的加密法规有利于区块链创新。

Still, Lee said Trump’s policies may mean inflation in the world’s largest economy will remain above 3.5% in the “medium to long term.”

尽管如此，李表示，特朗普的政策可能意味着全球最大经济体的通胀率将在“中长期”保持在3.5%以上。

“Trump’s policies are likely to continue driving inflation higher in the medium to long term. This is because his policies, such as tax cuts and increased government spending, are designed to stimulate the economy,” Lee said.

“从中长期来看，特朗普的政策可能会继续推高通胀。这是因为他的政策，如减税和增加政府支出，旨在刺激经济，”李说。

“Higher inflation may erode the purchasing power of fiat currencies, which could drive more people toward cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, that are seen as a hedge against inflation.”

“通胀上升可能会削弱法定货币的购买力，这可能会促使更多人转向比特币等加密货币，因为它们被视为对冲通胀的手段。”

BTC price could hit $200K under Trump’s presidency

在特朗普担任总统期间，比特币价格可能会达到 20 万美元

In a Nov. 7 post on Medium, technical analyst Gert van Lagen said BTC’s price surged beyond the key reaccumulation phase of the “descending broadening wedge,” indicating a potential parabolic move toward the $200,000 zone.

技术分析师格特·范拉根 (Gert van Lagen) 在 11 月 7 日在 Medium 上发表的一篇文章中表示，BTC 的价格飙升超过了“下降楔形”的关键重新积累阶段，这表明比特币价格可能会向 20 万美元区域移动。

“After completing the reaccumulation phase, BTC/USD price action is now back in price discovery mode, having broken out of the descending broadening wedge pattern,” Lagen wrote.

拉根写道：“完成重新积累阶段后，比特币/美元的价格走势现已回到价格发现模式，突破了下降楔形形态。”

BTC/USD weekly price chart. Source: Gert van Lagen

比特币/美元每周价格图表。资料来源：格特·范拉根

Lagen’s chart reveals that the reaccumulation phase, a consolidation period following Bitcoin’s price rally earlier this year, seems to be nearing its end as BTC is back in price discovery.

拉根的图表显示，随着比特币重新回到价格发现阶段，重新积累阶段（今年早些时候比特币价格上涨后的盘整期）似乎已接近尾声。

The next projected target is between $90,000 and $100,000, with the ultimate goal of reaching $200,000 by around May 2025.

下一个预计目标是在 90,000 美元到 100,000 美元之间，最终目标是到 2025 年 5 月左右达到 200,000 美元。

Crypto YouTuber Lark Davis was bullish on the next 90 days.

加密货币 YouTuber Lark Davis 对未来 90 天持乐观态度。

“We’re most likely going to see a $100,000 Bitcoin in the next 3 months,” Davis said in response to BTC’s new all-time highs near $77,000.

戴维斯在回应 BTC 接近 77,000 美元的历史新高时表示：“我们很可能会在未来 3 个月内看到比特币价格达到 100,000 美元。”

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move carries risk, and readers should do their own research when making a decision.

本文不包含投资建议或建议。每一项投资和交易行为都存在风险，读者在做出决定时应自行研究。