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狗狗币(DOGE 5.03%)似乎凭空而来,在 2024 年表现出色。今年它的涨幅为 120%,目前排名第八大加密货币,市值近 300 亿美元。
Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) has had an incredible run in 2024, up 120% for the year and now the eighth-largest cryptocurrency with a market cap of nearly $30 billion. Given that Dogecoin is outperforming Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) for the year, it's no surprise that it is beginning to attract attention from crypto investors. But before you decide to invest in Dogecoin, there are three key things you need to know.
狗狗币(加密货币代码:DOGE)在 2024 年取得了令人难以置信的增长,全年上涨 120%,目前是第八大加密货币,市值近 300 亿美元。鉴于狗狗币今年的表现优于比特币(加密货币:BTC),因此它开始吸引加密货币投资者的关注也就不足为奇了。但在您决定投资狗狗币之前,您需要了解三件关键事项。
1. The price of Dogecoin is based on hype and speculation.
1. 狗狗币的价格基于炒作和投机。
Dogecoin is, first and foremost, a meme coin. That means that its price performance is based on nothing more than hype, buzz, and speculation. As a result, Dogecoin is capable of skyrocketing in price if there's enough hype and buzz. But, at any moment, the hype bubble could collapse, and the price of Dogecoin could fall to zero.
狗狗币首先是一种模因币。这意味着它的价格表现只不过是基于炒作、传言和投机。因此,如果有足够的炒作和嗡嗡声,狗狗币的价格可能会飙升。但是,炒作泡沫随时可能崩溃,狗狗币的价格可能跌至零。
Just consider what happened in 2021. In early January, Dogecoin was trading for just $0.01. After a huge hype cycle, Dogecoin exploded in value before hitting $0.74 in May. By July, though, the hype cycle was over, and Dogecoin collapsed to just $0.20. If you are viewing a trading chart for Dogecoin for that time period, it's a vertical line straight up, followed almost immediately by a vertical line straight down.
想想 2021 年发生的事情吧。1 月初,狗狗币的交易价格仅为 0.01 美元。经过一轮巨大的炒作周期后,狗狗币的价值出现爆炸式增长,并于 5 月份触及 0.74 美元。然而,到 7 月,炒作周期结束,狗狗币跌至 0.20 美元。如果您正在查看该时间段的狗狗币交易图表,它是一条垂直向上的垂直线,紧接着是一条垂直向下的垂直线。
So, if you're dreaming of getting rich quickly and becoming a Dogecoin millionaire, you need to adjust your expectations. In more than a decade, Dogecoin has never once hit the $1 mark. That brief period in May 2021, when Dogecoin hit a price of $0.74, was the only time it ever came close.
因此,如果您梦想快速致富并成为狗狗币百万富翁,您需要调整您的期望。十多年来,狗狗币从未突破过 1 美元大关。 2021 年 5 月,狗狗币价格触及 0.74 美元的短暂时期,是唯一一次接近该价格的时间。
2. Dogecoin is no longer the only dog-themed meme coin.
2.狗狗币不再是唯一以狗为主题的模因币。
When Dogecoin launched in 2013, it stood alone as the only meme coin. However, since then, there have been many Dogecoin copycats, rivals, and spinoffs. The most obvious rival is Shiba Inu (CRYPTO: SHIB), which has a market cap of about $11 billion. If you use a site like CoinMarketCap, you can easily find a large number of other Dogecoin alternatives, all of them using nearly the same dog mascot.
当狗狗币于 2013 年推出时,它是唯一的模因币。然而,从那时起,出现了许多狗狗币的模仿者、竞争对手和衍生产品。最明显的竞争对手是柴犬(加密货币:SHIB),其市值约为 110 亿美元。如果您使用像 CoinMarketCap 这样的网站,您可以轻松找到大量其他狗狗币替代品,它们都使用几乎相同的狗吉祥物。
Taking a bigger-picture view, the meme coin universe is expanding at a very rapid rate, and Dogecoin is hardly unique anymore. There are literally thousands of new meme coins being created daily. So, it's much harder for Dogecoin to be the top dog.
从更宏观的角度来看,迷因币宇宙正在以非常快的速度扩张,狗狗币不再是独一无二的。每天都有数千个新的模因币被创造出来。因此,狗狗币想要成为领头羊要困难得多。
In terms of overall performance, Dogecoin doesn't even come close to some of the hottest meme coins. For example, the dog-themed meme coin Dogwifhat (CRYPTO: WIF) is up a stunning 1,300% for the year. And you can now find cat-themed meme coins that are up even more. Even if you're OK with the idea of investing in speculative meme coins, you'd still be leaving money on the table by investing in Dogecoin rather than one of these other meme coins.
就整体性能而言,狗狗币甚至无法与一些最热门的模因币相媲美。例如,以狗为主题的模因币 Dogwifhat (CRYPTO: WIF) 今年上涨了惊人的 1,300%。现在,您可以找到以猫为主题的模因硬币,其涨幅甚至更大。即使您同意投资投机性模因币的想法,您仍然可以通过投资狗狗币而不是其他模因币之一来赚钱。
3. Dogecoin's future is highly leveraged to Elon Musk.
3. 狗狗币的未来对埃隆·马斯克来说是高度杠杆化的。
The one key factor in Dogecoin's favor is the unique relationship that it enjoys with tech billionaire Elon Musk. Ever since 2021, when Elon Musk became known as the "Dogefather," he has been one of the biggest supporters of Dogecoin. Typically, this support occurs via social media, where a simple tweet from him can send the coin higher.
狗狗币受到青睐的一个关键因素是它与科技亿万富翁埃隆·马斯克之间的独特关系。自 2021 年埃隆·马斯克被称为“狗狗之父”以来,他一直是狗狗币的最大支持者之一。通常,这种支持是通过社交媒体发生的,他的一条简单的推文就可以使代币走高。
And this could be the reason Dogecoin is seeing a resurgence this year. Starting in January, when buzz started to grow about a potential Dogecoin integration with X (formerly known as Twitter), Musk has been sending stronger and stronger signals that he is fully behind Dogecoin.
这可能就是狗狗币今年复苏的原因。从一月份开始,当有关狗狗币与 X(以前称为 Twitter)整合的传闻开始升温时,马斯克一直在发出越来越强烈的信号,表明他完全支持狗狗币。
Musk's latest move was to propose a new public sector entity -- the Department of Government Efficiency -- that would be known simply as D.O.G.E. So the speculation now is that Dogecoin could continue to soar, given that Musk is slated to play a role in running D.O.G.E.
马斯克的最新举措是提议成立一个新的公共部门实体——政府效率部——简称为 DOGE。因此,鉴于马斯克将在运行中发挥作用,现在的猜测是狗狗币可能会继续飙升。狗狗
And that gets us back to the idea that the price performance of Dogecoin is based on nothing more than hype, buzz, and speculation. Dogecoin might do this, and it might do that. But will it? Are you comfortable with the idea of Dogecoin's price zig-zagging on a daily basis based on some new tweet from Musk?
这让我们回到了这样一个观点:狗狗币的价格表现只不过是基于炒作、嗡嗡声和投机。狗狗币可能会这样做,也可能会这样做。但会吗?您对狗狗币的价格根据马斯克的一些新推文每天波动的想法感到满意吗?
Should you invest in Dogecoin?
你应该投资狗狗币吗?
Meme coins are meant to be fun and entertaining, so if you do decide to invest in Dogecoin, treat it as an entertainment expense rather than an investment. While I can see the appeal of meme coins for crypto investors, they have no place in a long-term investment portfolio.
模因币意味着有趣和娱乐,所以如果您决定投资狗狗币,请将其视为娱乐支出而不是投资。虽然我可以看到模因币对加密货币投资者的吸引力,但它们在长期投资组合中没有一席之地。
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