比特幣價格預測：川普勝選後 BTC 目標為 10 萬美元，到 2025 年將達到 20 萬美元

就在唐納德·川普在美國總統大選中獲勝幾天后，比特幣進入了價格發現階段，在 Bitstamp 上創下了 76,990 美元的歷史新高。

Bitcoin price hit a record high of $76,990 on Bitstamp on Monday, just days after Donald Trump emerged victorious in the United States presidential election.

週一，就在唐納德·川普在美國總統大選中獲勝幾天后，比特幣價格在 Bitstamp 上創下了 76,990 美元的歷史新高。

Several analysts predict further BTC highs as market participants anticipate a more crypto-friendly business environment under Trump’s presidency.

一些分析師預測，隨著市場參與者預期川普總統任期內將出現更有利於加密貨幣的商業環境，比特幣將進一步上漲。

Bitcoin price on track to $100K after Trump’s win

川普勝選後比特幣價格預計將升至 10 萬美元

Bitcoin’s price will likely breach the $100,000 mark following the election win, according to Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget Research.

Bitget Research 首席分析師 Ryan Lee 表示，選舉獲勝後，比特幣的價格可能會突破 10 萬美元大關。

Lee said a high open interest (OI) in futures markets along with the increasing market dominance of stablecoins suggests traders are positioning themselves for high volatility in the price of Bitcoin.

Lee表示，期貨市場的高持倉量（OI）以及穩定幣市場主導地位的增強表明交易者正在為比特幣價格的高波動做好準備。

“Traders usually flock to the futures market when they expect a big move in the underlying asset’s price. High OI usually indicates traders are expecting a continuation of the current trend,” Lee told Cointelegraph.

「當交易者預期標的資產價格出現大幅波動時，他們通常會湧向期貨市場。高 OI 通常表示交易者預計當前趨勢將持續，」Lee 告訴 Cointelegraph。

“Traders can use futures to hedge against potential losses or to amplify their gains. For example, if a trader expects Bitcoin to continue rising rapidly, they might buy BTC spot and simultaneously sell BTC futures at a higher price point.”

「交易者可以利用期貨來對沖潛在損失或擴大收益。例如，如果交易者預計比特幣將繼續快速上漲，他們可能會買入比特幣現貨，同時以更高的價格賣出比特幣期貨。

Similar predictions were made in a Nov. 6 report by digital asset custodian Copper.co, which said Bitcoin’s upward trajectory may continue into the new year with a $100,000 target.

數位資產託管商 Copper.co 在 11 月 6 日的報告中也做出了類似的預測，該報告稱，比特幣的上漲軌跡可能會持續到新的一年，目標為 10 萬美元。

“Bitcoin’s price action over the past few months has been reflecting the anticipation of Trump’s win, and his policies are expected to drive the market higher, at least in the short term,” the report noted.

報告指出：“過去幾個月比特幣的價格走勢反映了對川普獲勝的預期，預計他的政策將推動市場走高，至少在短期內如此。”

“The anticipation of Trump’s win has been driving the cryptocurrency market up, and the actual win is expected to drive the market even higher, at least for the next few months.”

“對川普獲勝的預期一直推動加密貨幣市場上漲，而實際的勝利預計將推動市場進一步走高，至少在未來幾個月是這樣。”

Related: Bitcoin can go ‘parabolic’ with BTC price weekly close above $71.5K — Analysis

相關：比特幣可能呈現「拋物線」走勢，BTC 價格每週收盤價高於 7.15 萬美元——分析

Trump’s win reflects heightened market optimism and anticipation of potential policy shifts favorable to digital assets, said Fadi Aboualfa, head of research at Copper.co, who added:

Copper.co 研究主管法迪·阿布阿爾法 (Fadi Aboualfa) 表示，川普的勝利反映了市場樂觀情緒的增強以及對有利於數位資產的潛在政策轉變的預期，他補充道：

“Many participants are expecting clearer crypto regulations that favor blockchain innovation, especially given the statements made by several key figures in Trump’s administration.”

“許多參與者期待更明確的加密貨幣法規有利於區塊鏈創新，特別是考慮到川普政府幾位關鍵人物的聲明。”

Copper.co’s prediction was based on historical spot Bitcoin ETF (exchange-traded fund) accumulation trends and current market data.

Copper.co 的預測是基於歷史現貨比特幣 ETF（交易所交易基金）累積趨勢和當前市場數據。

The firm’s analysis suggests that BTC’s price could hit $100,000 by around December 2023.

該公司的分析表明，到 2023 年 12 月左右，BTC 的價格可能會達到 10 萬美元。

Spot Bitcoin accumulation based on historical trends seen in 2024. Source: Copper.co

基於 2024 年歷史趨勢的現貨比特幣累積。

Trump’s second term is viewed as bullish for the cryptocurrency space, where many participants expect clearer crypto regulations that favor blockchain innovation.

川普的第二個任期被認為對加密貨幣領域有利，許多參與者期望有更明確的加密法規有利於區塊鏈創新。

Still, Lee said Trump’s policies may mean inflation in the world’s largest economy will remain above 3.5% in the “medium to long term.”

儘管如此，李表示，川普的政策可能意味著全球最大經濟體的通膨率將在「中長期」維持在3.5%以上。

“Trump’s policies are likely to continue driving inflation higher in the medium to long term. This is because his policies, such as tax cuts and increased government spending, are designed to stimulate the economy,” Lee said.

「從中長期來看，川普的政策可能會繼續推高通膨。這是因為他的政策，如減稅和增加政府支出，旨在刺激經濟，」李說。

“Higher inflation may erode the purchasing power of fiat currencies, which could drive more people toward cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, that are seen as a hedge against inflation.”

“通膨上升可能會削弱法定貨幣的購買力，這可能會促使更多人轉向比特幣等加密貨幣，因為這些貨幣被視為對沖通膨的手段。”

BTC price could hit $200K under Trump’s presidency

在川普擔任總統期間，比特幣價格可能會達到 20 萬美元

In a Nov. 7 post on Medium, technical analyst Gert van Lagen said BTC’s price surged beyond the key reaccumulation phase of the “descending broadening wedge,” indicating a potential parabolic move toward the $200,000 zone.

技術分析師 Gert van Lagen 在11 月7 日在Medium 上發表的一篇文章中表示，BTC 的價格飆升超過了「下降楔形」的關鍵重新積累階段，這表明比特幣價格可能會向20 萬美元區域移動。

“After completing the reaccumulation phase, BTC/USD price action is now back in price discovery mode, having broken out of the descending broadening wedge pattern,” Lagen wrote.

拉根寫道：“完成重新累積階段後，比特幣/美元的價格走勢現已回到價格發現模式，突破了下降楔形形態。”

BTC/USD weekly price chart. Source: Gert van Lagen

比特幣/美元每週價格圖表。資料來源：格特·範拉根

Lagen’s chart reveals that the reaccumulation phase, a consolidation period following Bitcoin’s price rally earlier this year, seems to be nearing its end as BTC is back in price discovery.

拉根的圖表顯示，隨著比特幣重新回到價格發現階段，重新累積階段（今年稍早比特幣價格上漲後的盤整期）似乎已接近尾聲。

The next projected target is between $90,000 and $100,000, with the ultimate goal of reaching $200,000 by around May 2025.

下一個預計目標是在 9 萬美元到 10 萬美元之間，最終目標是到 2025 年 5 月左右達到 20 萬美元。

Crypto YouTuber Lark Davis was bullish on the next 90 days.

加密貨幣 YouTuber Lark Davis 對未來 90 天持樂觀態度。

“We’re most likely going to see a $100,000 Bitcoin in the next 3 months,” Davis said in response to BTC’s new all-time highs near $77,000.

戴維斯在回應 BTC 接近 77,000 美元的歷史新高時表示：“我們很可能會在未來 3 個月內看到比特幣價格達到 100,000 美元。”

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move carries risk, and readers should do their own research when making a decision.

本文不包含投資建議或建議。每一項投資和交易行為都存在風險，讀者在做決定時應自行研究。