比特币在市场波动中以大幅折扣吸引投资者

标准普尔 500 指数上周下跌 3.05%，而比特币则保持相对稳定，仅下跌 1.1%。 Capriole Investments 创始人 Charles Edwards 强调，比特币当前价格低于其电力成本，这表明存在潜在的购买机会。分析师预测比特币未来一周将出现波动，关键支撑位和阻力位值得关注。以太坊、BNB 和狗狗币等山寨币显示出卷土重来的迹象，而 Solana、XRP、Toncoin 和 Cardano 在关键移动平均线面临阻力。

Bitcoin's Allure Amid Market Volatility: A Deep Discount Beckons Investors

市场波动中比特币的魅力：大幅折扣吸引投资者

As the stock market stumbles, with the S&P 500 Index (SPX) plummeting 3.05% last week, Bitcoin (BTC) has emerged as a beacon of stability, declining a mere 1.1% over the same period. This disparity underscores Bitcoin's enduring appeal as an alternative investment, particularly in times of economic uncertainty.

随着股市下跌，标准普尔 500 指数 (SPX) 上周暴跌 3.05%，而比特币 (BTC) 成为稳定的灯塔，同期仅下跌 1.1%。这种差异凸显了比特币作为另类投资的持久吸引力，特别是在经济不确定时期。

Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards' insightful analysis reveals that Bitcoin's raw electricity cost per mined block currently stands at $77,400. Notably, Bitcoin's price has remained below this "electrical cost" for only a handful of days every four years, suggesting that it is currently trading at a significant discount.

Capriole Investments 创始人 Charles Edwards 的富有洞察力的分析表明，比特币每个开采区块的原始电力成本目前为 77,400 美元。值得注意的是，比特币的价格每四年只有少数几天保持在这一“电力成本”以下，这表明它目前的交易价格有很大的折扣。

The cryptocurrency market faces an imminent period of volatility as buyers and sellers grapple for control. Bitcoin's potential to maintain its current range may entice investors to diversify their portfolios with select altcoins that have the potential for upward momentum.

随着买家和卖家争夺控制权，加密货币市场即将面临波动期。比特币维持当前区间的潜力可能会吸引投资者选择具有上涨动力的山寨币来实现投资组合多元化。

Technical Analysis of Key Cryptocurrencies

关键加密货币的技术分析

S&P 500 Index

标准普尔 500 指数

The S&P 500 Index has experienced a correction in recent days, signaling that investors are eager to exit. Technical indicators, including the bearish crossover of moving averages and the approaching oversold zone on the relative strength index (RSI), suggest that the bears are in command. A minor support level at 4,920 may trigger a rebound, but a decline to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of 4,821 remains possible if the 20-day exponential moving average (5,104) is breached.

标普500指数近几日经历回调，表明投资者急于退出。技术指标，包括移动平均线的看跌交叉和相对强度指数（RSI）逼近超卖区域，表明空头占据主导地位。 4,920 点的小支撑位可能会引发反弹，但如果突破 20 日指数移动平均线（5,104 点），仍有可能跌至 38.2% 斐波那契回撤位 4,821 点。

U.S. Dollar Index

美元指数

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has surged above the 105 resistance level, completing an ascending triangle pattern. Bulls have maintained their buying momentum, pushing the index towards 108. Resistance is anticipated at this level. A sharp pullback from 108 would indicate strong defensive efforts from the bears, potentially leading to a drop to 105. A break below 105 would suggest a potential bull trap, allowing the index to retreat to the uptrend line.

美元指数(DXY)已飙升至105阻力位上方，完成上升三角形形态。多头保持了买入势头，推动该指数升至 108。预计该水平会遇到阻力。如果从 108 点大幅回调，则表明空头将采取强有力的防御措施，可能会导致指数跌至 105 点。如果跌破 105 点，则表明存在潜在的牛市陷阱，从而使该指数回撤至上升趋势线。

Bitcoin

比特币

The bulls are attempting to regain control of Bitcoin, but face resistance at the 20-day EMA ($65,858). The flattening 20-day EMA and the RSI near the midpoint suggest diminishing selling pressure. A rise above the 50-day simple moving average ($67,511) would bolster the bulls' momentum, potentially leading to a rally towards $73,777. Conversely, a decline below the $60,775 support would signal a deeper correction towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $54,298.

多头正试图重新控制比特币，但在 20 日均线（65,858 美元）处面临阻力。 20 日均线趋平和 RSI 接近中点表明抛售压力正在减弱。升破 50 日简单移动平均线（67,511 美元）将增强多头势头，可能导致反弹至 73,777 美元。相反，跌破 60,775 美元支撑位将预示着将进一步回调至 61.8% 斐波那契回撤位 54,298 美元。

Ether

醚

Ether (ETH) has climbed to the 20-day EMA ($3,234), indicating a recovery attempt by the bulls. The flattening 20-day EMA and the RSI just below the midpoint reflect a balanced market sentiment. A reversal from the 20-day EMA could lead to a dip to $3,056, with $2,850 acting as a critical support level. A breakout above the 20-day EMA would strengthen the bulls, potentially pushing the pair towards the 50-day SMA ($3,481) and subsequently to $3,679.

以太币 (ETH) 已攀升至 20 日均线（3,234 美元），表明多头试图复苏。趋平的 20 日均线和略低于中点的 RSI 反映了平衡的市场情绪。 20 日均线的逆转可能导致价格跌至 3,056 美元，其中 2,850 美元是关键支撑位。突破 20 日均线将增强多头力量，可能推动该货币对升至 50 日移动平均线（3,481 美元），随后升至 3,679 美元。

BNB

币安银行

BNB (BNB) has surpassed the 20-day EMA ($568), opening up the possibility of a rally towards the overhead resistance at $635. A bullish battle is anticipated near this level. Success for the bulls could trigger an uptrend towards $692 and ultimately the pattern target of $775. Alternatively, a sharp reversal from the overhead resistance would signal bearish resistance, potentially confining the pair within the range between $495 and $635 for an extended period.

BNB (BNB) 已突破 20 日均线（568 美元），开启了反弹至 635 美元上方阻力位的可能性。预计在该水平附近将出现看涨战斗。多头的成功可能会引发价格上涨至 692 美元，并最终达到 775 美元的目标位。或者，上方阻力位的急剧反转将预示着看跌阻力位，可能会在较长时间内将该货币对限制在 495 美元至 635 美元之间的范围内。

Solana

索拉纳

Solana (SOL) has reached the 20-day EMA ($156), where significant resistance from the bears is anticipated. A decline from the moving averages would indicate continued negative sentiment and selling on rallies, potentially leading to a fall towards the strong support at $126. A breach below this level could trigger a further decline to $100. However, a sustained rise above the moving averages would suggest a bullish resurgence, potentially driving the pair towards the overhead resistance of $205.

Solana (SOL) 已触及 20 日均线（156 美元），预计空头将在此阻力位。移动平均线的下跌将表明持续的负面情绪和逢高抛售，可能导致跌向 126 美元的强劲支撑位。跌破该水平可能会引发进一步跌至 100 美元。然而，持续上涨至移动平均线上方将表明看涨复苏，可能推动该货币对升至 205 美元的上方阻力位。

XRP

瑞波币

XRP's (XRP) recovery has reached the 20-day EMA ($0.54), reflecting strong buying support at lower levels. The bears are expected to mount resistance at the 20-day EMA. A sharp decline from the current level could see the bears attempt to pull the price towards the $0.46 to $0.41 support zone. Conversely, a rise above the 20-day EMA would indicate the potential for continued trading within the broad range between $0.46 and $0.74 for the foreseeable future.

XRP (XRP) 的反弹已达到 20 日均线（0.54 美元），反映出较低水平的强劲买盘支撑。预计空头将在 20 日均线处遭遇阻力。如果价格从当前水平大幅下跌，空头可能会试图将价格拉向 0.46 美元至 0.41 美元的支撑区域。相反，如果升破 20 日均线，则表明在可预见的未来，有可能继续在 0.46 美元至 0.74 美元的宽阔区间内交易。

Toncoin

东币

Toncoin (TON) has traded near the support line of the ascending channel pattern in recent days. The bulls' inability to initiate a strong rebound from the 20-day EMA ($6) suggests a lack of aggressive buying. This increases the risk of a break below the channel. Such a breach could trigger a sell-off, potentially pushing the pair towards the 50-day SMA ($4.90). Time is running out for the bulls to prevent a decline. To negate this possibility, they must swiftly push the price above $6.50, opening the path for a potential rally towards $7.23 and the resistance line.

最近几天，Toncoin (TON) 交易在上升通道模式的支撑线附近。多头无法从 20 日均线（6 美元）强劲反弹，表明缺乏积极的买盘。这增加了跌破通道的风险。这种突破可能会引发抛售，可能推动该货币对升至 50 日移动平均线（4.90 美元）。多头阻止下跌的时间已经不多了。为了消除这种可能性，他们必须迅速将价格推高至 6.50 美元以上，为潜在反弹至 7.23 美元和阻力线打开道路。

Dogecoin

狗狗币

Dogecoin (DOGE) has encountered resistance at the 20-day EMA ($0.16), but the bulls have maintained their ground. The pair is likely to rise above the moving averages and reach the downtrend line. This is a pivotal level for the bears to defend, as a break above it would signal a potential end to the downward trend. The pair could then embark on a rally towards $0.21 and subsequently to $0.23. Alternatively, a sharp decline from the moving averages or the downtrend line would suggest continued bearish control, potentially leading to a drop towards $0.14 and $0.12.

狗狗币 (DOGE) 在 20 日均线（0.16 美元）处遇到阻力，但多头仍坚守阵地。该货币对可能会升至移动平均线之上并触及下降趋势线。这是空头要捍卫的关键水平，因为突破该水平将标志着下跌趋势可能结束。随后该货币对可能会上涨至 0.21 美元，随后升至 0.23 美元。或者，从移动平均线或下降趋势线大幅下跌将表明继续看跌控制，可能导致跌向 0.14 美元和 0.12 美元。

Cardano

卡尔达诺

Cardano (ADA) has reached the 20-day EMA ($0.52), a critical level to monitor. The bears are likely to defend this level fiercely. A decline from the 20-day EMA could result in a drop to $0.46. A strong bounce from the $0.46 level would indicate a potential end to the corrective phase, improving the prospects of a break above the 20-day EMA. The pair could then climb to $0.57 and later to $0.63. Conversely, a sharp decline below $0.46 would indicate continued bearish control, potentially leading to a slump towards the crucial support at $0.40.

卡尔达诺 (ADA) 已达到 20 日均线（0.52 美元），这是一个需要监控的关键水平。空头可能会激烈捍卫这一水平。 20 日均线下跌可能导致跌至 0.46 美元。从 0.46 美元水平强劲反弹将表明修正阶段可能结束，从而改善突破 20 日均线的前景。随后该货币对可能攀升至 0.57 美元，随后升至 0.63 美元。相反，如果大幅跌破 0.46 美元，则表明看跌控制仍在继续，可能导致跌向 0.40 美元的关键支撑位。

Disclaimer: This article does not provide investment advice or recommendations. All investment and trading decisions involve risk, and investors should conduct their own independent research before making any decisions.

免责声明：本文不提供投资建议或推荐。所有投资和交易决策均涉及风险，投资者在做出任何决定之前应进行独立研究。