比特幣在市場波動中以大幅折扣吸引投資者

標普 500 指數上週下跌 3.05%，而比特幣則保持相對穩定，僅下跌 1.1%。 Capriole Investments 創辦人 Charles Edwards 強調，比特幣當前價格低於其電力成本，這表明存在潛在的購買機會。分析師預測比特幣未來一週將出現波動，關鍵支撐位和阻力位值得關注。以太坊、BNB 和狗狗幣等山寨幣顯示出捲土重來的跡象，而 Solana、XRP、Toncoin 和 Cardano 在關鍵移動平均線面臨阻力。

Bitcoin's Allure Amid Market Volatility: A Deep Discount Beckons Investors

市場波動中比特幣的魅力：大幅折扣吸引投資者

As the stock market stumbles, with the S&P 500 Index (SPX) plummeting 3.05% last week, Bitcoin (BTC) has emerged as a beacon of stability, declining a mere 1.1% over the same period. This disparity underscores Bitcoin's enduring appeal as an alternative investment, particularly in times of economic uncertainty.

隨著股市下跌，標普 500 指數 (SPX) 上週暴跌 3.05%，而比特幣 (BTC) 成為穩定的燈塔，同期僅下跌 1.1%。這種差異凸顯了比特幣作為另類投資的持久吸引力，特別是在經濟不確定時期。

Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards' insightful analysis reveals that Bitcoin's raw electricity cost per mined block currently stands at $77,400. Notably, Bitcoin's price has remained below this "electrical cost" for only a handful of days every four years, suggesting that it is currently trading at a significant discount.

Capriole Investments 創始人 Charles Edwards 的富有洞察力的分析表明，比特幣每個開採區塊的原始電力成本目前為 77,400 美元。值得注意的是，比特幣的價格每四年只有少數幾天保持在這一「電力成本」以下，這表明它目前的交易價格有很大的折扣。

The cryptocurrency market faces an imminent period of volatility as buyers and sellers grapple for control. Bitcoin's potential to maintain its current range may entice investors to diversify their portfolios with select altcoins that have the potential for upward momentum.

隨著買家和賣家爭奪控制權，加密貨幣市場即將面臨波動期。比特幣維持當前區間的潛力可能會吸引投資者選擇具有上漲動力的山寨幣來實現投資組合多元化。

Technical Analysis of Key Cryptocurrencies

關鍵加密貨幣的技術分析

S&P 500 Index

標普 500 指數

The S&P 500 Index has experienced a correction in recent days, signaling that investors are eager to exit. Technical indicators, including the bearish crossover of moving averages and the approaching oversold zone on the relative strength index (RSI), suggest that the bears are in command. A minor support level at 4,920 may trigger a rebound, but a decline to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of 4,821 remains possible if the 20-day exponential moving average (5,104) is breached.

標普500指數近幾日經歷回調，顯示投資人急於退出。技術指標，包括移動平均線的看跌交叉和相對強度指數（RSI）逼近超賣區域，顯示空頭佔據主導地位。 4,920 點的小支撐位可能會引發反彈，但如果突破 20 日指數移動平均線（5,104 點），仍有可能跌至 38.2% 斐波那契回撤位 4,821 點。

U.S. Dollar Index

美元指數

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has surged above the 105 resistance level, completing an ascending triangle pattern. Bulls have maintained their buying momentum, pushing the index towards 108. Resistance is anticipated at this level. A sharp pullback from 108 would indicate strong defensive efforts from the bears, potentially leading to a drop to 105. A break below 105 would suggest a potential bull trap, allowing the index to retreat to the uptrend line.

美元指數(DXY)已飆升至105阻力位上方，完成上升三角形形態。多頭保持了買入勢頭，推動該指數升至 108。如果從108 點大幅回調，則表示空頭將採取強有力的防禦措施，可能會導致指數跌至105 點。線。

Bitcoin

比特幣

The bulls are attempting to regain control of Bitcoin, but face resistance at the 20-day EMA ($65,858). The flattening 20-day EMA and the RSI near the midpoint suggest diminishing selling pressure. A rise above the 50-day simple moving average ($67,511) would bolster the bulls' momentum, potentially leading to a rally towards $73,777. Conversely, a decline below the $60,775 support would signal a deeper correction towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $54,298.

多頭正試圖重新控制比特幣，但在 20 日均線（65,858 美元）面臨阻力。 20 日均線趨平和 RSI 接近中點表示拋售壓力正在減弱。升破 50 日簡單移動平均線（67,511 美元）將增強多頭勢頭，可能導致反彈至 73,777 美元。相反，跌破 60,775 美元支撐位將預示著將進一步回調至 61.8% 斐波那契回檔位 54,298 美元。

Ether

醚

Ether (ETH) has climbed to the 20-day EMA ($3,234), indicating a recovery attempt by the bulls. The flattening 20-day EMA and the RSI just below the midpoint reflect a balanced market sentiment. A reversal from the 20-day EMA could lead to a dip to $3,056, with $2,850 acting as a critical support level. A breakout above the 20-day EMA would strengthen the bulls, potentially pushing the pair towards the 50-day SMA ($3,481) and subsequently to $3,679.

以太幣 (ETH) 已攀升至 20 日均線（3,234 美元），顯示多頭試圖復甦。趨平的 20 日均線和略低於中點的 RSI 反映了平衡的市場情緒。 20 日均線的逆轉可能導致價格跌至 3,056 美元，其中 2,850 美元是關鍵支撐位。突破 20 日均線將增強多頭力量，可能推動該貨幣對升至 50 日移動平均線（3,481 美元），隨後升至 3,679 美元。

BNB

幣安銀行

BNB (BNB) has surpassed the 20-day EMA ($568), opening up the possibility of a rally towards the overhead resistance at $635. A bullish battle is anticipated near this level. Success for the bulls could trigger an uptrend towards $692 and ultimately the pattern target of $775. Alternatively, a sharp reversal from the overhead resistance would signal bearish resistance, potentially confining the pair within the range between $495 and $635 for an extended period.

BNB (BNB) 已突破 20 日均線（568 美元），開啟了反彈至 635 美元上方阻力位的可能性。預計在該水平附近將出現看漲戰鬥。多頭的成功可能會引發價格上漲至 692 美元，並最終達到 775 美元的目標位。或者，上方阻力位的急劇反轉將預示著看跌阻力位，可能會在較長時間內將該貨幣對限制在 495 美元至 635 美元之間的範圍內。

Solana

索拉納

Solana (SOL) has reached the 20-day EMA ($156), where significant resistance from the bears is anticipated. A decline from the moving averages would indicate continued negative sentiment and selling on rallies, potentially leading to a fall towards the strong support at $126. A breach below this level could trigger a further decline to $100. However, a sustained rise above the moving averages would suggest a bullish resurgence, potentially driving the pair towards the overhead resistance of $205.

Solana (SOL) 已觸及 20 日均線（156 美元），預計空頭將在此阻力位。移動平均線的下跌將表明持續的負面情緒和逢高拋售，可能導致跌向 126 美元的強勁支撐位。跌破該水準可能會引發進一步跌至 100 美元。然而，持續上漲至移動平均線上方將顯示看漲復甦，可能推動該貨幣對升至 205 美元的上方阻力位。

XRP

瑞波幣

XRP's (XRP) recovery has reached the 20-day EMA ($0.54), reflecting strong buying support at lower levels. The bears are expected to mount resistance at the 20-day EMA. A sharp decline from the current level could see the bears attempt to pull the price towards the $0.46 to $0.41 support zone. Conversely, a rise above the 20-day EMA would indicate the potential for continued trading within the broad range between $0.46 and $0.74 for the foreseeable future.

XRP (XRP) 的反彈已達到 20 日均線（0.54 美元），反映出較低水準的強勁買盤支撐。預計空頭將在 20 日均線處遭遇阻力。如果價格從當前水準大幅下跌，空頭可能會試圖將價格拉向 0.46 美元至 0.41 美元的支撐區域。相反，如果升破 20 日均線，則表示在可預見的未來，有可能繼續在 0.46 美元至 0.74 美元的寬闊區間內交易。

Toncoin

東幣

Toncoin (TON) has traded near the support line of the ascending channel pattern in recent days. The bulls' inability to initiate a strong rebound from the 20-day EMA ($6) suggests a lack of aggressive buying. This increases the risk of a break below the channel. Such a breach could trigger a sell-off, potentially pushing the pair towards the 50-day SMA ($4.90). Time is running out for the bulls to prevent a decline. To negate this possibility, they must swiftly push the price above $6.50, opening the path for a potential rally towards $7.23 and the resistance line.

最近幾天，Toncoin (TON) 交易在上升通道模式的支撐線附近。多頭無法從 20 日均線（6 美元）強勁反彈，表明缺乏積極的買盤。這增加了跌破通道的風險。這種突破可能會引發拋售，可能推動該貨幣對升至 50 日移動平均線（4.90 美元）。多頭阻止下跌的時間已經不多了。為了消除這種可能性，他們必須迅速將價格推高至 6.50 美元以上，為潛在反彈至 7.23 美元和阻力線打開道路。

Dogecoin

狗狗幣

Dogecoin (DOGE) has encountered resistance at the 20-day EMA ($0.16), but the bulls have maintained their ground. The pair is likely to rise above the moving averages and reach the downtrend line. This is a pivotal level for the bears to defend, as a break above it would signal a potential end to the downward trend. The pair could then embark on a rally towards $0.21 and subsequently to $0.23. Alternatively, a sharp decline from the moving averages or the downtrend line would suggest continued bearish control, potentially leading to a drop towards $0.14 and $0.12.

狗狗幣 (DOGE) 在 20 日均線（0.16 美元）處遇到阻力，但多頭仍堅守陣地。該貨幣對可能會升至移動平均線之上並觸及下降趨勢線。這是空頭要捍衛的關鍵水平，因為突破該水平將標誌著下跌趨勢可能結束。隨後該貨幣對可能會上漲至 0.21 美元，隨後升至 0.23 美元。或者，從移動平均線或下降趨勢線大幅下跌將表明繼續看跌控制，可能導致跌向 0.14 美元和 0.12 美元。

Cardano

卡爾達諾

Cardano (ADA) has reached the 20-day EMA ($0.52), a critical level to monitor. The bears are likely to defend this level fiercely. A decline from the 20-day EMA could result in a drop to $0.46. A strong bounce from the $0.46 level would indicate a potential end to the corrective phase, improving the prospects of a break above the 20-day EMA. The pair could then climb to $0.57 and later to $0.63. Conversely, a sharp decline below $0.46 would indicate continued bearish control, potentially leading to a slump towards the crucial support at $0.40.

卡爾達諾 (ADA) 已達到 20 日均線（0.52 美元），這是一個需要監控的關鍵水平。空頭可能會激烈捍衛這一水平。 20 日均線下跌可能導致跌至 0.46 美元。從 0.46 美元水平強勁反彈將表明修正階段可能結束，從而改善突破 20 日均線的前景。隨後該貨幣對可能攀升至 0.57 美元，隨後升至 0.63 美元。相反，如果大幅跌破 0.46 美元，則表示看跌控制仍在繼續，可能導致跌向 0.40 美元的關鍵支撐位。

Disclaimer: This article does not provide investment advice or recommendations. All investment and trading decisions involve risk, and investors should conduct their own independent research before making any decisions.

免責聲明：本文不提供投資建議或推薦。所有投資和交易決策均涉及風險，投資者在做出任何決定之前應進行獨立研究。