比特幣梅耶倍數可能會揭示下一個價格頂部的位置

一位分析師根據該指標的歷史趨勢解釋了比特幣如何突破 168,500 美元大關。

An analyst has explained how Bitcoin could see a top beyond the $168,500 mark based on the historical trend in this indicator.

一位分析師根據該指標的歷史趨勢解釋了比特幣如何突破 168,500 美元大關。

Bitcoin Mayer Multiple Could Reveal Location Of Next Price Top

比特幣梅耶倍數可能會揭示下一個價格頂部的位置

In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has discussed where the BTC top could lie based on the Mayer Multiple. The “Mayer Multiple” refers to an indicator that keeps track of the ratio between the Bitcoin price and its 200-day moving average (MA).

在 X 上的一篇新帖子中，分析師阿里·馬丁內斯 (Ali Martinez) 討論了基於梅耶倍數 BTC 的頂部可能位於何處。 「梅耶倍數」是指追蹤比特幣價格與其 200 天移動平均線 (MA) 之間比率的指標。

The 200-day MA has historically proven to be a significant level for BTC, often serving as the boundary between bearish and bullish trends. As such, the distance of the price from this MA, which is what the Mayer Multiple measures, can be useful to watch.

歷史證明，200 日均線對 BTC 來說是一個重要水平，通常是看跌和看漲趨勢之間的界限。因此，觀察價格與 MA 的距離（即 Mayer Multiple 的衡量標準）可能很有用。

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When the Mayer Multiple has a high value, it means the asset is trading significantly above the 200-day MA, which could imply potential overbought conditions. On the other hand, the metric being low could suggest a bullish reversal may be due for BTC.

當梅耶倍數較高時，意味著該資產的交易價格顯著高於 200 日均線，這可能意味著潛在的超買情況。另一方面，該指標較低可能表示比特幣可能會出現看漲逆轉。

Now, here is the chart shared by Martinez that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Mayer Multiple represented as an oscillator over the history of the cryptocurrency:

現在，這是馬丁內斯分享的圖表，顯示了比特幣邁耶倍數的趨勢，表示為加密貨幣歷史上的振盪器：

As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin Mayer Multiple is currently around halfway to the level that has usually signaled overheated conditions for the coin’s price.

如上圖所示，比特幣梅耶倍數目前約為通常預示著比特幣價格過熱狀況的水平的一半。

The level in question is situated at the 2.4 mark. When the metric assumes this value, the price of the asset becomes 2.4 times the 200-day MA. In the same chart, a price line corresponding to this level is also shown.

所討論的水平位於 2.4 分。當指標採用該值時，資產價格將變為 200 天移動平均線的 2.4 倍。在同一張圖表中，也顯示了與該水準相對應的價格線。

It’s apparent that Bitcoin formed some of its major historical tops when it broke through the line. So far in the current cycle, Bitcoin hasn’t been able to retest the level yet.

很明顯，比特幣在突破該線時形成了一些主要的歷史頂部。到目前為止，在當前週期中，比特幣尚未能夠重新測試該水平。

And it may not be able to do so for a while, either since the Mayer Multiple would only equal 2.4 when the cryptocurrency’s price rises to around the $168,500 level.

而且它可能暫時無法做到這一點，因為當加密貨幣的價格升至 168,500 美元左右時，梅耶倍數僅等於 2.4。

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An important level relevant to the Mayer Multiple that BTC did retest during this cycle was the 0.8 line. Just like the 2.4 level serves as a signal for potential overheated conditions, this line can imply the coin may be reaching a bottom.

BTC 在本週期中重新測試的與梅耶倍數相關的一個重要水準是 0.8 線。就像 2.4 水平作為潛在過熱狀況的信號一樣，這條線可能意味著代幣可能已觸底。

Bitcoin successfully found a rebound at the line earlier in the year, confirming that a transition towards a bear market hadn’t taken place yet. It now remains to be seen whether the asset would go on to retest the top level next or if another plunge to this bottom level will happen first.

比特幣今年稍早成功在該線反彈，證實尚未發生向熊市的過渡。現在，該資產是否會繼續重新測試最高水平，或者是否會首先再次暴跌至該底部水平，還有待觀察。

BTC Price

比特幣價格

Bitcoin slipped toward the $92,000 level on Friday, but it seems the asset has made some recovery since then, as it sits at $96,000 to kick off the new week.

週五，比特幣跌至 92,000 美元的水平，但自那以後，該資產似乎已經有所回升，新的一周開始時，其價格為 96,000 美元。