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一位分析师根据该指标的历史趋势解释了比特币如何突破 168,500 美元大关。
An analyst has explained how Bitcoin could see a top beyond the $168,500 mark based on the historical trend in this indicator.
一位分析师根据该指标的历史趋势解释了比特币如何突破 168,500 美元大关。
Bitcoin Mayer Multiple Could Reveal Location Of Next Price Top
比特币梅耶倍数可能揭示下一个价格顶部的位置
In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has discussed where the BTC top could lie based on the Mayer Multiple. The “Mayer Multiple” refers to an indicator that keeps track of the ratio between the Bitcoin price and its 200-day moving average (MA).
在 X 上的一篇新帖子中,分析师阿里·马丁内斯 (Ali Martinez) 讨论了基于梅耶倍数 BTC 的顶部可能位于何处。 “梅耶倍数”是指跟踪比特币价格与其 200 天移动平均线 (MA) 之间比率的指标。
The 200-day MA has historically proven to be a significant level for BTC, often serving as the boundary between bearish and bullish trends. As such, the distance of the price from this MA, which is what the Mayer Multiple measures, can be useful to watch.
历史证明,200 日均线对 BTC 来说是一个重要水平,通常是看跌和看涨趋势之间的界限。因此,观察价格与 MA 的距离(即 Mayer Multiple 的衡量标准)可能很有用。
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When the Mayer Multiple has a high value, it means the asset is trading significantly above the 200-day MA, which could imply potential overbought conditions. On the other hand, the metric being low could suggest a bullish reversal may be due for BTC.
当梅耶倍数较高时,意味着该资产的交易价格显着高于 200 日均线,这可能意味着潜在的超买情况。另一方面,该指标较低可能表明比特币可能会出现看涨逆转。
Now, here is the chart shared by Martinez that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Mayer Multiple represented as an oscillator over the history of the cryptocurrency:
现在,这是马丁内斯分享的图表,显示了比特币迈耶倍数的趋势,表示为加密货币历史上的振荡器:
As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin Mayer Multiple is currently around halfway to the level that has usually signaled overheated conditions for the coin’s price.
如上图所示,比特币梅耶倍数目前约为通常预示着比特币价格过热状况的水平的一半。
The level in question is situated at the 2.4 mark. When the metric assumes this value, the price of the asset becomes 2.4 times the 200-day MA. In the same chart, a price line corresponding to this level is also shown.
所讨论的水平位于 2.4 分。当指标采用该值时,资产价格将变为 200 天移动平均线的 2.4 倍。在同一张图表中,还显示了与该水平相对应的价格线。
It’s apparent that Bitcoin formed some of its major historical tops when it broke through the line. So far in the current cycle, Bitcoin hasn’t been able to retest the level yet.
很明显,比特币在突破该线时形成了一些主要的历史顶部。到目前为止,在当前周期中,比特币尚未能够重新测试该水平。
And it may not be able to do so for a while, either since the Mayer Multiple would only equal 2.4 when the cryptocurrency’s price rises to around the $168,500 level.
而且它可能暂时无法做到这一点,因为当加密货币的价格升至 168,500 美元左右时,梅耶倍数仅等于 2.4。
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An important level relevant to the Mayer Multiple that BTC did retest during this cycle was the 0.8 line. Just like the 2.4 level serves as a signal for potential overheated conditions, this line can imply the coin may be reaching a bottom.
BTC 在本周期中重新测试的与梅耶倍数相关的一个重要水平是 0.8 线。就像 2.4 水平作为潜在过热状况的信号一样,这条线可能意味着代币可能已触底。
Bitcoin successfully found a rebound at the line earlier in the year, confirming that a transition towards a bear market hadn’t taken place yet. It now remains to be seen whether the asset would go on to retest the top level next or if another plunge to this bottom level will happen first.
比特币今年早些时候成功在该线反弹,证实尚未发生向熊市的过渡。现在,该资产是否会继续重新测试最高水平,或者是否会首先再次暴跌至该底部水平,还有待观察。
BTC Price
比特币价格
Bitcoin slipped toward the $92,000 level on Friday, but it seems the asset has made some recovery since then, as it sits at $96,000 to kick off the new week.
周五,比特币跌至 92,000 美元的水平,但自那以后,该资产似乎已经有所回升,新的一周开始时,其价格为 96,000 美元。
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