比特幣價格暴跌警告：貝萊德確認比特幣重磅炸彈，比特幣市場可能下跌 2 萬美元

隨著貝萊德悄悄證實了令人擔憂的比特幣重磅炸彈，比特幣已從上週超過 10 萬美元的歷史高點回落。

Bitcoin has dropped back from its all-time high of over $100,000 in the last week as BlackRock quietly confirmed a worrying bitcoin bombshell.

隨著貝萊德悄悄證實了令人擔憂的比特幣重磅炸彈，比特幣已從上週超過 10 萬美元的歷史高點回落。

The bitcoin price has plunged toward $90,000 per bitcoin, with the Federal Reserve's "biggest nightmare" weighing on the crypto market.

比特幣價格已暴跌至每比特幣 9 萬美元，聯準會的「最大噩夢」給加密市場帶來壓力。

Now, as Donald Trump confirms he has huge plans for bitcoin, a financial analyst has warned a $4.1 trillion drop in the global money supply could be about to trigger a bitcoin price crash to $20,0000.

現在，隨著唐納德·川普(Donald Trump) 證實他對比特幣有著宏偉的計劃，一位金融分析師警告稱，全球貨幣供應量下降4.1 兆美元可能會引發比特幣價格暴跌至20,000 美元。

Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell has overseen a $4.1 trillion drop in the global money supply, ... [+] something some fear could cause a bitcoin price crash.

聯準會主席鮑威爾 (Jerome Powell) 目睹全球貨幣供應量下降 4.1 兆美元，... [+] 有些人擔心這可能會導致比特幣價格暴跌。

"In the past, bitcoin prices have followed global money supply with ~10 week lag," analysts with The Kobeissi Letter posted to X, asking: "Is bitcoin overdue for a correction?"

《Kobeissi Letter》的分析師在發給 X 的帖子中問道：“過去，比特幣價格跟隨全球貨幣供應量的變化大約有 10 週的滯後，比特幣是否早就該進行調整了？”

Kobeissi analysts pointed to the money supply dropping by $4.1 trillion, to $104.4 trillion, the lowest since August, after hitting a peak of $108.5 trillion in October.

Koheissi分析師指出，繼10月達到108.5兆美元的高峰後，貨幣供應量下降了4.1兆美元，至104.4兆美元，為8月以來的最低水準。

"If the relationship still holds, this suggests that bitcoin prices could fall as much as $20,000 over the next few weeks. Bitcoin's red hot run may take a pause."

“如果這種關係仍然成立，這表明比特幣價格可能在未來幾週內下跌多達 20,000 美元。比特幣的火爆行情可能會暫停。”

The Federal Reserve, which controls the money supply through monetary policy, has been fighting to keep a lid on inflation this year while also attempting to bring down interest rates to prevent the economy falling into recession.

透過貨幣政策控制貨幣供應的聯準會今年一直在努力控制通貨膨脹，同時也試圖降低利率以防止經濟衰退。

Last week, the Fed cut interest rates by a well-telegraphed 25 basis points despite prices beginning to rise again but signaled it will move more slowly along next year's expected path of rate cuts.

上週，儘管物價開始再次上漲，聯準會還是明顯降息了 25 個基點，但暗示明年降息的預期路徑將更加緩慢。

The bitcoin price has surged to record highs of over $100,000 per bitcoin this year, a huge rally ... [+] that's led to fears of a looming bitcoin price crash.

今年，比特幣價格飆升至每比特幣 10 萬美元以上的歷史新高，大幅上漲... [+] 這引發了人們對即將到來的比特幣價格崩盤的擔憂。

The Fed's "economic outlook and chair Powell's press conference suggested that inflation is going to be stickier than previously thought. This means that they will proceed with the current rate cut cycle slowly and with caution to inflation, which seems to be re-accelerating for the past couple of months," Yuya Hasegawa, bitcoin and crypto market analyst with Tokyo-based Bitbank, said in emailed comments.

聯準會的「經濟前景和主席鮑威爾的新聞發布會表明，通膨將比之前想像的更加黏性。這意味著他們將緩慢地推進當前的降息週期，並對通膨持謹慎態度，而通膨似乎正在重新加速。 「過去幾個月，」東京 Bitbank 的比特幣和加密貨幣市場分析師 Yuya Hasekawa 在電子郵件評論中表示。

"There also is a chance for Fed to stop cutting rates sometime during 2025 if inflation becomes too hot, and in the worst case scenario, they might start raising again. Monetary easing has almost always favored the price of bitcoin, and the opposite has negative impact on the price."

「如果通膨變得太熱，聯準會也有可能在2025 年某個時候停止降息，在最壞的情況下，他們可能會再次開始升息。貨幣寬鬆幾乎總是有利於比特幣的價格，而相反的則有負面影響對價格的影響。

U.S. debt has soared over recent years, topping $34 trillion at the beginning of 2024, with Covid and lockdown stimulus measures contributing to massive government spending and helping to send inflation spiraling out of control in 2022.

近年來，美國債務飆升，2024 年初突破 34 兆美元，新冠疫情和封鎖刺激措施導致政府巨額支出，並導致 2022 年通膨失控。

Inflation of over 10% forced the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates at a historical clip, pushing up debt interest payments and fueling fears of a "death spiral."

超過10%的通貨膨脹迫使聯準會以歷史性的速度升息，推高了債務利息支付並加劇了對「死亡螺旋」的擔憂。

"While Fed's potential policy shift will likely put pressure on bitcoin, high interest rates will keep pressure on the government's debt payments as well," Hasegawa said.

長谷川表示：“雖然聯準會潛在的政策轉變可能會給比特幣帶來壓力，但高利率也將給政府的債務支付帶來壓力。”

"The ballooning Federal government debt is already raising the question about its sustainability and the government's credibility could gradually become one of the topics that the market will pay attention to in 2025."

“不斷膨脹的聯邦政府債務已經引發了對其可持續性的質疑，政府的信譽可能會逐漸成為2025年市場關注的話題之一。”