比特币价格暴跌警告：贝莱德确认比特币重磅炸弹，比特币市场可能下跌 20,000 美元

随着贝莱德悄然证实了令人担忧的比特币重磅炸弹，比特币已从上周超过 10 万美元的历史高位回落。

Bitcoin has dropped back from its all-time high of over $100,000 in the last week as BlackRock quietly confirmed a worrying bitcoin bombshell.

随着贝莱德悄然证实了令人担忧的比特币重磅炸弹，比特币已从上周超过 10 万美元的历史高点回落。

The bitcoin price has plunged toward $90,000 per bitcoin, with the Federal Reserve's "biggest nightmare" weighing on the crypto market.

比特币价格已暴跌至每比特币 90,000 美元，美联储的“最大噩梦”给加密市场带来压力。

Now, as Donald Trump confirms he has huge plans for bitcoin, a financial analyst has warned a $4.1 trillion drop in the global money supply could be about to trigger a bitcoin price crash to $20,0000.

现在，随着唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 证实他对比特币有着宏伟的计划，一位金融分析师警告称，全球货币供应量下降 4.1 万亿美元可能会引发比特币价格暴跌至 20,000 美元。

Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell has overseen a $4.1 trillion drop in the global money supply, ... [+] something some fear could cause a bitcoin price crash.

美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔 (Jerome Powell) 目睹全球货币供应量下降 4.1 万亿美元，... [+] 一些人担心这可能会导致比特币价格暴跌。

"In the past, bitcoin prices have followed global money supply with ~10 week lag," analysts with The Kobeissi Letter posted to X, asking: "Is bitcoin overdue for a correction?"

《Kobeissi Letter》的分析师在发给 X 的帖子中问道：“过去，比特币价格跟随全球货币供应量的变化大约有 10 周的滞后，比特币是否早就该进行调整了？”

Kobeissi analysts pointed to the money supply dropping by $4.1 trillion, to $104.4 trillion, the lowest since August, after hitting a peak of $108.5 trillion in October.

Koheissi分析师指出，继10月份达到108.5万亿美元的峰值后，货币供应量下降了4.1万亿美元，至104.4万亿美元，为8月份以来的最低水平。

"If the relationship still holds, this suggests that bitcoin prices could fall as much as $20,000 over the next few weeks. Bitcoin's red hot run may take a pause."

“如果这种关系仍然成立，这表明比特币价格可能在未来几周内下跌多达 20,000 美元。比特币的火爆行情可能会暂停。”

The Federal Reserve, which controls the money supply through monetary policy, has been fighting to keep a lid on inflation this year while also attempting to bring down interest rates to prevent the economy falling into recession.

通过货币政策控制货币供应的美联储今年一直在努力控制通货膨胀，同时也试图降低利率以防止经济陷入衰退。

Last week, the Fed cut interest rates by a well-telegraphed 25 basis points despite prices beginning to rise again but signaled it will move more slowly along next year's expected path of rate cuts.

上周，尽管物价开始再次上涨，美联储还是明显降息了 25 个基点，但暗示明年降息的预期路径将更加缓慢。

The bitcoin price has surged to record highs of over $100,000 per bitcoin this year, a huge rally ... [+] that's led to fears of a looming bitcoin price crash.

今年，比特币价格飙升至每比特币 10 万美元以上的历史新高，大幅上涨...... [+] 这引发了人们对即将到来的比特币价格崩盘的担忧。

The Fed's "economic outlook and chair Powell's press conference suggested that inflation is going to be stickier than previously thought. This means that they will proceed with the current rate cut cycle slowly and with caution to inflation, which seems to be re-accelerating for the past couple of months," Yuya Hasegawa, bitcoin and crypto market analyst with Tokyo-based Bitbank, said in emailed comments.

美联储的“经济前景和主席鲍威尔的新闻发布会表明，通胀将比之前想象的更加粘性。这意味着他们将缓慢地推进当前的降息周期，并对通胀持谨慎态度，而通胀似乎正在重新加速。”过去几个月，”东京 Bitbank 的比特币和加密货币市场分析师 Yuya Hasekawa 在电子邮件评论中表示。

"There also is a chance for Fed to stop cutting rates sometime during 2025 if inflation becomes too hot, and in the worst case scenario, they might start raising again. Monetary easing has almost always favored the price of bitcoin, and the opposite has negative impact on the price."

“如果通胀变得太热，美联储也有可能在 2025 年某个时候停止降息，在最坏的情况下，他们可能会再次开始加息。货币宽松几乎总是有利于比特币的价格，而相反的则有负面影响对价格的影响。”

U.S. debt has soared over recent years, topping $34 trillion at the beginning of 2024, with Covid and lockdown stimulus measures contributing to massive government spending and helping to send inflation spiraling out of control in 2022.

近年来，美国债务飙升，2024 年初突破 34 万亿美元，新冠疫情和封锁刺激措施导致政府巨额支出，并导致 2022 年通胀失控。

Inflation of over 10% forced the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates at a historical clip, pushing up debt interest payments and fueling fears of a "death spiral."

超过10%的通货膨胀迫使美联储以历史性的速度加息，推高了债务利息支付并加剧了对“死亡螺旋”的担忧。

"While Fed's potential policy shift will likely put pressure on bitcoin, high interest rates will keep pressure on the government's debt payments as well," Hasegawa said.

长谷川表示：“虽然美联储潜在的政策转变可能会给比特币带来压力，但高利率也将给政府的债务支付带来压力。”

"The ballooning Federal government debt is already raising the question about its sustainability and the government's credibility could gradually become one of the topics that the market will pay attention to in 2025."

“不断膨胀的联邦政府债务已经引发了对其可持续性的质疑，政府的信誉可能会逐渐成为2025年市场关注的话题之一。”