比特币逼近 10 万美元大关，但牛市会持续吗？

经过一周的价格大幅上涨后，BTC 的价值开始接近 10 万美元大关。在撰写本文时，国王币的交易价格为 98.2K 美元

Bitcoin [BTC] has been slowly inching towards the $100K mark, thanks to the bullish market conditions. However, is this bull run sustainable, or will BTC fall victim to a price correction soon?

由于看涨的市场状况，比特币 [BTC] 已缓慢迈向 10 万美元大关。然而，这次牛市是否可持续，或者比特币很快就会成为价格调整的受害者吗？

Bitcoin approaches $100K

比特币逼近 10 万美元

After a week of massive price rises, BTC’s value started to come closer to the $100K mark. At the time of writing, the king coin was trading at $98.2K with a market capitalization of $1.94 trillion.

经过一周的价格大幅上涨后，BTC 的价值开始接近 10 万美元大关。截至撰写本文时，王币交易价格为 9.82 万美元，市值为 1.94 万亿美元。

In the meantime, Ali Martinez, a popular crypto analyst, took to Twitter to advise investors to sell 25% of their BTC holdings once the coin touches the $173K-$200K range.

与此同时，受欢迎的加密货币分析师阿里·马丁内斯 (Ali Martinez) 在 Twitter 上建议投资者，一旦比特币触及 17.3 万美元至 20 万美元的区间，就出售 25% 的 BTC 持有量。

Going forward, he also mentioned selling 30% of holdings once the king coin enters the $200K-$300K range.

展望未来，他还提到，一旦金币进入 20 万至 30 万美元的区间，就出售 30% 的股份。

Since these numbers are pretty ambitious, AMBCrypto planned to dig deeper to find whether BTC’s road ahead is clear.

由于这些数字相当雄心勃勃，AMBCrypto 计划进行更深入的研究，看看 BTC 的未来道路是否清晰。

Decoding BTC’s future

解读比特币的未来

As per our analysis of Glassnode’s data, BTC was trading well within its range. To be precise, the Pi Cycle Top indicator revealed that BTC’s possible market top was at $121K, while its market bottom was at $66K.

根据我们对 Glassnode 数据的分析，BTC 在其范围内交易良好。准确地说，Pi 周期顶部指标显示 BTC 可能的市场顶部为 12.1 万美元，而其市场底部为 6.6 万美元。

Therefore, the possibility of BTC heading towards $100K didn’t seem too ambitious.

因此，BTC 迈向 10 万美元的可能性似乎并不太大。

Source: Glassnode

来源：Glassnode

In fact, investors were still looking to buy Bitcoin. AMBCrypto reported earlier that 65K BTC were withdrawn from exchanges recently.

事实上，投资者仍在寻求购买比特币。 AMBCrypto 早些时候报道称，最近有 6.5 万 BTC 从交易所撤回。

These coins were valued at more than $6 billion, indicating a significant push to BTC’s buying pressure.

这些代币的价值超过 60 亿美元，这表明对 BTC 的购买压力产生了重大推动。

As per CryptoQuant’s data, the buying pressure remained high. This was evident from BTC’s dropping exchange reserve.

根据 CryptoQuant 的数据，购买压力仍然很高。从比特币外汇储备的下降就可以看出这一点。

A decline in buying pressure usually indicates that the chances of a continued price uptrend are high, as investors showed confidence in the king coin.

购买压力下降通常表明价格持续上涨趋势的可能性很高，因为投资者对王币表现出了信心。

Source: CryptoQuant

来源：CryptoQuant

Apart from that, Bitcoin’s Coinbase Premium was also in the green. This meant that buying sentiment was dominant among U.S. investors, which could also support BTC’s rise towards $100K.

除此之外，比特币的 Coinbase Premium 也呈绿色。这意味着美国投资者的购买情绪占主导地位，这也可能支持 BTC 升至 10 万美元。

However, nothing can be said with complete certainty.

然而，没有什么可以完全肯定地说。

The king coin’s liquidation heatmap also suggested that it faced strong resistance at $98.9K. An increase in liquidation often acts as a resistance, which can lead to a rejection and price correction.

王币的清算热图也表明它在 98.9K 美元处面临强劲阻力。清算的增加通常会起到阻力的作用，这可能会导致拒绝和价格调整。

Hence, it will be crucial for BTC to cross that level in order to aim for $100K.

因此，比特币要想达到 10 万美元的目标，突破这一水平至关重要。

Source: Coinglass

资料来源：Coinglass

Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2024–2025

阅读比特币 [BTC] 2024-2025 年价格预测

Bitcoin’s Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), which gauges buying/selling pressure, also registered an uptick. This further supported the narrative of buying pressure being high.

衡量买/卖压力的比特币柴金资金流（CMF）也有所上升。这进一步支持了购买压力较高的说法。

However, the Money Flow Index (MFI) was resting in the overbought zone, which could trigger a sell-off, in turn, pushing BTC’s price down.]

然而，资金流量指数（MFI）处于超买区域，这可能会引发抛售，从而压低比特币的价格。]