比特币 (BTC) 价格预测：为什么 BTC 必须升至 100,535 美元以上才能避免重大调整 – 分析师

比特币（BTC）价格过去一周上涨 7.99%，于 11 月 22 日创下历史新高 99,655 美元。

Bitcoin (BTC) price action has been largely bullish in recent weeks, setting new all-time highs and sparking excitement among traders. However, as BTC’s price rally continues, so do speculations of an upcoming price correction.

最近几周，比特币（BTC）的价格走势基本看涨，创下历史新高，并引发了交易者的兴奋。然而，随着比特币价格持续上涨，对即将到来的价格调整的猜测也在增加。

In this update, we take a closer look at BTC’s technicals and recent price movements, exploring the factors that could determine whether Bitcoin will correct or continue rallying higher. We’ll also be discussing a key price level that, if BTC manages to hold above it, could invalidate the sell signal and keep Bitcoin rallying.

在本次更新中，我们将仔细研究 BTC 的技术面和近期价格走势，探讨可能决定比特币是否会修正或继续上涨的因素。我们还将讨论一个关键价格水平，如果 BTC 设法保持在该水平之上，可能会使卖出信号失效并保持比特币反弹。

Bitcoin Price Sets New All-Time High, But Could BTC Correct Now?

比特币价格创下历史新高，但比特币现在能回调吗？

Bitcoin (BTC) price began the week setting a new all-time high of $99,655 on Monday, November 22. However, BTC’s price has since retraced slightly and is now hovering around $98,200.

比特币 (BTC) 价格本周初于 11 月 22 日星期一创下 99,655 美元的历史新高。然而，BTC 的价格此后略有回撤，目前徘徊在 98,200 美元左右。

Despite the recent pullback, BTC’s price is still up an impressive 7.99% in the past week and 61.76% since early October when BTC’s price was last seen at $60,500. This rally has sparked excitement among traders and had traders discussing the possibility of BTC reaching $100,000 before the month is out.

尽管最近出现回调，但 BTC 的价格在过去一周仍然上涨了 7.99%，自 10 月初 BTC 价格最后一次达到 60,500 美元以来上涨了 61.76%。这次反弹引发了交易员的兴奋，并让交易员讨论了 BTC 在月底前达到 100,000 美元的可能性。

However, as BTC’s price rally continues, so do speculations of an upcoming price correction. Several technical and on-chain metrics are suggesting that Bitcoin is due for a price pullback after rallying so quickly.

然而，随着比特币价格持续上涨，对即将到来的价格调整的猜测也在增加。多项技术和链上指标表明，比特币在如此迅速上涨后，价格将出现回调。

For example, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been continuously in the overbought territory, suggesting potential for a sudden price pullback. Furthermore, the BTC Fear & Greed Index is also at a 4.5-year high of 94.

例如，比特币的相对强弱指数（RSI）一直处于超买区域，表明价格可能突然回调。此外，BTC恐惧与贪婪指数也处于4.5年高点94。

Generally, any Fear & Greed Index above 75 represents extreme greed among investors, which is overwhelmingly bullish but also presents potential for overvaluation that precedes significant price corrections.

一般来说，任何高于 75 的恐惧与贪婪指数都代表投资者的极度贪婪，这种贪婪是压倒性的看涨，但也存在在价格大幅调整之前出现估值过高的可能性。

Of more concern, it seems, is that Bitcoin traders’ unrealized profit levels are at 57% and gradually approaching the local peak of 69% in March 2024. This also suggests a potential overextension and potential for price correction.

似乎更令人担忧的是，比特币交易者的未实现利润水平为 57%，并逐渐接近 2024 年 3 月的局部峰值 69%。这也表明潜在的过度扩张和价格调整的可能性。

BTC Price Could Fall To $91,583 If Sell Signal Triggers

如果卖出信号触发，BTC 价格可能跌至 91,583 美元

According to popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez, if BTC does undergo the correction that the TD Sequential and other factors are suggesting, the crypto market leader could fall as low as $91,583.

根据受欢迎的加密货币分析师 Ali Martinez 的说法，如果 BTC 确实经历 TD Sequential 和其他因素所暗示的修正，那么加密货币市场的领导者可能会跌至 91,583 美元。

Martinez’s analysis suggests that amid strong selling pressure, Bitcoin could further slide to $85,610, indicating a potential 12.64% decline from its current market price.

马丁内斯的分析表明，在强劲的抛售压力下，比特币可能进一步跌至 85,610 美元，这表明其当前市场价格可能下跌 12.64%。

However, Martinez also notes that BTC could nullify the sell signal by the TD Sequential and avoid a major correction by closing above $100,535 on the 12-hour daily chart.

然而，Martinez 还指出，BTC 可能会抵消 TD Sequential 的卖出信号，并通过在 12 小时日线图上收于 100,535 美元上方来避免重大回调。

Considering Bitcoin’s recent price movement and events such as excitement around Donald Trump’s electoral victory and increased ETF inflows, an uptrend continuation is definitely a strong possibility.

考虑到比特币最近的价格走势以及唐纳德·特朗普选举胜利带来的兴奋和 ETF 资金流入增加等事件，继续上涨趋势的可能性很大。

After setting a new all-time high on Monday, Bitcoin’s price has retraced slightly and is now showing signs of being overheated. Several technical and on-chain metrics are suggesting that BTC is due for a price pullback after rallying so quickly.

在周一创下新的历史高点后，比特币的价格已小幅回落，目前显示出过热的迹象。多项技术和链上指标表明，比特币在如此迅速上涨后，价格将出现回调。

However, one crypto analyst believes that if Bitcoin manages to close above a key price level on the 12-hour chart, the sell signal will be nullified, and BTC will be able to continue rallying higher.

然而，一位加密货币分析师认为，如果比特币能够收于 12 小时图表上的关键价格水平之上，则卖出信号将失效，比特币将能够继续走高。

Bitcoin (BTC) price action has been setting new all-time highs and sparking excitement among traders. However, as BTC’s price rally continues, so do speculations of an upcoming price correction.

比特币（BTC）的价格走势一直创下历史新高，并引发交易者的兴奋。然而，随着比特币价格持续上涨，对即将到来的价格调整的猜测也在增加。

In this update, we take a closer look at BTC’s technicals and recent price movements, exploring the factors that could determine whether Bitcoin will correct or continue rallying. We’ll also be discussing a key price level that, if BTC manages to hold above it, could keep Bitcoin rallying.

在本次更新中，我们仔细研究了比特币的技术面和近期的价格走势，探讨了可能决定比特币是否会修正或继续上涨的因素。我们还将讨论一个关键的价格水平，如果 BTC 设法保持在该水平之上，则可能会保持比特币的上涨。

Bitcoin Price Sets New All-Time High, But Could BTC Correct Now?

比特币价格创下历史新高，但比特币现在能回调吗？

Bitcoin (BTC) price began the week setting a new all-time high of $99,655 on Monday, November 22. However, BTC’s price has since retraced and is now hovering around $98,200.

比特币 (BTC) 价格本周初于 11 月 22 日星期一创下 99,655 美元的历史新高。然而，BTC 的价格此后有所回撤，目前徘徊在 98,200 美元左右。

Despite the recent pullback, BTC’s price is still up an impressive 7.99% in the past week and 61.76% since early October when BTC’s price was last seen at $60,500. This rally has sparked excitement and had traders discussing the possibility of BTC reaching $100,000 before the month is out.

尽管最近出现回调，但 BTC 的价格在过去一周仍然上涨了 7.99%，自 10 月初 BTC 价格最后一次达到 60,500 美元以来上涨了 61.76%。这次反弹引发了兴奋，交易员们讨论了 BTC 在月底前达到 100,000 美元的可能性。

However, as BTC’s price rally continues, so do speculations of an upcoming price

然而，随着 BTC 价格的持续上涨，对即将到来的价格的猜测也在不断增加