比特幣 (BTC) 價格預測：為什麼 BTC 必須升至 100,535 美元以上才能避免重大調整 – 分析師

比特幣（BTC）價格過去一周上漲 7.99%，於 11 月 22 日創下歷史新高 99,655 美元。

Bitcoin (BTC) price action has been largely bullish in recent weeks, setting new all-time highs and sparking excitement among traders. However, as BTC’s price rally continues, so do speculations of an upcoming price correction.

最近幾週，比特幣（BTC）的價格走勢基本上看漲，創下歷史新高，並引發了交易者的興奮。然而，隨著比特幣價格持續上漲，對即將到來的價格調整的猜測也在增加。

In this update, we take a closer look at BTC’s technicals and recent price movements, exploring the factors that could determine whether Bitcoin will correct or continue rallying higher. We’ll also be discussing a key price level that, if BTC manages to hold above it, could invalidate the sell signal and keep Bitcoin rallying.

在本次更新中，我們將仔細研究 BTC 的技術面和近期價格走勢，探討可能決定比特幣是否會修正或持續上漲的因素。我們還將討論一個關鍵價格水平，如果 BTC 設法保持在該水平之上，可能會使賣出訊號失效並保持比特幣反彈。

Bitcoin Price Sets New All-Time High, But Could BTC Correct Now?

比特幣價格創下歷史新高，但比特幣現在能回檔嗎？

Bitcoin (BTC) price began the week setting a new all-time high of $99,655 on Monday, November 22. However, BTC’s price has since retraced slightly and is now hovering around $98,200.

比特幣 (BTC) 價格本周初於 11 月 22 日星期一創下 99,655 美元的歷史新高。

Despite the recent pullback, BTC’s price is still up an impressive 7.99% in the past week and 61.76% since early October when BTC’s price was last seen at $60,500. This rally has sparked excitement among traders and had traders discussing the possibility of BTC reaching $100,000 before the month is out.

儘管最近出現回調，但 BTC 的價格在過去一周仍然上漲了 7.99%，自 10 月初 BTC 價格最後一次達到 60,500 美元以來上漲了 61.76%。這次反彈引發了交易員的興奮，並讓交易員討論了 BTC 在月底前達到 10 萬美元的可能性。

However, as BTC’s price rally continues, so do speculations of an upcoming price correction. Several technical and on-chain metrics are suggesting that Bitcoin is due for a price pullback after rallying so quickly.

然而，隨著比特幣價格持續上漲，對即將到來的價格調整的猜測也在增加。多項技術和鏈上指標表明，比特幣在如此迅速上漲後，價格將出現回調。

For example, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been continuously in the overbought territory, suggesting potential for a sudden price pullback. Furthermore, the BTC Fear & Greed Index is also at a 4.5-year high of 94.

例如，比特幣的相對強弱指數（RSI）一直處於超買區域，顯示價格可能突然回調。此外，BTC恐懼與貪婪指數也處於4.5年高點94。

Generally, any Fear & Greed Index above 75 represents extreme greed among investors, which is overwhelmingly bullish but also presents potential for overvaluation that precedes significant price corrections.

一般來說，任何高於 75 的恐懼與貪婪指數都代表投資者的極度貪婪，這種貪婪是壓倒性的看漲，但也存在在價格大幅調整之前出現估值過高的可能性。

Of more concern, it seems, is that Bitcoin traders’ unrealized profit levels are at 57% and gradually approaching the local peak of 69% in March 2024. This also suggests a potential overextension and potential for price correction.

似乎更令人擔憂的是，比特幣交易者的未實現利潤水準為 57%，並逐漸接近 2024 年 3 月的局部高峰 69%。

BTC Price Could Fall To $91,583 If Sell Signal Triggers

如果賣出訊號觸發，BTC 價格可能跌至 91,583 美元

According to popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez, if BTC does undergo the correction that the TD Sequential and other factors are suggesting, the crypto market leader could fall as low as $91,583.

根據受歡迎的加密貨幣分析師 Ali Martinez 的說法，如果 BTC 確實經歷 TD Sequential 和其他因素所暗示的修正，那麼加密貨幣市場的領導者可能會跌至 91,583 美元。

Martinez’s analysis suggests that amid strong selling pressure, Bitcoin could further slide to $85,610, indicating a potential 12.64% decline from its current market price.

馬丁內斯的分析表明，在強勁的拋售壓力下，比特幣可能進一步跌至 85,610 美元，這表明其當前市場價格可能下跌 12.64%。

However, Martinez also notes that BTC could nullify the sell signal by the TD Sequential and avoid a major correction by closing above $100,535 on the 12-hour daily chart.

然而，Martinez 也指出，BTC 可能會抵消 TD Sequential 的賣出訊號，並透過在 12 小時日線圖上收於 100,535 美元上方來避免重大回調。

Considering Bitcoin’s recent price movement and events such as excitement around Donald Trump’s electoral victory and increased ETF inflows, an uptrend continuation is definitely a strong possibility.

考慮到比特幣最近的價格走勢以及唐納德·川普選舉勝利帶來的興奮和 ETF 資金流入增加等事件，繼續上漲趨勢的可能性很高。

After setting a new all-time high on Monday, Bitcoin’s price has retraced slightly and is now showing signs of being overheated. Several technical and on-chain metrics are suggesting that BTC is due for a price pullback after rallying so quickly.

在周一創下新的歷史高點後，比特幣的價格已小幅回落，目前顯示出過熱的跡象。多項技術和鏈上指標表明，比特幣在如此迅速上漲後，價格將出現回調。

However, one crypto analyst believes that if Bitcoin manages to close above a key price level on the 12-hour chart, the sell signal will be nullified, and BTC will be able to continue rallying higher.

然而，一位加密貨幣分析師認為，如果比特幣能夠收在 12 小時圖表上的關鍵價格水平之上，則賣出訊號將失效，比特幣將能夠繼續走高。

Bitcoin (BTC) price action has been setting new all-time highs and sparking excitement among traders. However, as BTC’s price rally continues, so do speculations of an upcoming price correction.

比特幣（BTC）的價格走勢一直創下歷史新高，並引發交易者的興奮。然而，隨著比特幣價格持續上漲，對即將到來的價格調整的猜測也在增加。

In this update, we take a closer look at BTC’s technicals and recent price movements, exploring the factors that could determine whether Bitcoin will correct or continue rallying. We’ll also be discussing a key price level that, if BTC manages to hold above it, could keep Bitcoin rallying.

在本次更新中，我們仔細研究了比特幣的技術面和近期的價格走勢，探討了可能決定比特幣是否會修正或繼續上漲的因素。我們還將討論一個關鍵的價格水平，如果 BTC 設法保持在該水平之上，則可能會保持比特幣的上漲。

Bitcoin Price Sets New All-Time High, But Could BTC Correct Now?

比特幣價格創下歷史新高，但比特幣現在能回檔嗎？

Bitcoin (BTC) price began the week setting a new all-time high of $99,655 on Monday, November 22. However, BTC’s price has since retraced and is now hovering around $98,200.

比特幣 (BTC) 價格本周初於 11 月 22 日星期一創下 99,655 美元的歷史新高。

Despite the recent pullback, BTC’s price is still up an impressive 7.99% in the past week and 61.76% since early October when BTC’s price was last seen at $60,500. This rally has sparked excitement and had traders discussing the possibility of BTC reaching $100,000 before the month is out.

儘管最近出現回調，但 BTC 的價格在過去一周仍然上漲了 7.99%，自 10 月初 BTC 價格最後一次達到 60,500 美元以來上漲了 61.76%。這次反彈引發了興奮，交易員們討論了 BTC 在月底前達到 10 萬美元的可能性。

However, as BTC’s price rally continues, so do speculations of an upcoming price

然而，隨著 BTC 價格的持續上漲，對即將到來的價格的猜測也不斷增加