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經過一週的價格大幅上漲後,BTC 的價值開始接近 10 萬美元大關。在撰寫本文時,國王幣的交易價格為 98.2K 美元
Bitcoin [BTC] has been slowly inching towards the $100K mark, thanks to the bullish market conditions. However, is this bull run sustainable, or will BTC fall victim to a price correction soon?
由於看漲的市場狀況,比特幣 [BTC] 已緩慢邁向 10 萬美元大關。然而,這次牛市是否可持續,或者比特幣很快就會成為價格調整的受害者嗎?
Bitcoin approaches $100K
比特幣逼近 10 萬美元
After a week of massive price rises, BTC’s value started to come closer to the $100K mark. At the time of writing, the king coin was trading at $98.2K with a market capitalization of $1.94 trillion.
經過一週的價格大幅上漲後,BTC 的價值開始接近 10 萬美元大關。截至撰寫本文時,王幣交易價格為 9.82 萬美元,市值為 1.94 兆美元。
In the meantime, Ali Martinez, a popular crypto analyst, took to Twitter to advise investors to sell 25% of their BTC holdings once the coin touches the $173K-$200K range.
同時,受歡迎的加密貨幣分析師阿里·馬丁內斯(Ali Martinez) 在Twitter 上建議投資者,一旦比特幣觸及17.3 萬美元至20 萬美元的區間,就出售25% 的BTC 持有量。
Going forward, he also mentioned selling 30% of holdings once the king coin enters the $200K-$300K range.
展望未來,他也提到,一旦金幣進入 20 萬至 30 萬美元的區間,就賣出 30% 的股份。
Since these numbers are pretty ambitious, AMBCrypto planned to dig deeper to find whether BTC’s road ahead is clear.
由於這些數字相當雄心勃勃,AMBCrypto 計劃進行更深入的研究,看看 BTC 的未來道路是否清晰。
Decoding BTC’s future
解讀比特幣的未來
As per our analysis of Glassnode’s data, BTC was trading well within its range. To be precise, the Pi Cycle Top indicator revealed that BTC’s possible market top was at $121K, while its market bottom was at $66K.
根據我們對 Glassnode 數據的分析,BTC 在其範圍內交易良好。準確地說,Pi 週期頂部指標顯示 BTC 可能的市場頂部為 12.1 萬美元,而其市場底部為 6.6 萬美元。
Therefore, the possibility of BTC heading towards $100K didn’t seem too ambitious.
因此,BTC 邁向 10 萬美元的可能性似乎並不太大。
Source: Glassnode
來源:Glassnode
In fact, investors were still looking to buy Bitcoin. AMBCrypto reported earlier that 65K BTC were withdrawn from exchanges recently.
事實上,投資者仍在尋求購買比特幣。 AMBCrypto 早些時候報道稱,最近有 6.5 萬 BTC 從交易所撤回。
These coins were valued at more than $6 billion, indicating a significant push to BTC’s buying pressure.
這些代幣的價值超過 60 億美元,這表明對 BTC 的購買壓力產生了重大推動。
As per CryptoQuant’s data, the buying pressure remained high. This was evident from BTC’s dropping exchange reserve.
根據 CryptoQuant 的數據,購買壓力仍然很高。從比特幣外匯存底的下降就可以看出這一點。
A decline in buying pressure usually indicates that the chances of a continued price uptrend are high, as investors showed confidence in the king coin.
購買壓力下降通常表示價格持續上漲趨勢的可能性很高,因為投資者對王幣表現出了信心。
Source: CryptoQuant
來源:CryptoQuant
Apart from that, Bitcoin’s Coinbase Premium was also in the green. This meant that buying sentiment was dominant among U.S. investors, which could also support BTC’s rise towards $100K.
除此之外,比特幣的 Coinbase Premium 也呈現綠色。這意味著美國投資者的購買情緒占主導地位,這也可能支持 BTC 升至 10 萬美元。
However, nothing can be said with complete certainty.
然而,沒有什麼可以完全肯定地說。
The king coin’s liquidation heatmap also suggested that it faced strong resistance at $98.9K. An increase in liquidation often acts as a resistance, which can lead to a rejection and price correction.
王幣的清算熱圖也顯示它在 98.9K 美元處面臨強勁阻力。清算的增加通常會起到阻力的作用,這可能會導致拒絕和價格調整。
Hence, it will be crucial for BTC to cross that level in order to aim for $100K.
因此,比特幣要達到 10 萬美元的目標,突破這一水平至關重要。
Source: Coinglass
資料來源:Coinglass
Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2024–2025
閱讀比特幣 [BTC] 2024-2025 年價格預測
Bitcoin’s Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), which gauges buying/selling pressure, also registered an uptick. This further supported the narrative of buying pressure being high.
衡量買/賣壓力的比特幣柴金資金流(CMF)也有所上升。這進一步支持了購買壓力較高的說法。
However, the Money Flow Index (MFI) was resting in the overbought zone, which could trigger a sell-off, in turn, pushing BTC’s price down.]
然而,資金流量指數(MFI)處於超買區域,這可能會引發拋售,從而壓低比特幣的價格。
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