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加密货币新闻

比特币(BTC)价格可能通过目标130k来看到新的历史高峰

2025/03/21 14:00

在过去的7天内,比特币看起来已经在80,000美元以内的80,000美元和90,000美元的交易之后发现了稳定性。

比特币(BTC)价格可能通过目标130k来看到新的历史高峰

Crypto analyst Colin, also known as "The M2 Guy," has identified a close correlation between Bitcoin (BTC) and the global M2 money supply. In his latest analysis, shared on X (formerly Twitter) on Thursday, the analyst predicts that an impending liquidity influx could propel BTC into a major price move in two different scenarios by March or April.

加密分析师科林(Colin)也被称为“ M2 Guy”,已经确定了比特币(BTC)和全球M2货币供应之间的密切相关性。分析师在周四(以前是Twitter)上分享的最新分析中,分析师预测,即将到来的流动性涌入可能会在3月或4月之前在两种不同的情况下推动BTC的重大价格转移。

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price action against the global money supply is setting up for a big move in the coming months. This outlook, noted by analyst Colin, known as “The M2 Guy,” on X, is based on the timing of a liquidity shift between global markets and BTC.

针对全球货币供应的比特币(BTC)价格行动正在为未来几个月的重大举措设置。分析师科林(Colin)在X上被称为“ M2 Guy”的前景基于全球市场与BTC之间流动性转移的时机。

His analysis presents two possible scenarios based on historical patterns of money supply expansion and Bitcoin’s price response, each programming a major move either in late March or late April.

他的分析根据货币供应量扩展和比特币的价格响应的历史模式提出了两种可能的情况,每个人在3月下旬或4月下旬都采取了重大举措。

M2 Money Supply And Bitcoin’s Liquidity-Driven Rally

M2货币供应和比特币的流动性集会

The global M2 money supply, which measures the total amount of liquid money circulating in an economy, is a good measure for predicting capital flows into risk assets, including BTC. Notably, Colin’s analysis focuses on Bitcoin’s price offset with the Global M2 money. Specifically, the analyst highlights the 70-day offset and the 107-day offset.

全球M2货币供应量衡量经济中流通的流动资源总量,是预测资本流入风险资产(包括BTC)的好方法。值得注意的是,Colin的分析重点是全球M2货币的比特币价格抵消。具体而言,分析师强调了70天的偏移和107天的偏移。

Bitcoin’s price can be compared with different offsets with the Global M2 money supply, but analysis shows that these two offsets have the best correlation with BTC’s price across multiple timeframes. However, the mathematical correlation seems to be stronger in the case of the 107-day offset.

可以将比特币的价格与全球M2货币供应的不同偏移量进行比较,但是分析表明,这两个偏移量与BTC在多个时间范围内的价格具有最好的相关性。但是,在107天偏移的情况下,数学相关性似乎更强。

According to the analyst, both of these offsets have been good at picking up the turning points of Bitcoin’s price chart throughout the bull and bear markets since 2011. Moreover, both offsets have been instrumental in identifying the timing of Bitcoin’s major liquidity shifts.

根据分析师的说法,这两种偏移都擅长于自2011年以来的整个公牛和熊市的价格表的转折点。

For instance, in 2021, when the global M2 money supply started expanding again, there was a 70-day delay before the liquidity shift into Bitcoin occurred, and the cryptocurrency's price began a new bull market.

例如,在2021年,当全球M2货币供应再次开始扩展时,在流动性转移到比特币之前有70天的延迟,加密货币的价格开始了新的牛市。

BTC’s Incoming Price Targets

BTC的传入价格目标

Now, as the analyst predicts, the bulk of the liquidity is expected to flow out of the markets and into Bitcoin around March 24, aligning with the 70-day offset.

现在,正如分析师预测的那样,预计流动性的大部分将在3月24日左右流出市场,并与70天的偏移保持一致。

However, if the liquidity shift follows the more historically accurate 107-day offset, then the major move would take place around April 30.

但是,如果流动性转移遵循历史上更准确的107天偏移,那么主要举动将在4月30日左右发生。

Regardless of which timeline plays out, the expectation of liquidity flowing into Bitcoin is the same. And this flow of liquidity into BTC could be the much-needed primer to push the asset above the $100,000 price level again and potentially to new all-time highs.

无论哪个时间表都播出,流动流入比特币的期望是相同的。而且,这种流动性流入BTC可能是急需的底漆,将资产再次高于100,000美元的价格水平,并有可能将其推向新的历史最高点。

Although Colin’s analysis does not specify an exact price target, projections of the global M2 money supply point to a break above $120,000 in each case. The 70-day offset puts Bitcoin at a price target around $122,000 before June.

尽管Colin的分析未指定确切的目标目标,但在每种情况下,全球M2货币供应供应的预测指向超过120,000美元的中断。 70天的偏移量将比特币的价格目标定为6月之前的122,000美元。

Meanwhile, the second scenario, which aligns with the 107-day offset, projects a slightly delayed but potentially more powerful rally and BTC reaching around $130,000 by July.

同时,第二种情况与107天的偏移相吻合,预计了稍微延迟但可能更强大的集会,而BTC到7月的$ 130,000左右。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $85,850, up by 3% in the past 24 hours. Current buying trends show that Bitcoin is now in an accumulation zone.

在撰写本文时,比特币的交易价格为85,850美元,在过去24小时内增长了3%。当前的购买趋势表明,比特币现在正在累积区域。

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