比特幣（BTC）價格可能通過目標130k來看到新的歷史高峰

在過去的7天內，比特幣看起來已經在80,000美元以內的80,000美元和90,000美元的交易之後發現了穩定性。

Crypto analyst Colin, also known as "The M2 Guy," has identified a close correlation between Bitcoin (BTC) and the global M2 money supply. In his latest analysis, shared on X (formerly Twitter) on Thursday, the analyst predicts that an impending liquidity influx could propel BTC into a major price move in two different scenarios by March or April.

加密分析師科林（Colin）也被稱為“ M2 Guy”，已經確定了比特幣（BTC）和全球M2貨幣供應之間的密切相關性。分析師在周四（以前是Twitter）上分享的最新分析中，分析師預測，即將到來的流動性湧入可能會在3月或4月之前在兩種不同的情況下推動BTC的重大價格轉移。

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price action against the global money supply is setting up for a big move in the coming months. This outlook, noted by analyst Colin, known as “The M2 Guy,” on X, is based on the timing of a liquidity shift between global markets and BTC.

針對全球貨幣供應的比特幣（BTC）價格行動正在為未來幾個月的重大舉措設置。分析師科林（Colin）在X上被稱為“ M2 Guy”的前景基於全球市場與BTC之間流動性轉移的時機。

His analysis presents two possible scenarios based on historical patterns of money supply expansion and Bitcoin’s price response, each programming a major move either in late March or late April.

他的分析根據貨幣供應量擴展和比特幣的價格響應的歷史模式提出了兩種可能的情況，每個人在3月下旬或4月下旬都採取了重大舉措。

M2 Money Supply And Bitcoin’s Liquidity-Driven Rally

M2貨幣供應和比特幣的流動性集會

The global M2 money supply, which measures the total amount of liquid money circulating in an economy, is a good measure for predicting capital flows into risk assets, including BTC. Notably, Colin’s analysis focuses on Bitcoin’s price offset with the Global M2 money. Specifically, the analyst highlights the 70-day offset and the 107-day offset.

全球M2貨幣供應量衡量經濟中流通的流動資源總量，是預測資本流入風險資產（包括BTC）的好方法。值得注意的是，Colin的分析重點是全球M2貨幣的比特幣價格抵消。具體而言，分析師強調了70天的偏移和107天的偏移。

Bitcoin’s price can be compared with different offsets with the Global M2 money supply, but analysis shows that these two offsets have the best correlation with BTC’s price across multiple timeframes. However, the mathematical correlation seems to be stronger in the case of the 107-day offset.

可以將比特幣的價格與全球M2貨幣供應的不同偏移量進行比較，但是分析表明，這兩個偏移量與BTC在多個時間範圍內的價格具有最好的相關性。但是，在107天偏移的情況下，數學相關性似乎更強。

According to the analyst, both of these offsets have been good at picking up the turning points of Bitcoin’s price chart throughout the bull and bear markets since 2011. Moreover, both offsets have been instrumental in identifying the timing of Bitcoin’s major liquidity shifts.

根據分析師的說法，這兩種偏移都擅長於自2011年以來的整個公牛和熊市的價格表的轉折點。

For instance, in 2021, when the global M2 money supply started expanding again, there was a 70-day delay before the liquidity shift into Bitcoin occurred, and the cryptocurrency's price began a new bull market.

例如，在2021年，當全球M2貨幣供應再次開始擴展時，在流動性轉移到比特幣之前有70天的延遲，加密貨幣的價格開始了新的牛市。

BTC’s Incoming Price Targets

BTC的傳入價格目標

Now, as the analyst predicts, the bulk of the liquidity is expected to flow out of the markets and into Bitcoin around March 24, aligning with the 70-day offset.

現在，正如分析師預測的那樣，預計流動性的大部分將在3月24日左右流出市場，並與70天的偏移保持一致。

However, if the liquidity shift follows the more historically accurate 107-day offset, then the major move would take place around April 30.

但是，如果流動性轉移遵循歷史上更準確的107天偏移，那麼主要舉動將在4月30日左右發生。

Regardless of which timeline plays out, the expectation of liquidity flowing into Bitcoin is the same. And this flow of liquidity into BTC could be the much-needed primer to push the asset above the $100,000 price level again and potentially to new all-time highs.

無論哪個時間表都播出，流動流入比特幣的期望是相同的。而且，這種流動性流入BTC可能是急需的底漆，將資產再次高於100,000美元的價格水平，並有可能降至新的歷史最高點。

Although Colin’s analysis does not specify an exact price target, projections of the global M2 money supply point to a break above $120,000 in each case. The 70-day offset puts Bitcoin at a price target around $122,000 before June.

儘管Colin的分析未指定確切的目標目標，但在每種情況下，全球M2貨幣供應供應的預測指向超過120,000美元的中斷。 70天的偏移量將比特幣的價格目標定為6月之前的122,000美元。

Meanwhile, the second scenario, which aligns with the 107-day offset, projects a slightly delayed but potentially more powerful rally and BTC reaching around $130,000 by July.

同時，第二種情況與107天的偏移相吻合，預計了稍微延遲但可能更強大的集會，而BTC到7月的$ 130,000左右。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $85,850, up by 3% in the past 24 hours. Current buying trends show that Bitcoin is now in an accumulation zone.

在撰寫本文時，比特幣的交易價格為85,850美元，在過去24小時內增長了3％。當前的購買趨勢表明，比特幣現在正在累積區域。