唐纳德·特朗普的加密货币政策激发了看涨的市场情绪，比特币 (BTC) 价格反弹至 10.2 万美元

假期后重返市场以及唐纳德·特朗普就任美国总统的预期正在为比特币和更广泛的加密市场建立看涨情绪。

A return to markets after the holidays and anticipation of Donald Trump’s inauguration as U.S. president is building bullish sentiment for bitcoin and the broader crypto market.

假期后重返市场以及唐纳德·特朗普就任美国总统的预期正在为比特币和更广泛的加密市场建立看涨情绪。

The asset is up 10% in the past week, retaking the $102,000 level late Monday and reversing nearly all losses from early December. It fell from a peak of nearly $109,000 on Dec.17 to a local low of just below $92,000 on Dec.30, which momentarily sparked fears of a deeper downturn.

该资产在过去一周上涨了 10%，周一晚间重回 102,000 美元水平，扭转了 12 月初以来的几乎所有跌幅。它从 12 月 17 日接近 109,000 美元的峰值跌至 12 月 30 日略低于 92,000 美元的局部低点，这暂时引发了人们对经济进一步下滑的担忧。

The surge comes as U.S.-listed spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) raked in $987 million on Monday, their highest since Nov.21, data from SoSoValue shows.

SoSoValue 的数据显示，周一美国上市的现货比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 市值飙升至 9.87 亿美元，为 11 月 21 日以来的最高水平。

Fidelity’s FBTC ETF saw the most inflows with $370 million pouring in, followed by BlackRock’s IBIT ETF with $209 million and Ark Invest’s ARKB ETF with $71 million. Nine of the twelve ETFs recorded inflows, with none showing outflows in a standout day for the cohort.

富达 (Fidelity) 的 FBTC ETF 流入最多，达 3.7 亿美元，其次是贝莱德 (BlackRock) 的 IBIT ETF，流入 2.09 亿美元，Ark Invest 的 ARKB ETF 流入 7100 万美元。 12 只 ETF 中有 9 只录得资金流入，没有一只出现资金流出。

Trump’s expected crypto policies and broader economic plans have brought back positive sentiment among traders — bumping up BTC prices in a usual precursor to an altcoin rally.

特朗普预期的加密货币政策和更广泛的经济计划让交易员恢复了积极情绪——推高了比特币价格，这是山寨币反弹的常见前兆。

“We believe that the demand for bitcoin is manifesting itself after a downbeat Fed outlook in late December put the brakes on a Santa Claus rally,” Jeff Mei, COO at crypto exchange BTSE, told CoinDesk in a Telegram message Tuesday.

加密货币交易所 BTSE 首席运营官 Jeff Mei 周二在 Telegram 消息中告诉 CoinDesk：“我们认为，在 12 月底美联储的悲观前景抑制了圣诞老人的涨势之后，对比特币的需求正在显现出来。”

“Now that traders have wrapped up their vacations and are back to work, they’ve resumed purchases of Bitcoin, crypto, and stocks in a bullish trend as we approach Donald Trump's inauguration,” Mei added.

梅补充道：“现在交易员已经结束了假期并重新开始工作，随着唐纳德·特朗普就职典礼的临近，他们以看涨趋势恢复了比特币、加密货币和股票的购买。”

Some traders are targeting the $109,000 level in the short term before a bullish trend is confirmed, setting the stage for even higher prices.

在看涨趋势得到确认之前，一些交易员的短期目标是 109,000 美元，为更高的价格奠定基础。

“So far, the technical picture looks like a classic correction completion with a resumption of the growth from the Fibonacci retracement level of 61.8% of the rally since the beginning of November,” FxPro chief market analyst Alex Kuptsikevich wrote in an email. “This scenario will be confirmed if the historical highs of around $109,000 are confidently breached. At the same time, we expect Bitcoin’s growth to accelerate after the $100,000 mark.”

FxPro首席市场分析师Alex Kuptsikevich在一封电子邮件中写道：“到目前为止，技术面看起来像是典型的修正完成，从11月初以来反弹的61.8%的斐波那契回撤位恢复了增长。” “如果有信心突破 109,000 美元左右的历史高点，这种情况就会得到证实。与此同时，我们预计比特币在突破 10 万美元大关后将加速增长。”

Fibonacci levels are a technical analysis tool to identify potential support and resistance points where price movements might pause or reverse. Some traders believe that tracking Fibonacci levels can offer predictive value in identifying key price levels — which may become a self-fulfilling prophecy that causes price reactions in the market.

斐波那契水平是一种技术分析工具，用于识别价格走势可能暂停或逆转的潜在支撑点和阻力点。一些交易者认为，跟踪斐波那契水平可以在确定关键价格水平方面提供预测价值，这可能成为导致市场价格反应的自我实现的预言。

As such, market volatility is expected to stay low until the U.S. Nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report on Friday, which some believe will kick-start the new trading year with “decision-makers fully back at work,” per Augustine Fan, head of insights at SOFA.

因此，市场波动预计将保持在较低水平，直到周五美国非农就业报告（NFP）公布，一些人认为该报告将随着“决策者全面重返工作岗位”开启新的交易年。 SOFA 的见解。

Strong NFP data could strengthen the U.S. dollar, potentially leading to higher interest rates, which can negatively affect risk assets like stocks and bitcoin.

强劲的非农就业数据可能会令美元走强，从而可能导致利率上升，从而对股票和比特币等风险资产产生负面影响。

“However, the highest volatility event for the month is priced to be FOMC at the end of the month as the economic stats are priced to show ‘soft landing’ signs soon,” Fan added.

“然而，本月波动性最高的事件预计将是月底的联邦公开市场委员会 (FOMC)，因为经济统计数据预计将很快显示‘软着陆’迹象，”范补充道。

BTC trades just above $101,600 in Asian morning hours Tuesday, up 2% in the past 24 hours. The broad-based CoinDesk 20 (CD20), a liquid index tracking the largest tokens by market cap is up 0.53%.

周二亚洲早盘，BTC 交易价格略高于 101,600 美元，过去 24 小时内上涨 2%。追踪市值最大代币的流动性指数 CoinDesk 20 (CD20) 上涨了 0.53%。