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纵观历史,每当美国意识到其在全球经济中的主导地位受到威胁时,金价就会飙升,围绕金本位的争论就会升温。
Throughout history, gold has symbolized stability during economic crises. In the late 1990s, figures like Peter Schiff championed gold as the ultimate monetary standard, much like today’s Bitcoin advocates.
纵观历史,黄金在经济危机期间一直象征着稳定。 20 世纪 90 年代末,像彼得·希夫 (Peter Schiff) 这样的人物拥护黄金作为最终的货币标准,就像今天的比特币倡导者一样。
But the U.S. has time and again refused to go back to the gold standard despite financial crises, instead choosing new ways of doing economics. Now, BTC seems to occupy that very ideological space once reserved for gold. Ki Young Ju, Founder & CEO of CryptoQuant, made this parallel and asked whether the U.S. would position Bitcoin as a strategic asset.
但尽管面临金融危机,美国却一再拒绝回归金本位,而是选择新的经济发展方式。现在,比特币似乎占据了曾经为黄金保留的意识形态空间。 CryptoQuant 创始人兼首席执行官 Ki Young Ju 也做出了同样的比喻,并询问美国是否会将比特币定位为战略资产。
Throughout history, whenever the United States perceived a threat to its dominance in the global economy, gold prices surged, and debates around the gold standard gained traction.
纵观历史,每当美国意识到其在全球经济中的主导地位受到威胁时,金价就会飙升,围绕金本位的争论就会升温。
In the late 1990s, Peter Schiff championed gold as the true form of money, much like today’s Bitcoin proponents. But the U.S. has consistently refused to go back to the gold standard despite financial crises, opting instead for new economic strategies.
20 世纪 90 年代末,Peter Schiff 拥护黄金作为货币的真正形式,就像今天的比特币支持者一样。但尽管发生了金融危机,美国始终拒绝回归金本位,而是选择了新的经济战略。
Now, BTC appears to be occupying the same ideological space that was once reserved for gold. Ki Young Ju, Founder & CEO of CryptoQuant, has drawn this parallel and is wondering whether the U.S. will eventually position Bitcoin as a strategic asset.
现在,比特币似乎占据了曾经为黄金保留的相同意识形态空间。 CryptoQuant 创始人兼首席执行官 Ki Young Ju 进行了类似的比较,并想知道美国最终是否会将比特币定位为战略资产。
If we look at the U.S. economic strategy throughout history, whenever it felt threatened in the global economy, gold prices went up, and there were always these discussions about the gold standard coming back.
如果我们回顾美国历史上的经济战略,每当它感到全球经济受到威胁时,金价就会上涨,并且总是有关于金本位回归的讨论。
While BTC adherents foresee a future whereby the US will adopt the virtual currency as a hedge against economic risk, for now, market sentiment places an exceptionally heavy premium on continued dollar dominance.
尽管比特币拥护者预计未来美国将采用虚拟货币来对冲经济风险,但目前市场情绪对美元持续主导地位给予了极高的评价。
For the U.S. to seriously consider the adoption of BTC, there would need to be a real challenge to its global economic hegemony. For now, the dollar is still believed in, and global capital continues to pour into U.S. markets as a sign of confidence in its resilience.
美国要认真考虑采用比特币,就需要对其全球经济霸权发起真正的挑战。目前,美元仍被看好,全球资本继续涌入美国市场,表明对其韧性充满信心。
Trump’s Ambiguous Bitcoin Stance
特朗普模棱两可的比特币立场
Former U.S. President Donald Trump has made a career out of touting American economic supremacy. On the campaign trail, the way he spoke about BTC marked him as a likely crypto ally.
美国前总统唐纳德·特朗普以宣扬美国经济霸权为职业。在竞选过程中,他谈论 BTC 的方式表明他可能是加密货币盟友。
But if there is one thing to be taken from the Trump record, it is that he approaches virtually everything with a calculating sense of political expedience.
但如果说从特朗普的记录中可以看出一件事的话,那就是他几乎以一种精明的政治权宜之计对待所有事情。
If Trump goes ahead with boosting the dollar and giving more confidence in the U.S. economic sphere, it could play second fiddle to all of his BTC advocacy. Most politicians’ priorities seem to change after election; on separate occasions, Trump has already shown the ability to take a pragmatic view of top issues without pissing off his supporters.
如果特朗普继续提振美元并增强人们对美国经济领域的信心,这可能会取代他所有的比特币倡导。大多数政客的优先事项似乎在选举后发生了变化。在不同的场合,特朗普已经表现出了在不激怒他的支持者的情况下对重大问题采取务实态度的能力。
Bitcoin’s Role In Future U.S. Policies
比特币在美国未来政策中的作用
The role of Bitcoin in economic strategy is far from articulated. While Trump’s BTC Conference remarks were pro-BTC, they still seemed more a function of votes than policy. In the meantime, BTC can be seen as symbolic instead of practical, like a form of gold.
比特币在经济战略中的作用还远未阐明。尽管特朗普在 BTC 会议上的言论是支持 BTC 的,但它们似乎仍然更多地是选票的结果,而不是政策的结果。与此同时,比特币可以被视为象征性的而非实用性的,就像黄金的一种形式。
The dollar remains the safe haven of choice globally, with South Koreans still favoring it over gold or Bitcoin, especially with the won weakening—a sign of its enduring strength.
美元仍然是全球首选的避风港,韩国人仍然青睐美元而不是黄金或比特币,特别是在韩元走弱的情况下——这是韩元持久强势的迹象。
While Bitcoin may continue to attract ideological supporters, its role in the U.S. financial system depends on larger geopolitical and economic shifts. Until then, BTC remains more of a speculative asset than a strategic pillar of U.S. policy.
虽然比特币可能会继续吸引意识形态支持者,但它在美国金融体系中的作用取决于更大的地缘政治和经济变化。在那之前,比特币更多地仍然是一种投机资产,而不是美国政策的战略支柱。
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